1. #1
    Louisvillekid1
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    Gulfstream Park Saturday 4/4 Thread

    Card is very hard on the eyes.


    There is a lot of low level races on the card, and its not your typical saturday form.


    Nothing wrong with those races to handicap individually, but its difficult to string them together on the multi race bets. (which I mostly play)


    Basically want I’m saying (especially to the new guys) is don’t get hurt today.


    To play this game long term, you can’t be a robot and treat every card the same.


    I’ll post the official plays before races,


    Race 1


    #5 Big Treasure (8/1) , 3 year old has some runnings lines that fit here, on the drop. #8 Blessed Journey (2/1), Plummets to this 16k level, Top rider enticed. #3 Punchline (7/2) , Lowest tag to date, drops for the 4th consecutive race, but this 6 figure purchase needs to step up the speed figures. #12 Duellist (9/2) ,4 year colt is awfully camera shy, but must be left in the mix. #14 Fayez (8/1) & #11 Perfect Enough , Logical underneath. #2 Boogadi Steel (30/1) , Firster doesn’t need to be much vs these. Not feeling this race at all. I suppose there is some value top choice at that number.


    Race 2


    Ugly first two races to start out this card. Only thing I’ll say about this 8k claimer is that there is a ton of speed going this mile distance. Should set up for a horse to come off the pace. The favorites are horses with similar running styles. Could set up for the #8 Transistor (6/1) ,or #5 Millionare Runner (9/2)


    Race 3


    Another ugly race, but #11 Bella Gianna (12/1) , Gets back on the dirt, after setting the pace and quitting. Drops down in class, and this 4 year old chestnut filly, might get things her way at a price.


    Race 4


    #8 Nothing for Free (7/2) , Debut race vs tougher came back strong, take the big drop, for top connections. 4 year old gelding should take big step forward at second asking. #9 War Act (9/2) , Has the right running style for these, must be used. #1 Mighty Fast (6/1) , Saez on the rail for an improving horse.


    Race 5


    #9 Moon Eyes (5/2) , Top Flight connections, cannot be ignored. #1 Little Bella (2/1) , Joel rides this 4 year old filly who keeps improving and is 3rd off the layoff today. Logical. #4 Domineer (8/1) , Goes back to the grass, Adds blinkers, drops in class and gets pilot upgrade who could get more outta this 3 year old filly early. #7 Abarrio Forver (20/1) , Should like getting back on the lawn, intriguing placement at a big #.


    Race 6


    #8 Kozy Dreams (6/1) , Gets a jockey upgrade, first off the claim for new barn. Could get the trip. #9 May Day Info (8/1), 3 year old filly has been working well for the debut, Joel enticed. #12 Awesomenewyear (8/1) , Finsihed 3rd behind top choice in the last, and finally gets lasix. #13 Granny Bradley (15/1) , drops in for the tag, and the speed #’s fit. #1 Ebony Bay (9/2) , Drops in class, after a meh debut, barn will have this one improved at second asking. #5 Irish Thunder (10/1) , always takes money and 50% board hitter, makes some sense underneath. #4 Bardot (2/1) , Debuting for top flight connections, but zero chance I can take anywhere near this price.


    Race 7


    #7 Im the Captain Now (3/1) , 6 year old gelding should get the perfect trip for connections that are rolling. #10 Mystical Moon (9/2) , Another who should get the nice setup, Dylan starting to figure out the track. #4 Slick Star (20/1) , hidden horse who has tactical speed to stalk off this predicted pace. #2 Crown Moon (7/2) , Loaded with speed, but could get caught up with others in here.


    Race 8


    #7 Hotty Toddy (6/1) , Could get the setup here, and this 6 year old mare should be flying late @ a Better price than the #2 Ghostly Beauty (3/1) , Just missed last 2 under Irad, gonna get beat up at windows, and will try and beat this 4 year old filly. And #3 Lookinlikequeen (5/2) , another short price, that’s very logical, must include both of these, but still trying to beat them. #1 Lady Panda (10/1) , In great form and working well to try winners for the first time.


    Race 9


    #1 Mobeatyabad (7/2) , Big fan of this barn and could rate off the speed here. #5 Inter Miami (5/2) , Spoke about this horse while writing on Friday’s card had the lead and took a bad step at saturday. Is wheeled right back and could easily wire the field, on the drop. But might get harassed by #4 Cigar Box (8/1) , early.


    Race 10


    #9 Penalty (12/1), Might get the perfect trip, #11 Halladay (6/1), will need to stalk and could get first run on my top choice. 4 year colt is always involved #2 Kroy (6/1) , Danny Gargan has some crazy numbers and although this one is coming off the 9 month layoff, This reunited pilot has done some great work on this 6 year old gelding in the past, and their styles fit each other perfectly. might need to rate here as the speed duel could prove too much. #3 First Premio (7/2) , Bring a boat load of class, and its another off the bench for a while. Gargan’s Other #4 Dr. Shane (9/2) , Fits the uncoupled entry nicely, as should be stalking off the pace. #5 Mai Ty One On (12/1) , is 18 outta 25 in the money and makes some sense undeather. #6 Thunder Ride (20/1) , Will be bother the top choice on the front end early, but doesn’t have the class for these. #8 Class and Cash (4/1) , Will be sent early as well.


    Race 11


    #1 Tomcat Black (8/1) , 3 year old colt is improving at every asking and must be included, with red hot tyler. #3 I’ll fight Dempsey (9/5) , was very impressive in the debut, and has been lights out in the mornings, Another must use. #4 Sonneman (5/2) , Is another you have have to include trying winners for the first time. #7 Masterday (8/1) , coming outta the fountain of youth is difficult to leave off, but i believe i stop below the top 3. #8 Acre (9/2) , Kept some kept some great company as a 2 year old, and was sent to the bench, Mott can win with these, but this is a big ask today.


    Race 12


    #4 Sweet Story (8/1) , Doubt this one goes off this high, Just missed last out, and has 8 lifetimes wins, big player. #8 Avenida Mañana (9/5) , won 4 of 5 and is a must use. #9 Trilby (9/2) , Tyler gets aboard a live runner here, this is a deep field. #12 Paint the Corners (10/1) , Just yet another runner that’s always around. #3 Vitaemi (20/1) , Has been within 2 lengths in the past 3 races. Generous # here. #6 Bahama Kitten (15/1) , Another who always seems to be close. This is going to a wild finish.


    Crazy finale race to handicap

  2. #2
    Jellymancan
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    You're right, tough card, many options. I can single a couple races but horizontals will be brutal. Bad couple of days yesterday and today, so will tread carefully tomorrow. Made a lot of dumb moves today.

  3. #3
    pimike
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    Thanks

  4. #4
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jellymancan View Post
    You're right, tough card, many options. I can single a couple races but horizontals will be brutal. Bad couple of days yesterday and today, so will tread carefully tomorrow. Made a lot of dumb moves today.
    it happens , I learn everyday

  5. #5
    Louisvillekid1
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    If I play multi race bets I’ll be going super cheap

    lots if people spread out with crazy tickets on a card like this and still miss

    but again , another punter might love the card

    everyone sees this game differently

  6. #6
    Louisvillekid1
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    had a nice 2 days

    but I’m struggling sat card

    was going try Oaklawn instead but

    don’t feel like putting in the time for 2 tracks

    Could use your guys help tomorrow

    seeing anything that jumps out?

    share your singles

    ty

  7. #7
    Jellymancan
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    A couple that stand out a little higher MLs than I thought they'd be. You mentioned both.

    R3
    #11 Bella Gianna- Not sure how the heck he's 12-1 ML, his speed numbers make him dangerous in here. If Burgos gets him out well at a good trip should win. Curious to see final odds

    R10
    #9 Penalty (#3 and #11 make sense) but this one at 12-1 ML is a solid bet, just beat Largent who won last weekend, Mott second +180 32%, Zayas two in a row in reach.

    Other longshots who caught my eye.
    R1 #2 Boogadi Steel
    R5 #4 Domineer, #5 De Pura Sangre
    R7 #5 King Leonardo
    R8 #1 Lady Panda
    R10 #2 Kroy, #6 Thunder Ride, #5 Mai T One On
    Last edited by Jellymancan; 04-03-20 at 09:50 PM.
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  8. #8
    jjgold
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    Kid never
    Sleeps

    Too bad some top
    Jocks ran away from Gulfstream

  9. #9
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jellymancan View Post
    A couple that stand out a little higher MLs than I thought they'd be. You mentioned both.

    R3
    #11 Bella Gianna- Not sure how the heck he's 12-1 ML, his speed numbers make him dangerous in here. If Burgos gets him out well at a good trip should win. Curious to see final odds

    R10
    #9 Penalty (#3 and #11 make sense) but this one at 12-1 ML is a solid bet, just beat Largent who won last weekend, Mott second +180 32%, Zayas two in a row in reach.
    I put both on top , but zero chance I’m leaving first premio off a ticket... penalty for a win bet for sure at that number but I can’t single

  10. #10
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Kid never
    Sleeps

    Too bad some top
    Jocks ran away from Gulfstream
    We good JJ

    I’m not scared to admit I don’t have a good feel a card

    this game everyday is different

    learning to manage that is the key

    can’t hit a home run every day

    gotta take what they offer

    for years I tried to hit every pick 4/5

    im maturing a lot as a wagerer

    and trusting the handicapping

  11. #11
    Louisvillekid1
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    I miss NY racing , won’t lie

  12. #12
    Jellymancan
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    I put both on top , but zero chance I’m leaving first premio off a ticket... penalty for a win bet for sure at that number but I can’t single
    Yeah. Tough to have confident singles tomorrow. I'll do some cheap horizontals couple win bets but most will be low $. Tyler on that horse is a must play, especially how he's been riding this week.

  13. #13
    Louisvillekid1
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    Watching any given Sunday

    havent seen in a while

    was way ahead of its time

    but this is classic

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=_b7bgtu2O4E

  14. #14
    Louisvillekid1
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    scratches

    1. 14,15,16
    2. 7,8,9
    3. 2,9,13,14,15,16
    6. 3 #13 runs
    8. 3,512,13
    9. 7
    10. 7,12

  15. #15
    Ventura
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    Early pick 5

    1,5,8,12
    3,10
    8,11
    2,5,8,9
    1

  16. #16
    jjgold
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    Good luck kid

  17. #17
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ventura View Post
    Early pick 5

    1,5,8,12
    3,10
    8,11
    2,5,8,9
    1
    My ticket looks very similar


    first 2 races are brutal

  18. #18
    Ventura
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    First race is absolutely terrible. I think the one-paced-plodder Barbie’s King finds a way to make first run today and get there.

  19. #19
    Louisvillekid1
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    Actually I’m just playing the pick 4

    Opener can go so many directions

    I can’t even predict who gets the lead, maybe the 7

  20. #20
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ventura View Post
    First race is absolutely terrible. I think the one-paced-plodder Barbie’s King finds a way to make first run today and get there.
    lol been looking at it for so long

    and thought hector on top from rail also

    I think the pick 5 is gonna pay huge

    and saffie just giving away the 10 in the second , coming outta Navarro barn and tuned up work begging to be claimed

  21. #21
    Louisvillekid1
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    I don’t wanna invest so much in pick 5 then keep playing back

    might single the 1 for cheap

  22. #22
    Louisvillekid1
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    Tyler has pace to run at in this field either on the 12

  23. #23
    Ventura
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    I think the 3 and 7 go to the front. 1 will be close.

  24. #24
    Louisvillekid1
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    Race one is terrible and wide open so just taking a cheap shot because it’s gonna be huge payout early pick 5... and it’s only another $24 to play back the pick 4...
    Early pick 5
    1
    3,10
    8,11
    1,8,9
    1,4,7,9 ($24)

  25. #25
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ventura View Post
    I think the 3 and 7 go to the front. 1 will be close.
    Plus I couldn’t single Joel on the back end

    the pick 3 is the strongest of the sequence

    I’m no sold the 3 and the 10 don’t kill each other in the 2nd , it was good the 7 scratched

  26. #26
    Ventura
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    lol been looking at it for so long

    and thought hector on top from rail also

    I think the pick 5 is gonna pay huge

    and saffie just giving away the 10 in the second , coming outta Navarro barn and tuned up work begging to be claimed
    2nd race if I go any deeper I’d use the 5. I really like the 3 in that race though.

    Fun fact - In November 2018 we offered $7,000 for the 1 in the 1st race. Extremely happy we never got a response on that one.

  27. #27
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ventura View Post
    2nd race if I go any deeper I’d use the 5. I really like the 3 in that race though.

    Fun fact - In November 2018 we offered $7,000 for the 1 in the 1st race. Extremely happy we never got a response on that one.
    Agree almost singled the 3... Think the 10 might be a dead horse, but tyler did aboard.

    The 5 will moving late

  28. #28
    Ventura
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    Agree almost singled the 3... Think the 10 might be a dead horse, but tyler did aboard.

    The 5 will moving late
    All three scratches in that race are vet scratches and this one is still in. If they win and lose the horse they still should turn a small profit. I have no clue what Saffie charges for a day rate.

  29. #29
    Jellymancan
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    P5
    1,2,3,5
    3,10
    8,10,11
    1,8
    1

    Gl guys.

  30. #30
    Ventura
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jellymancan View Post
    P5
    1,2,3,5
    3,10
    8,10,11
    1,8
    1

    Gl guys.
    Good luck

  31. #31
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    Tyler has pace to run at in this field either on the 12
    He has been on fire.

  32. #32
    Louisvillekid1
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    Strikes again

  33. #33
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    He has been on fire.
    Stays on fire

  34. #34
    Louisvillekid1
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    Oh well play back pick 4

  35. #35
    JayTris07
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    GL Kid,

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