What a year for DOGS and OVERS.......

jjgold · 10-25-10, 10:23 PM

Unreal

Talent level is getting more and more equal league wide in all sports

Betting favs is a losing prop

dante1 · 10-25-10, 10:24 PM

Originally posted by Nicky Santoro

Boys, it never ends.. especially with the DOGS this year.

This week.....

Dogs 9-5
Overs 10-4

On the year.. Dogs 63-37
On the year.. Overs 57-42

Up close to 40 units in ONLY 7 weekends..

If you decided before season began to take every NFL dog and over in every game at the best price, you'd have more money than GOD.......

In the NFL I usually play all the dogs with some very few exceptions. Up big in the NFL but not in college. I must start tailing you in college and btw I did on the Syracuse game. Thanks and a great pick. I will be watching. lol

TPowell · 10-25-10, 10:29 PM

dogs have gotten KILLED the past few years in NFL (at least the bigger ones have). No elite teams like Indy, NO, and Minny from last year. Those guys KILLED my let-down system. Barely hit 55% with it last year but it averages around 59% the past 5 years

TPowell · 10-26-10, 04:52 PM

by my count the JUICIEST dog of the day in NHL (ML) were +16.64 units in 2008-2009. Havent did any further research yet, just an observation

JW Cash · 10-26-10, 05:02 PM

Originally posted by Nicky Santoro

Boys, it never ends.. especially with the DOGS this year.

This week.....

Dogs 9-5
Overs 10-4

On the year.. Dogs 63-37
On the year.. Overs 57-42

Up close to 40 units in ONLY 7 weekends..

If you decided before season began to take every NFL dog and over in every game at the best price, you'd have more money than GOD.......

Thats how I have always made money in sports....

But I generally dont do a composite analysis of a league....

I will isolate teams that have a tendency to perform
a certain way during the season...i.e. SD Padres Under in MLB...

Do a labby .....grab a glass of Chianti...sit back...and relax....

Scorpion · 10-26-10, 05:18 PM

I like Cincy -2

Shonner · 10-26-10, 05:19 PM

Overs are def. surprising, not dogs

pokernut9999 · 10-26-10, 05:22 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Unreal

Talent level is getting more and more equal league wide in all sports

Betting favs is a losing prop

More like a lack of talent

ChileCheese · 10-26-10, 05:28 PM

Wouldn't this all point to UNDERS and FAVS here on out?
Propositions such as TOTALS and SPREADS have a way of hitting an equilibrium of 45-55% by years end.
So should we start tailing?

Scorpion · 10-26-10, 05:53 PM

Originally posted by Shonner

Overs are def. surprising, not dogs

They should not be
Why do you think the ******* commish has made all these rule changes in the last 3+ years?
cock sucker wants every game to be like a pro bowl game or arena football game
so many rule changes, all against defense, college football is more physical now than the NFL
Im glad I saw this shit coming, the total for almost every game this week is over 40 points, teams cant play defense like they used too

JR007 · 10-26-10, 05:55 PM

Overs---did not know that ..thanks

BettingWizard · 10-26-10, 05:59 PM

Originally posted by ChileCheese

Wouldn't this all point to UNDERS and FAVS here on out?
Propositions such as TOTALS and SPREADS have a way of hitting an equilibrium of 45-55% by years end.
So should we start tailing?

no it doesn't. Favs hit at like a 59% clip for an entire year a few years back. And with the Rules favoring offense more and more every year, I wouldn't blindly bet on Unders evening out.

btw, Dogs are hitting 74% in First Halves

t-bone · 10-26-10, 06:02 PM

Originally posted by Scorpion

They should not be
Why do you think the ******* commish has made all these rule changes in the last 3+ years?
cock sucker wants every game to be like a pro bowl game or arena football game
so many rule changes, all against defense, college football is more physical now than the NFL
Im glad I saw this shit coming, the total for almost every game this week is over 40 points, teams cant play defense like they used too

Well put, and I am in total agreement

GunShard · 10-26-10, 11:42 PM

Interesting.

70kgman · 10-26-10, 11:49 PM

The 10 point adjusted total on the overs were 14-0 last week, and 26-2 over the last 2 weeks. Even in college, over 80% of the overs on the 10 point adjusted line hit last week (didn't check past weeks). Might consider a plethora of 2-team parlays on those adjusted line overs this week in college and NFL, roughly -145 odds each.

HauntingTheHoly · 10-27-10, 12:37 AM

Originally posted by 70kgman

The 10 point adjusted total on the overs were 14-0 last week, and 26-2 over the last 2 weeks. Even in college, over 80% of the overs on the 10 point adjusted line hit last week (didn't check past weeks). Might consider a plethora of 2-team parlays on those adjusted line overs this week in college and NFL, roughly -145 odds each.

Which book has adjusted overs? What do you think about teasing overs? Could do two-team 6 or 7 pointers for -110 or -130 respectively, or do three-team 10 pointers for -120.

xxxvince · 10-27-10, 12:42 AM

thats nfl alright.. very hard to bet on

70kgman · 10-27-10, 12:45 AM

Originally posted by HauntingTheHoly

Which book has adjusted overs? What do you think about teasing overs? Could do two-team 6 or 7 pointers for -110 or -130 respectively, or do three-team 10 pointers for -120.

DSI has them. A 3-team adjusted line parlay (on the favorite side of the adjustment) actually pays about +120. I played one this past week and won.

eberetta1 · 10-27-10, 01:09 AM

Thanks for the hint, that must be why I am losing my tail so far this NFL season. Wag, wag.

ACCBlitz · 10-27-10, 01:12 AM

Where do you get your totals for the season (ie. o/u hit ratio, etc.)

Smogs · 10-27-10, 02:12 AM

Originally posted by TPowell

dogs have gotten KILLED the past few years in NFL (at least the bigger ones have). No elite teams like Indy, NO, and Minny from last year. Those guys KILLED my let-down system. Barely hit 55% with it last year but it averages around 59% the past 5 years

Hell of a record over a season though, guaranteed profit

Scorpion · 11-02-10, 11:38 AM

Nicky, how are you doing with college football totals? maybe not so good, I tried to send you a PM and give you some good info I found out today that will surprise you but your PM does not work

NFL-Addicted · 11-02-10, 11:49 AM

No wonder I didn't bet much on U/O, teams win or lose the game even don't care the about it. Talking about side play, I always pick 2-3 dogs and 1 Favor / a week.

Scorpion · 11-02-10, 11:51 AM

Thats too many plays, I only play one dog and one favorite on Sundays, only TV games, most Sundays only 2 favorites