Who says 75% isnt possible? I win 75% ITT.

**BKat52** · 10-13-10, 09:16 PM

weather delay + no half time.. did you figure that into your analysis ? lol i took the in game -14 and -10, so heres to marshall ats.

**statnerds** · 10-13-10, 09:22 PM

It has nothing to do with being new. It has to do with coming in making outlandish claims that us seasoned bettors know is an impossibility. But to argue at this point is just, well, pointless. I would want to see at least 250 plays before we can definitively say one way or another if this guys can deliver.

For now I can only ask if OP has ever looked up the definition of Variance.

Shit, I saw RAS go 23-3 on Totals before.

And if anyone in the world was hitting 75%, he

A. Wouldn't tell people about it

B. Be retired because that is a ridiculous ROI

C. Not be on SBR

**jcadwell** · 10-13-10, 09:28 PM

hahahaha good luck dude i'de love to see it!

**dante1** · 10-13-10, 09:33 PM

My God guys, it isn't a question of hating. It is a question of truth. It is unrealistic to think that any person in the world can select at 75%, if you don't know that you are either very young, very stupid or very optimistic. It just doesn't happen. Even the most blatant liars in the handicapper business don't cry 75%. He will not do this if he makes 100 or more picks. He probably won't do it even with 50 picks.And he certainly won't do it over a year. This is common sense guys, what the fvck is wrong with you? How can you not know this? Is it that you are praying and hoping? Well you can pray and hope until you are green, it ain't gonna happen.

And guess what, I hope I am wrong. But, I know 100% that I am not.

**gavin** · 10-13-10, 09:33 PM

not bad....down 2 units+juice

**70kgman** · 10-13-10, 09:34 PM

3-3 so far, projecting to go 3-5. Shouldn't be long before this guy disappears.

**MartinBlank** · 10-13-10, 09:36 PM

Update.

Straight is on fire---- 3-3, down 3.7 units.

To recap. A far cry from 75%.

Marshall (Risking 6 to win 5) 1st half +3.5 LOST
TOTAL OVER (Risking 3.3) 1st half 22.5 LOST
Toronto NBA (Risking 4.4) Game -5.5 LOST
New Orleans (Risking 2.2) Game +2.5 WON
Isles NHL (Risking 3.3) +1.5 WON
Jersey/Buffalo (Risking 5.5) Under 5.5 WON

**dante1** · 10-13-10, 09:38 PM

Originally posted by 70kgman

3-3 so far, projecting to go 3-5. Shouldn't be long before this guy disappears.

Just to show what an amateur he is he makes the Marshall game worth four selections. If it goes down he gets killed. And it can easily happen. Now what type of capper does that? This guys is a joke. Yet, he has a ton of people convinced, calling other people haters.

**StraightWinners** · 10-13-10, 09:38 PM

Originally posted by 70kgman

3-3 so far, projecting to go 3-5. Shouldn't be long before this guy disappears.

Care to wager that i win both of my Game plays, Marshall +6.5 AND the over 45?

Im not one to make excuses but there is no doubt that the delay effected the flow of the game, and it CERTAINLY would have gone over for the 1st half.

AFTER I win these 2 game bets, i will be 7-4 overall with a long long way to go, and i will still hit 75%.

Im not going anywhere pal. Get ready to see "History"

**MartinBlank** · 10-13-10, 09:40 PM

Originally posted by StraightWinners

Care to wager that i win both of my Game plays, Marshall +6.5 AND the over 45?

Im not one to make excuses but there is no doubt that the delay effected the flow of the game, and it CERTAINLY would have gone over for the 1st half.

AFTER I win these 2 game bets, i will be 7-4 overall with a long long way to go, and i will still hit 75%.

Im not going anywhere pal. Get ready to see "History"

That's some history all right.

I am curious. For someone who capped this game as you did----how'd you miss the weather report?

**StraightWinners** · 10-13-10, 09:42 PM

Originally posted by MartinBlank

That's some history all right.

Obviously talking about when the full 100 plays are over. I will hit 75% and have plenty of time to get there.

**dante1** · 10-13-10, 09:42 PM

Straight, I doubt you will be around that long. But, if you are honorable and stick around I wonder what you are going to say when you don't even get close to 65%

You do know that many people are fading you right now.

**StraightWinners** · 10-13-10, 09:45 PM

Originally posted by dante1

Straight, I doubt you will be around that long. But, if you are honorable and stick around I wonder what you are going to say when you don't even get close to 65%

You do know that many people are fading you right now.

I feel sorry for the families of the people that are going to be fading me.

**70kgman** · 10-13-10, 09:48 PM

Originally posted by StraightWinners

Care to wager that i win both of my Game plays, Marshall +6.5 AND the over 45?

If you don't win both Marshall +6.5 and the over, I get all your SBR points from now until your 100 plays are up. What do you want in return? I will even return all your points if you are 75% or better after 100 plays.

**MartinBlank** · 10-13-10, 09:49 PM

I will give the guy credit----if this disaster stays this course---and he remains here, that will be a first. Most of these types of guys bail when the writing is on the wall.

And----as a statistical engineer-----lol, you must realize the further this goes out----with you being at or near 50%-----it becomes more difficult to approach 75%. For example, if you lose both of your plays left tonight-----your record falls to 4-5 and you will have to hit 78% of your remaining plays to get to 75%. I just don't see you going on a 91-21 run. Sorry.

Even if you split, to end up 4-4----you still have to hit 77.5% of your remaining plays.

**LVHerbie** · 10-13-10, 09:52 PM

I'm curious why you aren't offering a prop bet for this? I'm confident you could get as much (with any reasonable ground rules) as you want for meeting your goal...

**dante1** · 10-13-10, 09:53 PM

Originally posted by MartinBlank

I will give the guy credit----if this disaster stays this course---and he remains here, that will be a first. Most of these types of guys bail when the writing is on the wall.

And----as a statistical engineer-----lol, you must realize the further this goes out----with you being at or near 50%-----it becomes more difficult to approach 75%. For example, if you lose both of your plays left tonight-----your record falls to 4-5 and you will have to hit 78% of your remaining plays to get to 75%. I just don't see you going on a 91-21 run. Sorry.

Exactly, I was just going to make that exact point. What happens when he gets buried with a 40% day or two.
Then he will be looking at close to 80% or even higher. This guy is a kid, nobody can convince me otherwise.

**sideloaded** · 10-13-10, 09:55 PM

That many plays on one game? Really? REALLY?????!!

**sideloaded** · 10-13-10, 09:59 PM

I give this troll 1/10 for effort. I mean most trolls can keep it going one maybe two months before it goes all to hell. This guy barely made it two days.

**MartinBlank** · 10-13-10, 10:02 PM

Originally posted by sideloaded

I give this troll 1/10 for effort. I mean most trolls can keep it going one maybe two months before it goes all to hell. This guy barely made it two days.

The moment I saw him make four plays on one single game-----I knew this was going to end badly.

No need for a pro to do that. They find the best position----and make one play. This 4 plays in one game----is ridiculous---and even if he wins the two remaining plays----he lost the the juice on the way he structured the plays, buying hooks---to just 6.5? If you're buying, why not buy it to 7? Why 6.5?

Very odd.

**StraightWinners** · 10-13-10, 10:03 PM

ADDING:

Anaheim Mighty Ducks +1.5 -120 for 4 units

Starts in 10 min

As for the people saying it all went to hell? Explain? We are 1/10th of the way through. Plenty of time, and ill still have a winning record after tonight. Just keep watching you will soon have your foot in your mouth.

**MartinBlank** · 10-13-10, 10:07 PM

Originally posted by StraightWinners

ADDING:

Anaheim Mighty Ducks +1.5 -120 for 4 units

Starts in 10 min

As for the people saying it all went to hell? Explain? We are 1/10th of the way through. Plenty of time, and ill still have a winning record after tonight. Just keep watching you will soon have your foot in your mouth.

YOU LISTED A WAGER THAT ALREADY HAS STARTED. Vancouver is leading 2-1 at the end of the first.

Let the late game chasing begin.

And---let me correct you on something. It will not be a winning night for if UCF covers. In fact, you will be down almost 7 units.

You do realize you are listing your unit wagers, right? You get that?

As for listing your wager after the game has started----well, I think the only way you get to 75% is if you post your plays after the game ends. It has to work.

**dante1** · 10-13-10, 10:08 PM

Originally posted by StraightWinners

ADDING:

Anaheim Mighty Ducks +1.5 -120 for 4 units

Starts in 10 min

As for the people saying it all went to hell? Explain? We are 1/10th of the way through. Plenty of time, and ill still have a winning record after tonight. Just keep watching you will soon have your foot in your mouth.

So let me get this straight. You made 9 selections on a Wednesday. What are you going to do this weekend? My God, those 100 plays might be made in two weeks. I am expecting a total of about 30 or more plays on Sat and Sunday.

You're in big trouble kid.

**sideloaded** · 10-13-10, 10:09 PM

Originally posted by StraightWinners

ADDING:

Anaheim Mighty Ducks +1.5 -120 for 4 units

Starts in 10 min

As for the people saying it all went to hell? Explain? We are 1/10th of the way through. Plenty of time, and ill still have a winning record after tonight. Just keep watching you will soon have your foot in your mouth.

I know your pride is hurt. It's OK, no need to lash out.

**BeatTheJerk** · 10-13-10, 10:10 PM

So what's this guys secret on how he caps games to be such a unique handicapper ?

**dante1** · 10-13-10, 10:11 PM

Originally posted by MartinBlank

YOU LISTED A WAGER THAT ALREADY HAS STARTED. Vancouver is leading 2-1 at the end of the first.

Let the late game chasing begin.

And---let me correct you on something. It will not be a winning night for if UCF covers. In fact, you will be down almost 7 units.

You do realize you are listing your unit wagers, right? You get that?

As for listing your wager after the game has started----well, I think the only way you get to 75% is if you post your plays after the game ends. It has to work.

Holy crap, who is this guy. You don't even know when the games start. What a jerk off.

**MartinBlank** · 10-13-10, 10:13 PM

This thread is priceless.

He listed a Anaheim "wager" after the first period ended.....and told us "it starts in 10 mins".

**70kgman** · 10-13-10, 10:14 PM

Originally posted by StraightWinners

ADDING:

Anaheim Mighty Ducks +1.5 -120 for 4 units

Starts in 10 min

More like started an hour ago and is already in the 2nd period.

**StraightWinners** · 10-13-10, 10:16 PM

Originally posted by MartinBlank

This thread is priceless.

He listed a Anaheim "wager" after the first period ended.....and told us "it starts in 10 mins".

That was meant to be posted a long time ago, i didnt hit submit on accident and when my girlfriend got on the computer for a minute she hit submit much later. You think i would add a play that already started? Especially one that is losing?

**ACoochy** · 10-13-10, 10:17 PM

Originally posted by dante1

75% and some of you people are acting like this is possible and maybe even probable. I don't know who is worse.

Dante, im tellin ya bro 75% ATS is statistically possible over 100 picks. Granted expressed as a % the chances of this of occurring are <1% (dependent on modelling and many other factors) but all that means to me is that 1% of guys out there really know their shiz by A) Less Wagers in a block generally = greater % and B) if one knows who these individuals are then one can 'prosper' from their skills as a capper...The internet is bigger than any of us can comprehend after all....Thats all im saying

GL guys

**dante1** · 10-13-10, 10:18 PM

Originally posted by StraightWinners

That was meant to be posted a long time ago, i didnt hit submit on accident and when my girlfriend got on the computer for a minute she hit submit much later. You think i would add a play that already started? Especially one that is losing?

Okay, that could happen. Nobody calling you a liar.

How old is the girlfriend? 14 or 15.

**sideloaded** · 10-13-10, 10:19 PM

Originally posted by StraightWinners

That was meant to be posted a long time ago, i didnt hit submit on accident and when my girlfriend got on the computer for a minute she hit submit much later. You think i would add a play that already started? Especially one that is losing?

I believe you, I mean what have you done for me NOT to trust you?

**fury** · 10-13-10, 10:19 PM

**james4512** · 10-13-10, 10:21 PM

75% is doomed already, at least i posted 66%+ for college for 70 plays and i didnt go into it thinking it was a lock that im going to do it. And in reality all you do is just bet the same thing by taking 1h and game

**dante1** · 10-13-10, 10:21 PM

Originally posted by ACoochy

Dante, im tellin ya bro 75% ATS is statistically possible over 100 picks. Granted expressed as a % the chances of this of occurring are <1% (dependent on modelling and many other factors) but all that means to me is that 1% of guys out there really know their shiz by A) Less Wagers in a block generally = greater % and B) if one knows who these individuals are then one can 'prosper' from their skills as a capper...The internet is bigger than any of us can comprehend after all....Thats all im saying

GL guys

Maybe so, in all my years and those years are a ton believe me I have never seen anybody get even close to 65%. I guess it is possible, but not in the very long run. Somebody gets incredibly lucky for a month, maybe.
But. like you said less than 1%. That is a really large number--75%.