Do Not Bet Baseball Until July 1

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388189

    #1
    Do Not Bet Baseball Until July 1
    Men it is when the season starts

    Its all NBA now and other sports

    I will watch about 5 innings total until then
  • mama whoiscrying
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-25-21
    • 897

    #2
    Pirates today +155
    Comment
    • clockwise1965
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 10-01-13
      • 6753

      #3
      First 5 inning unders early in the season.
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65200

        #4
        Originally posted by jjgold
        Men it is when the season starts

        Its all NBA now and other sports

        I will watch about 5 innings total until then
        May 1 for me, July 1 is a tad long.

        My rule of thumb is wait for the rotation pitchers to make three starts, which brings us to the end of April.
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 65200

          #5
          Originally posted by mama whoiscrying
          Pirates today +155
          I got my eye on Brubaker, kid has nasty srtuff.
          g/l with that.
          Comment
          • SamsNCharge99
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-22-08
            • 41242

            #6
            don't bet NFL until week 14
            Comment
            • clockwise1965
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 10-01-13
              • 6753

              #7
              Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
              don't bet NFL until week 14
              I usually wait til the playoffs
              Comment
              • Goldenboy73
                SBR High Roller
                • 07-14-21
                • 213

                #8
                Comment
                • Ian
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-09-09
                  • 6029

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Goldenboy73
                  IME the 3 times MLB lines are the softest are at the beginning of the season, the very end of the season, and during the playoffs.
                  Comment
                  • stevenash
                    Moderator
                    • 01-17-11
                    • 65200

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Ian
                    IME the 3 times MLB lines are the softest are at the beginning of the season, the very end of the season, and during the playoffs.
                    If you must bet opening week, bet the dogs.
                    Who remembers last years brutal burial?
                    Opening week 2021, Nine chalks were -200 or greater.
                    Eight lost outright.
                    Comment
                    • Bostongambler
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 02-01-08
                      • 35581

                      #11
                      Martingale the Brewers in the series against the Cubs.
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388189

                        #12
                        Sometimes I guess May 1 is not a bad starting point but all jerkoffs gambling today on baseball
                        Comment
                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 04-04-11
                          • 36753

                          #13
                          Originally posted by jjgold
                          Men it is when the season starts

                          Its all NBA now and other sports

                          I will watch about 5 innings total until then


                          Gimme an MLb winner. Send me a dime, gold.
                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                          Comment
                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 04-04-11
                            • 36753

                            #14
                            Originally posted by jjgold
                            Sometimes I guess May 1 is not a bad starting point but all jerkoffs gambling today on baseball
                            It's a gambling site, genius.
                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                            Comment
                            • thetrinity
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-25-11
                              • 22430

                              #15
                              Golds next advice don’t bet the nfl until the super bowl
                              Comment
                              • DiggityDaggityDo
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 11-30-08
                                • 81454

                                #16
                                Originally posted by jjgold
                                Men it is when the season starts

                                Its all NBA now and other sports

                                I will watch about 5 innings total until then
                                That’s 4 or 5 more innings than what I’ll be watching.
                                Comment
                                • goduke
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-17-10
                                  • 11580

                                  #17
                                  Didn’t you just say you were coming in for 2k for MLB? Now you’re waiting?
                                  Comment
                                  • turkkatarian
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-12-16
                                    • 2748

                                    #18
                                    Actually it's the exact opposite. Bet Baseball Now and lay off a little in the 2nd half of the season
                                    Comment
                                    • thetrinity
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-25-11
                                      • 22430

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by goduke
                                      Didn’t you just say you were coming in for 2k for MLB? Now you’re waiting?
                                      He often will say contradicting statements within a few hours of each other. Must have learned from lakerboy
                                      Comment
                                      • jjgold
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 07-20-05
                                        • 388189

                                        #20
                                        Too cold to even watch baseball here

                                        PASS
                                        Comment
                                        • Fred The Hammer
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-13-13
                                          • 11567

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                          It's a gambling site, genius.



                                          Everything in moderation. Cold/rainy = Unders normally. I will say MLB player props are kind of a trap. I bet Wong Over 0.5 run today because he owns Hendricks, but you'll take a guy thats hitting .450 off some pitcher and he won't do shit. I got some nice + numbers on Vlad Over 0.5 rbi early last year, but you have to look for the right match up
                                          Comment
                                          • Fred The Hammer
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-13-13
                                            • 11567

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by jjgold
                                            Too cold to even watch baseball here

                                            PASS
                                            jjfugazi
                                            Comment
                                            • Fred The Hammer
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-13-13
                                              • 11567

                                              #23
                                              Cubs/Milw April in Wrigley and the total was 10.5 with Corbin Burnes starting


                                              Yeah no value in betting mlb early))) I didn't hit it, but IDK why?
                                              Comment
                                              • PaperTrail07
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-29-08
                                                • 20423

                                                #24
                                                NRFI as well IMO....esp where its cold
                                                Originally posted by clockwise1965
                                                First 5 inning unders early in the season.
                                                Comment
                                                • KVB
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                  • 74817

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by mama whoiscrying
                                                  Pirates today +155
                                                  This
                                                  Comment
                                                  • goduke
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-17-10
                                                    • 11580

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by KVB
                                                    This
                                                    Why? Wainwright stellar numbers vs pirates and each of the cards hitters hit the pitcher well
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jrgum3
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 07-21-17
                                                      • 7005

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by stevenash
                                                      If you must bet opening week, bet the dogs.
                                                      Who remembers last years brutal burial?
                                                      Opening week 2021, Nine chalks were -200 or greater.
                                                      Eight lost outright.
                                                      Yep I'm on the Royals today because everybody seems to be on the Guardians and also bet the Astros because I think they're the best dog on the board.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ThaTopMoron
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 04-30-10
                                                        • 27018

                                                        #28
                                                        i don't bet it at all

                                                        lmao
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jjgold
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 07-20-05
                                                          • 388189

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                                                          i don't bet it at all

                                                          lmao
                                                          Better off

                                                          Daily betting and your done early
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 04-04-11
                                                            • 36753

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by jjgold
                                                            Better off

                                                            Daily betting and your done early
                                                            What about your $2000 bankroll? Cmon, man.

                                                            Goldy, send me a Dime. Betting some horses this wkend.
                                                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KVB
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-29-14
                                                              • 74817

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by goduke
                                                              Why? Wainwright stellar numbers vs pirates and each of the cards hitters hit the pitcher well
                                                              We saw value with that bet from the +200 it was going for all the way down to about +155.

                                                              Teams will have different strengths and weaknesses against each other and when compared to the league or conference as a whole...numbers we don't have yet because the season just started.

                                                              This will always be the case. My job is to determine a probability fo the game winner and compare it to the market to see if there is a bet. Remember there's a difference between a winning bet and just betting the winner.

                                                              Did I think St. Louis had a better chance of winning? Yes, especially with info like you posted.

                                                              But down to +155, the bet was with Pitt.

                                                              Actually, you are probably best equipped over anyone at this site (in fact you may be the ONLY one equpped, and it's the only reason I replied here) to understand my next statement and that is that the 0-9 loss is welcome in this instant.

                                                              The market has a way of shaking a bettor's foundations and causing him to question his methods. We believe this was one of those instances. For now we stay the course, it really hasn't failed us yet.

                                                              Never forget, to win over time you need the right moneyline numbers, not just to know that batters can hit a pitcher or that a pitcher is good against a team. A value must be assigned.

                                                              It's about value and percieved value in the marketplace. Over the short term I will always prefer to make good bets and lose rather than bad bets and win them. This is because we are in it for a longer time horizon than the short term. And you can see how those two different types of bets eventually play out in the long haul.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • Chi_archie
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 07-22-08
                                                                • 63165

                                                                #32
                                                                I'm about ready to start NBA wagering for this season
                                                                Comment
                                                                • lakerboy
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 04-02-09
                                                                  • 94366

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Lmao. I had cubs ml +150 today. I will not bet baseball after July 1 until the playoffs
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KVB
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                                    • 74817

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Fukk that Lakeshow, buy Zona.

                                                                    It's a good bet that might just win.

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jjgold
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                                      • 388189

                                                                      #35
                                                                      anyone betting chalk is in trouble

                                                                      if anything run lines + money over 150
                                                                      Comment
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