1. #1
    Mr KLC
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    How Often Have You Seen A -300+ Favorite Lose In Soccer?

    I would think you would probably see around an 80-85% win rate when you factor in the potential of a tie also. That's a lot of juice for 3 determination for a match.

  2. #2
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr KLC View Post
    I would think you would probably see around an 80-85% win rate when you factor in the potential of a tie also. That's a lot of juice for 3 determination for a match.
    Ties are losses in soccer unless it says PK or DNB...

    -300 soccer sides lose a lot more often than you might think with 3 way lines

  3. #3
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr KLC View Post
    I would think you would probably see around an 80-85% win rate when you factor in the potential of a tie also. That's a lot of juice for 3 determination for a match.
    Opti, you're on to something. Big soccer faves don't LOSE too often on the 3-way line.

    If it's a talent mis-match, so often it feels like a Fav win or a Draw. Need something unusual to happen for the Big Dog to crack the 1.25 Fav.

  4. #4
    pavyracer
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    How often do basketball -300 lines lose? It happens more often than soccer for sure.

  5. #5
    Mr KLC
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    I bet these 3 matches the last 2 days. The 3rd one was close, but the other 2 were never in doubt at halftime.



    Olympiakos (-360)
    Olympiakos vs TSC Backa Topola

    Final Score 5-2

    Bayer Leverkusen (-300)
    Bayer Leverkusen vs Molde FK

    Final Score 5-1

    RB Leipzig (-400)
    RB Leipzig vs Young Boys

    Final Score 2-1

  6. #6
    pavyracer
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    Looks like you should have bet the over and made 3 to 4 times more. 6 to 8 times more if you bet also first half over.

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