All Signs point to Miami Tonight

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  • dwaechte
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-27-07
    • 5481

    #1
    All Signs point to Miami Tonight
    Don't normally make threads like this, but I've put a lot of effort into capping this one and it's rare that I see so many signs and indicators that all point one way compared with a given spread. Even with the adjustments for Thigpen(who isn't that much of a downgrade) I really like the Dolphins.
  • dwaechte
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-27-07
    • 5481

    #2
    Also kind of like the under. Chicago should not move the ball well at all.
    Comment
    • agharah1
      SBR MVP
      • 09-07-10
      • 2304

      #3
      3rd string QB, franchise left tackle out for the game, opponent with an improving QB and an elite run defense? Other than home field, what signs point to Miami?
      Comment
      • dwaechte
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-27-07
        • 5481

        #4
        Originally posted by agharah1
        3rd string QB, franchise left tackle out for the game, opponent with an improving QB and an elite run defense? Other than home field, what signs point to Miami?
        Data.
        Comment
        • DeluxeLiner
          SBR MVP
          • 01-29-08
          • 4132

          #5
          the line movement has been interesting as well. i will follow you my friend.
          Comment
          • presley177
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-22-06
            • 936

            #6
            I'm staying off this game but as far as Thigpen goes...being a Dolphins fan I've been waiting patiently for him to get a shot. I'd take the under however if I had a gun to the head.
            Comment
            • The Seer
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-29-07
              • 10641

              #7
              let's get this one
              Comment
              • ProfaneReality
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-14-09
                • 7607

                #8
                Originally posted by agharah1
                3rd string QB, franchise left tackle out for the game, opponent with an improving QB and an elite run defense? Other than home field, what signs point to Miami?
                Left tackles aren't as significant in the run game as they are in the passing game..
                Comment
                • BestPlay2day
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-25-08
                  • 5794

                  #9
                  Staying away from this game, leaning towards the Dolphins at home but no bet for me. Good luck on your plays everyone!
                  Comment
                  • pavyracer
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-12-07
                    • 82775

                    #10
                    I'm on Bears tonight. The Dolphins offensive line will have another QB get killed tonight.
                    Comment
                    • Living The Dream
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-23-09
                      • 4521

                      #11
                      Dont see Miami winning this
                      Comment
                      • pavyracer
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-12-07
                        • 82775

                        #12
                        Bears +3 -110

                        Just booked it a few minutes ago.
                        Comment
                        • stealthyburrito
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 05-12-09
                          • 21562

                          #13
                          my gut says chicago, which is making me lay off a side.
                          Comment
                          • agharah1
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-07-10
                            • 2304

                            #14
                            I actually pounded Chicago +1 (-105), but I also got Miami +160 for the arb as soon as I could because I wanted to focus on college basketball.
                            Comment
                            • raydog
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-07-07
                              • 6984

                              #15
                              pinny opens mia -3, closes -2.5 ... you need to re evaluate how you cap games if you think all signs pointed towards miami... gl guys
                              Comment
                              • SportsMushroom
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-28-10
                                • 4177

                                #16
                                Originally posted by raydog
                                pinny opens mia -3, closes -2.5 ... you need to re evaluate how you cap games if you think all signs pointed towards miami... gl guys
                                are you saying that a shift of half a point is an indication to anything?
                                Comment
                                • slacker00
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-06-05
                                  • 12262

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by dwaechte
                                  Don't normally make threads like this, but I've put a lot of effort into capping this one and it's rare that I see so many signs and indicators that all point one way compared with a given spread. Even with the adjustments for Thigpen(who isn't that much of a downgrade) I really like the Dolphins.
                                  It's rare that I see so many unicorns and leprecauns. Oh wait. This is SBR. Nothing but fishing stories here.
                                  Comment
                                  • Cappinpicks
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-11-10
                                    • 14986

                                    #18
                                    Dolphins favored was the joke of the century
                                    Comment
                                    • thebestthereis
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-01-09
                                      • 11459

                                      #19
                                      oddsmakers give zero respect to cutler, that is why the line was where it was. everyone flips a coin when cutler is touching the football. he is like a box of chocolates, but the cheap kind from the mall.
                                      Comment
                                      • raydog
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-07-07
                                        • 6984

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by SportsMushroom
                                        are you saying that a shift of half a point is an indication to anything?
                                        im going to help you out because if you are asking this question for real, you might be really new to this.... pinnacle opens miami -3 and chicago automatically gets hit with sharp action driving the line down to -1 ... this should have been the first indication miami was the wrong side. (this is when you look for other books still hanging better than -1... ex. 5dimes hanging -2.5 and you should be betting chicago +2.5) but in reference to you asking if 1/2pt meant anything... if you didnt know, 3 and 7 are key nfl numbers and movement off of those numbers is something you should pay very important attention to.

                                        boys, gooood freakin luck trying to pick nfl sides, you arent sharper than the market... play the line moves and take advantage of slower moving books, not your gut feeling... shit, when durito tells you that he will never try to pick an nfl side, he isnt joking... stop the coinflipping boys... gl
                                        Comment
                                        • ngates815
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-01-09
                                          • 13845

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by agharah1
                                          I actually pounded Chicago +1 (-105), but I also got Miami +160 for the arb as soon as I could because I wanted to focus on college basketball.


                                          I'm still quite impressed that this guy got Miami +160. I hope he tells us what book he plays at. Unless he took it in game, after the bears put up 3
                                          Comment
                                          • raydog
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-07-07
                                            • 6984

                                            #22
                                            haha, no other way to have gotten that than in-game...people should def. say that when they post or else they look kind of silly
                                            Comment
                                            • d2bets
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 08-10-05
                                              • 39995

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by thebestthereis
                                              oddsmakers give zero respect to cutler, that is why the line was where it was. everyone flips a coin when cutler is touching the football. he is like a box of chocolates, but the cheap kind from the mall.
                                              And that's why the Bears was such a great bet. They didn't bother looking at the much bigger problems on the other side.
                                              Comment
                                              • Salamander
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 12-25-09
                                                • 397

                                                #24
                                                One 3rd down conversion for Miami the entire game, doesn't bode well for the rest of the season.
                                                sbr
                                                Comment
                                                • ProfaneReality
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-14-09
                                                  • 7607

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by raydog
                                                  im going to help you out because if you are asking this question for real, you might be really new to this.... pinnacle opens miami -3 and chicago automatically gets hit with sharp action driving the line down to -1 ... this should have been the first indication miami was the wrong side. (this is when you look for other books still hanging better than -1... ex. 5dimes hanging -2.5 and you should be betting chicago +2.5) but in reference to you asking if 1/2pt meant anything... if you didnt know, 3 and 7 are key nfl numbers and movement off of those numbers is something you should pay very important attention to.

                                                  boys, gooood freakin luck trying to pick nfl sides, you arent sharper than the market... play the line moves and take advantage of slower moving books, not your gut feeling... shit, when durito tells you that he will never try to pick an nfl side, he isnt joking... stop the coinflipping boys... gl
                                                  hey guy... WE ARE THE MARKET
                                                  Comment
                                                  • CaptainPrice
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-29-09
                                                    • 1064

                                                    #26
                                                    ha just say this had to LOL
                                                    Comment
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