1. 04-14-21 09:45 AM #36
    frankieunits2685
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    Quote Originally Posted by pologq View Post
    it def feels like the -1 lines have become sharper. lots of times there is little difference between -1 & ML.
    Yes, I believe they are trying to entice you to take the ML. The other night I had a good example of this, I forget exactly what team it was, I want to say the Dodgers. The ML was around -210, and the -1 line was around -185.
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  2. 04-14-21 10:08 AM #37
    Zlaniner
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    Giant​s
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  3. 04-14-21 10:17 AM #38
    stevenash
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    ^
    Your SF Giants and my KC Royals are going to be sneaky good all season.

    Both teams are going to beat better teams 2 out of 3 and the other team will be scratching their heads saying "What just happened, I thought the Giants (or Royals) were supposed to suck"
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  4. 04-14-21 10:52 AM #39
    pologq
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    Quote Originally Posted by frankieunits2685 View Post
    Yes, I believe they are trying to entice you to take the ML. The other night I had a good example of this, I forget exactly what team it was, I want to say the Dodgers. The ML was around -210, and the -1 line was around -185.
    i have seen it with even closer lines. like -227 ML and -215 giving 1 run.
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  5. 04-14-21 11:05 AM #40
    stevenash
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    I just proved my own point.

    Mr. No hitter (by the way fading a no-no the next start is a pretty good bet, not automatic but pretty good) Musgrove is -205 on the road in Pit.

    SD is -205 money line
    SD is -125 run line

    4 years ago it would have been this.
    SD -205 money line
    SD +100 (even) run line

    I know first hand, I hunt down run lines with aces on the road.
    The line makers did what they are supposed to do, that's take away my edge.
    Doesn't mean I have to like it, my +100 even money bet I used to get is now -125
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  6. 04-14-21 11:15 AM #41
    jjgold
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    Guys pounding dodgers and making money
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  7. 04-14-21 11:26 AM #42
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Guys pounding dodgers and making money
    Yeah, since Kershaw got clubbed on opening day (with the rest of the opening day aces) at -250 LA has gone on a 9 and 1 run.
    The trick is to spot the correction before it happens.

    No team including the '27 Yankees can maintain a 90 percent clip.
    Red Sox and LA right now are automatic, but for how much longer?
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