11/18/10 NCAAF & NFL write up(posted early to satisfy emoney)

[The Seer]

MIA -1 1/2 Mia will be starting 3rd string QB Tyler Thigpen but I don't think there is much drop off there. Thigpen has better feet and won't be a statue. He should be able to pick up some 1st downs with his feet. Mia starting center is out but he has been working primarily with Thigpen all year so getting the snaps shouldn't be a problem. LT Jake Long should start which is good news vs the Bears defense. He has a torn labrum which is much better than having a leg injury. He will still have his quick feet to protect against the pass rush. The Bears barely average 1 sack per game this year and Mia only allows just over 1 sack so pressure shouldn't be much of a problem for Thigpen. However, he Bears rank second in the NFL in points allowed and lead the league with 24 takeaways. Their strength is verses the run and Mia hasn't been too great in that department so far. I expect that to change some tonight. I look for more of the wildcat tonight and expect Williams and Brown to bang away at the teeth of the Chicago defense. Chicago basically lives off turnovers and special teams. Sparano said they'll stay away from Hester and Jay Cutler will give the Miami D plenty of opportunity to get theirs. Cutler has been known to give it away in the redzone. The key stat to me here is that the Chicago offense ranks 31st in the NFL in 3rd down conversions and Miami ranks 3rd. I do think this will be a low scoring game but due to the flood of overs I will not bet anything significant on it.

I also think under 4 1/2 sacks is a good play.
Ronnie Brown over 55 1/2 rushing yds should be a fair bet.

UCLA +2 UCLA is a better team and need this to stay bowl eligible. Locker will not be 100%.
Under 53 also looks like a decent play.
UNLV +19 1/2 UNLV should keep this within 2 tds, leaning over 56 1/2
Alabama -43 1/2 they have Auburn on deck but the talent gap is insanely big
tail at your own risk

[james4512]

hmm well im on washington gl seer i dont usually like to oppose you

[The Seer]

hmm well im on washington gl seer i dont usually like to oppose you

the better games are this weekend

[pokernut9999]

Georgia St will hang within 43 points

[The Seer]

Georgia St will hang within 43 points

i know. i added to my wager. talent gap is just too big. Georgia St can't even line up right.

[Brock Landers]

[pavyracer]

I'm on Bears +3 -110.

[PLAYA-PLAYA]

SEER----I'm with you on Miami and U.C.L.A.-------Playing AIR FORCE -----no line with LOCAL on "THE BIG RED ELEPHANT"-----GOOD LUCK BRO----"REFUSE TO LOSE"

[jjgold]

Good Luck Stud

[emoney]

Wow, I think that is the first time I have ever been mentioned in the title of a thread.

Seer, I apologize. When I said that you did not post plays before games start, I did not mean to imply that you were picking the games after they started to post winners for some kind of internet cred. I just meant it from the standpoint that sometimes, they are so close to gametime that I don't see them in time.

I think you are one of the few guys here who knows what they are doing and I would like to see your thoughts on games in time to do something with it, that's all. Not that you owe that to me or anyone else, but I certainly wasn't trying to make you look bad. Sorry again.

Glad to see you are on the Dolphins.

[The Seer]

lol, sorry e. I sometimes wait til late to make sure I don't have steam against me. As far as the game, having to play the third string center is killing Miami but they are being outplayed besides that. At this point, I'm just hoping all of the other bets come in. GL this weekend.

[The Seer]

MIA -1 1/2 L
UCLA +2 L
UNLV +19 1/2 W
Alabama -43 1/2 W

not great but hardly burying the forum

[jjgold]

not bad

even is like winning

[docvinny]

gl on the rest of your weekend plays looking forward to tailing

[pavyracer]

Seer quit giving these fukkers any more plays. They don't deserve them.