1. #1
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Do Not Bet Baseball Until July 1

    Men it is when the season starts

    Its all NBA now and other sports

    I will watch about 5 innings total until then

  2. #2
    mama whoiscrying
    mama whoiscrying's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-25-21
    Posts: 897
    Betpoints: 66

    Pirates today +155

  3. #3
    clockwise1965
    clockwise1965's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-13
    Posts: 6,751
    Betpoints: 18366

    First 5 inning unders early in the season.
    Points Awarded:

    PaperTrail07 gave clockwise1965 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  4. #4
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,368
    Betpoints: 32811

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Men it is when the season starts

    Its all NBA now and other sports

    I will watch about 5 innings total until then
    May 1 for me, July 1 is a tad long.

    My rule of thumb is wait for the rotation pitchers to make three starts, which brings us to the end of April.

  5. #5
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,368
    Betpoints: 32811

    Quote Originally Posted by mama whoiscrying View Post
    Pirates today +155
    I got my eye on Brubaker, kid has nasty srtuff.
    g/l with that.

  6. #6
    SamsNCharge99
    5x POTM. 2x Video maker of the year
    SamsNCharge99's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-22-08
    Posts: 41,242
    Betpoints: 6404

    don't bet NFL until week 14

  7. #7
    clockwise1965
    clockwise1965's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-13
    Posts: 6,751
    Betpoints: 18366

    Quote Originally Posted by SamsNCharge99 View Post
    don't bet NFL until week 14
    I usually wait til the playoffs

  8. #8
    Goldenboy73
    Goldenboy73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-14-21
    Posts: 213
    Betpoints: 8768


  9. #9
    Ian
    Tank Man Lives
    Ian's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-09-09
    Posts: 5,689
    Betpoints: 33313

    Quote Originally Posted by Goldenboy73 View Post
    IME the 3 times MLB lines are the softest are at the beginning of the season, the very end of the season, and during the playoffs.

  10. #10
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,368
    Betpoints: 32811

    Quote Originally Posted by Ian View Post
    IME the 3 times MLB lines are the softest are at the beginning of the season, the very end of the season, and during the playoffs.
    If you must bet opening week, bet the dogs.
    Who remembers last years brutal burial?
    Opening week 2021, Nine chalks were -200 or greater.
    Eight lost outright.

  11. #11
    Bostongambler
    Bostongambler's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-01-08
    Posts: 35,922
    Betpoints: 14055

    Martingale the Brewers in the series against the Cubs.

  12. #12
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Sometimes I guess May 1 is not a bad starting point but all jerkoffs gambling today on baseball

  13. #13
    ChuckyTheGoat
    ChuckyTheGoat's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-04-11
    Posts: 31,119
    Betpoints: 24623

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Men it is when the season starts

    Its all NBA now and other sports

    I will watch about 5 innings total until then


    Gimme an MLb winner. Send me a dime, gold.

  14. #14
    ChuckyTheGoat
    ChuckyTheGoat's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-04-11
    Posts: 31,119
    Betpoints: 24623

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Sometimes I guess May 1 is not a bad starting point but all jerkoffs gambling today on baseball
    It's a gambling site, genius.

  15. #15
    thetrinity
    penetrate me to tears
    thetrinity's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-25-11
    Posts: 22,430
    Betpoints: 5536

    Golds next advice don’t bet the nfl until the super bowl

  16. #16
    DiggityDaggityDo
    DiggityDaggityDo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-30-08
    Posts: 82,770
    Betpoints: 32138

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Men it is when the season starts

    Its all NBA now and other sports

    I will watch about 5 innings total until then
    That’s 4 or 5 more innings than what I’ll be watching.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: 5mike5

  17. #17
    goduke
    goduke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-17-10
    Posts: 11,565
    Betpoints: 2258

    Didn’t you just say you were coming in for 2k for MLB? Now you’re waiting?

  18. #18
    turkkatarian
    turkkatarian's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-12-16
    Posts: 2,747
    Betpoints: 17555

    Actually it's the exact opposite. Bet Baseball Now and lay off a little in the 2nd half of the season

  19. #19
    thetrinity
    penetrate me to tears
    thetrinity's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-25-11
    Posts: 22,430
    Betpoints: 5536

    Quote Originally Posted by goduke View Post
    Didn’t you just say you were coming in for 2k for MLB? Now you’re waiting?
    He often will say contradicting statements within a few hours of each other. Must have learned from lakerboy

  20. #20
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Too cold to even watch baseball here

    PASS

  21. #21
    Fred The Hammer
    Fred The Hammer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-13
    Posts: 11,496
    Betpoints: 8383

    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    It's a gambling site, genius.



    Everything in moderation. Cold/rainy = Unders normally. I will say MLB player props are kind of a trap. I bet Wong Over 0.5 run today because he owns Hendricks, but you'll take a guy thats hitting .450 off some pitcher and he won't do shit. I got some nice + numbers on Vlad Over 0.5 rbi early last year, but you have to look for the right match up

  22. #22
    Fred The Hammer
    Fred The Hammer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-13
    Posts: 11,496
    Betpoints: 8383

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Too cold to even watch baseball here

    PASS
    jjfugazi

  23. #23
    Fred The Hammer
    Fred The Hammer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-13
    Posts: 11,496
    Betpoints: 8383

    Cubs/Milw April in Wrigley and the total was 10.5 with Corbin Burnes starting


    Yeah no value in betting mlb early))) I didn't hit it, but IDK why?

  24. #24
    PaperTrail07
    MMA is the most pure sport
    PaperTrail07's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-29-08
    Posts: 20,423
    Betpoints: 585

    NRFI as well IMO....esp where its cold
    Quote Originally Posted by clockwise1965 View Post
    First 5 inning unders early in the season.

  25. #25
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Quote Originally Posted by mama whoiscrying View Post
    Pirates today +155
    This

  26. #26
    goduke
    goduke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-17-10
    Posts: 11,565
    Betpoints: 2258

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    This
    Why? Wainwright stellar numbers vs pirates and each of the cards hitters hit the pitcher well

  27. #27
    jrgum3
    Update your status
    jrgum3's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-21-17
    Posts: 7,005
    Betpoints: 15952

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    If you must bet opening week, bet the dogs.
    Who remembers last years brutal burial?
    Opening week 2021, Nine chalks were -200 or greater.
    Eight lost outright.
    Yep I'm on the Royals today because everybody seems to be on the Guardians and also bet the Astros because I think they're the best dog on the board.
    Points Awarded:

    ChuckyTheGoat gave jrgum3 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  28. #28
    ThaTopMoron
    Body-Bags
    ThaTopMoron's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-10
    Posts: 26,524
    Betpoints: 6771

    i don't bet it at all

    lmao

  29. #29
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Quote Originally Posted by ThaTopMoron View Post
    i don't bet it at all

    lmao
    Better off

    Daily betting and your done early

  30. #30
    ChuckyTheGoat
    ChuckyTheGoat's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-04-11
    Posts: 31,119
    Betpoints: 24623

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Better off

    Daily betting and your done early
    What about your $2000 bankroll? Cmon, man.

    Goldy, send me a Dime. Betting some horses this wkend.

  31. #31
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Quote Originally Posted by goduke View Post
    Why? Wainwright stellar numbers vs pirates and each of the cards hitters hit the pitcher well
    We saw value with that bet from the +200 it was going for all the way down to about +155.

    Teams will have different strengths and weaknesses against each other and when compared to the league or conference as a whole...numbers we don't have yet because the season just started.

    This will always be the case. My job is to determine a probability fo the game winner and compare it to the market to see if there is a bet. Remember there's a difference between a winning bet and just betting the winner.

    Did I think St. Louis had a better chance of winning? Yes, especially with info like you posted.

    But down to +155, the bet was with Pitt.

    Actually, you are probably best equipped over anyone at this site (in fact you may be the ONLY one equpped, and it's the only reason I replied here) to understand my next statement and that is that the 0-9 loss is welcome in this instant.

    The market has a way of shaking a bettor's foundations and causing him to question his methods. We believe this was one of those instances. For now we stay the course, it really hasn't failed us yet.

    Never forget, to win over time you need the right moneyline numbers, not just to know that batters can hit a pitcher or that a pitcher is good against a team. A value must be assigned.

    It's about value and percieved value in the marketplace. Over the short term I will always prefer to make good bets and lose rather than bad bets and win them. This is because we are in it for a longer time horizon than the short term. And you can see how those two different types of bets eventually play out in the long haul.


  32. #32
    Chi_archie
    GASPING FOR AIR
    Chi_archie's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-22-08
    Posts: 63,130
    Betpoints: 2260

    I'm about ready to start NBA wagering for this season

  33. #33
    lakerboy
    lakerboy's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-02-09
    Posts: 93,978
    Betpoints: 7357

    Lmao. I had cubs ml +150 today. I will not bet baseball after July 1 until the playoffs

  34. #34
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Fukk that Lakeshow, buy Zona.

    It's a good bet that might just win.


  35. #35
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    anyone betting chalk is in trouble

    if anything run lines + money over 150

12 Last
Top