My rule of thumb is wait for the rotation pitchers to make three starts, which brings us to the end of April.
Comment
stevenash
Moderator
01-17-11
65200
#5
Originally posted by mama whoiscrying
Pirates today +155
I got my eye on Brubaker, kid has nasty srtuff.
g/l with that.
Comment
SamsNCharge99
SBR Aristocracy
10-22-08
41242
#6
don't bet NFL until week 14
Comment
clockwise1965
SBR Hall of Famer
10-01-13
6753
#7
Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
don't bet NFL until week 14
I usually wait til the playoffs
Comment
Goldenboy73
SBR High Roller
07-14-21
213
#8
Comment
Ian
SBR Hall of Famer
11-09-09
6029
#9
Originally posted by Goldenboy73
IME the 3 times MLB lines are the softest are at the beginning of the season, the very end of the season, and during the playoffs.
Comment
stevenash
Moderator
01-17-11
65200
#10
Originally posted by Ian
IME the 3 times MLB lines are the softest are at the beginning of the season, the very end of the season, and during the playoffs.
If you must bet opening week, bet the dogs.
Who remembers last years brutal burial?
Opening week 2021, Nine chalks were -200 or greater.
Eight lost outright.
Comment
Bostongambler
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-01-08
35581
#11
Martingale the Brewers in the series against the Cubs.
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388189
#12
Sometimes I guess May 1 is not a bad starting point but all jerkoffs gambling today on baseball
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
36753
#13
Originally posted by jjgold
Men it is when the season starts
Its all NBA now and other sports
I will watch about 5 innings total until then
Gimme an MLb winner. Send me a dime, gold.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
36753
#14
Originally posted by jjgold
Sometimes I guess May 1 is not a bad starting point but all jerkoffs gambling today on baseball
It's a gambling site, genius.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
thetrinity
SBR Posting Legend
01-25-11
22430
#15
Golds next advice don’t bet the nfl until the super bowl
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81454
#16
Originally posted by jjgold
Men it is when the season starts
Its all NBA now and other sports
I will watch about 5 innings total until then
That’s 4 or 5 more innings than what I’ll be watching.
Comment
goduke
SBR Posting Legend
02-17-10
11580
#17
Didn’t you just say you were coming in for 2k for MLB? Now you’re waiting?
Comment
turkkatarian
SBR MVP
02-12-16
2748
#18
Actually it's the exact opposite. Bet Baseball Now and lay off a little in the 2nd half of the season
Comment
thetrinity
SBR Posting Legend
01-25-11
22430
#19
Originally posted by goduke
Didn’t you just say you were coming in for 2k for MLB? Now you’re waiting?
He often will say contradicting statements within a few hours of each other. Must have learned from lakerboy
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388189
#20
Too cold to even watch baseball here
PASS
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11567
#21
Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
It's a gambling site, genius.
Everything in moderation. Cold/rainy = Unders normally. I will say MLB player props are kind of a trap. I bet Wong Over 0.5 run today because he owns Hendricks, but you'll take a guy thats hitting .450 off some pitcher and he won't do shit. I got some nice + numbers on Vlad Over 0.5 rbi early last year, but you have to look for the right match up
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11567
#22
Originally posted by jjgold
Too cold to even watch baseball here
PASS
jjfugazi
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11567
#23
Cubs/Milw April in Wrigley and the total was 10.5 with Corbin Burnes starting
Yeah no value in betting mlb early))) I didn't hit it, but IDK why?
Comment
PaperTrail07
SBR Posting Legend
08-29-08
20423
#24
NRFI as well IMO....esp where its cold
Originally posted by clockwise1965
First 5 inning unders early in the season.
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#25
Originally posted by mama whoiscrying
Pirates today +155
This
Comment
goduke
SBR Posting Legend
02-17-10
11580
#26
Originally posted by KVB
This
Why? Wainwright stellar numbers vs pirates and each of the cards hitters hit the pitcher well
Comment
jrgum3
SBR Hall of Famer
07-21-17
7005
#27
Originally posted by stevenash
If you must bet opening week, bet the dogs.
Who remembers last years brutal burial?
Opening week 2021, Nine chalks were -200 or greater.
Eight lost outright.
Yep I'm on the Royals today because everybody seems to be on the Guardians and also bet the Astros because I think they're the best dog on the board.
Comment
ThaTopMoron
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-30-10
27018
#28
i don't bet it at all
lmao
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388189
#29
Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
i don't bet it at all
lmao
Better off
Daily betting and your done early
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
36753
#30
Originally posted by jjgold
Better off
Daily betting and your done early
What about your $2000 bankroll? Cmon, man.
Goldy, send me a Dime. Betting some horses this wkend.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#31
Originally posted by goduke
Why? Wainwright stellar numbers vs pirates and each of the cards hitters hit the pitcher well
We saw value with that bet from the +200 it was going for all the way down to about +155.
Teams will have different strengths and weaknesses against each other and when compared to the league or conference as a whole...numbers we don't have yet because the season just started.
This will always be the case. My job is to determine a probability fo the game winner and compare it to the market to see if there is a bet. Remember there's a difference between a winning bet and just betting the winner.
Did I think St. Louis had a better chance of winning? Yes, especially with info like you posted.
But down to +155, the bet was with Pitt.
Actually, you are probably best equipped over anyone at this site (in fact you may be the ONLY one equpped, and it's the only reason I replied here) to understand my next statement and that is that the 0-9 loss is welcome in this instant.
The market has a way of shaking a bettor's foundations and causing him to question his methods. We believe this was one of those instances. For now we stay the course, it really hasn't failed us yet.
Never forget, to win over time you need the right moneyline numbers, not just to know that batters can hit a pitcher or that a pitcher is good against a team. A value must be assigned.
It's about value and percieved value in the marketplace. Over the short term I will always prefer to make good bets and lose rather than bad bets and win them. This is because we are in it for a longer time horizon than the short term. And you can see how those two different types of bets eventually play out in the long haul.
Comment
Chi_archie
SBR Aristocracy
07-22-08
63165
#32
I'm about ready to start NBA wagering for this season
Comment
lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94366
#33
Lmao. I had cubs ml +150 today. I will not bet baseball after July 1 until the playoffs