~~~ AUSTRALIAN OPEN In-Game THREAD ~~~

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  • burtonrider726
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-15-13
    • 247

    #806
    Nole -1.5 is at -280 but got to find something to parlay it with. I’ve never won betting against Federer.

    Nole is on another level and he made raonic look like an average server. Though he has had a relatively easy draw, he has only lost one set and that was to struff. If fed isn’t serving well, he is going to get broken more than a few times. Fed’s draw has been tougher, but everyone has choked against him. Millman should have beat him as he was far better than fed on that day. Tennys should have put him away too. The moment was too big for all these players playing him. 13 match points and they couldn’t close him out.

    Also, Novak knows how important this major is towards his totals and I just don’t see him choking. He looks the fresher of the two. All signs point to Novak.
    Comment
    • degennn
      SBR MVP
      • 11-26-18
      • 1687

      #807
      Originally posted by burtonrider726
      Nole -1.5 is at -280 but got to find something to parlay it with. I’ve never won betting against Federer.

      Nole is on another level and he made raonic look like an average server. Though he has had a relatively easy draw, he has only lost one set and that was to struff. If fed isn’t serving well, he is going to get broken more than a few times. Fed’s draw has been tougher, but everyone has choked against him. Millman should have beat him as he was far better than fed on that day. Tennys should have put him away too. The moment was too big for all these players playing him. 13 match points and they couldn’t close him out.

      Also, Novak knows how important this major is towards his totals and I just don’t see him choking. He looks the fresher of the two. All signs point to Novak.
      Feels like theyre begging for fed money...think djoker in straight sets could be the look. Also havent watched many on jokers matches this ao since the matchups have been pretty garbage.
      Comment
      • degennn
        SBR MVP
        • 11-26-18
        • 1687

        #808
        Originally posted by degennn
        Feels like theyre begging for fed money...think djoker in straight sets could be the look. Also havent watched many on jokers matches this ao since the matchups have been pretty garbage.
        Essentially i am without a clue
        Comment
        • burtonrider726
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-15-13
          • 247

          #809
          The eye test, everyone will take a shot on Fed. People don’t realize how lucky he is to be in a semi. Number 2 vs number 3. Etc. I just don’t think it will be that close and also Nadal out should be a huge motivation factor. Looks like it is going to be a hot match too and a physical one.
          Comment
          • asiagambler
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-23-17
            • 6831

            #810
            Have to like Muguruza to win it if by miracle Halep wins this set. Looks like she's running on fumes
            Comment
            • MiDNiTe
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 11-11-13
              • 7684

              #811
              Originally posted by burtonrider726
              Nole -1.5 is at -280 but got to find something to parlay it with. I’ve never won betting against Federer.

              Nole is on another level and he made raonic look like an average server. Though he has had a relatively easy draw, he has only lost one set and that was to struff. If fed isn’t serving well, he is going to get broken more than a few times. Fed’s draw has been tougher, but everyone has choked against him. Millman should have beat him as he was far better than fed on that day. Tennys should have put him away too. The moment was too big for all these players playing him. 13 match points and they couldn’t close him out.

              Also, Novak knows how important this major is towards his totals and I just don’t see him choking. He looks the fresher of the two. All signs point to Novak.
              Yeah I never bet fed guy is always too short and when he is decent odds he loses, lifetime think I've bet twice on fed and he lost both times for me so told myself never again, mugs deserves this match she's been brilliant, thought halep had slight edge but mugs defending out of this world
              Comment
              • wikkidinsane
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-30-10
                • 13799

                #812
                Guys how did Kenin win earlier. I will watch all the pts later on but this is Murguruza to lose. It was crucial she didnt take it to three sets.
                Comment
                • wikkidinsane
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 05-30-10
                  • 13799

                  #813
                  Im on over 33 in Fed Djokovic
                  Comment
                  • Emmanuel70
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 02-18-19
                    • 95

                    #814
                    So Muguruza vs. Kenin to the finals, congrats to both!

                    Despite the fact Kenin won a few months earlier in Shanghai ,seems the AO trophey closing an eye on Mugs this time, she was hard to beat today and Barty underestimate Kenin, but aint gona happen on Saturday by Mugs!!
                    Comment
                    • wikkidinsane
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 05-30-10
                      • 13799

                      #815
                      Originally posted by Emmanuel70
                      So Muguruza vs. Kenin to the finals, congrats to both!

                      Despite the fact Kenin won a few months earlier in Shanghai ,seems the AO trophey closing an eye on Mugs this time, she was hard to beat today and Barty underestimate Kenin, but aint gona happen on Saturday by Mugs!!
                      We just saw Murguruza play a very contested game against a godlike baseline player. Kenin can play on her back foot also. Murguruza just need to keep her aggression going in and if her strokes not working, she can fall back on her serving. Kenin slow serves willgive Murguruza ample opportunities to break her too. Only edge i give Kenin is mental fortitude.
                      Comment
                      • Emmanuel70
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 02-18-19
                        • 95

                        #816
                        Originally posted by wikkidinsane
                        Im on over 33 in Fed Djokovic
                        What's the best odds you found?
                        At 1.83 I won't buy it, you need a TB and a 6-4, 6-4 or a set for FEDEX to incash that one...
                        Comment
                        • wikkidinsane
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 05-30-10
                          • 13799

                          #817
                          Originally posted by Emmanuel70
                          What's the best odds you found?
                          At 1.83 I won't buy it, you need a TB and a 6-4, 6-4 or a set for FEDEX to incash that one...
                          I took it at even money this morning at 830 est. My book was offering over 32.5 for like -120. Im like no ill take the evens @ over33
                          Comment
                          • Emmanuel70
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 02-18-19
                            • 95

                            #818
                            At even sounds good wikki, all the best then, I'll involve LIVE as damn bet365 doesnt have sets that I wish to play ( where is good old Beftair for me, grrrrr )
                            Comment
                            • Conqueror
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-08-13
                              • 16777

                              #819
                              Muguruza -1.5 sets was around +320.
                              Comment
                              • Thrilla
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-10-15
                                • 13809

                                #820
                                Keeping in mind who will most likely choke away championship points in the Kenin vs. Muguruza final. The first ever grandslam finalist or the winner of multiple grandslams.
                                Comment
                                • Conqueror
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-08-13
                                  • 16777

                                  #821
                                  If Federer dated either Kenin or Muguruza he would have a chance of beating Djokovic.
                                  Comment
                                  • asiagambler
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 07-23-17
                                    • 6831

                                    #822
                                    Damn so I guess Federer has to servebot his way to a set
                                    Comment
                                    • asiagambler
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 07-23-17
                                      • 6831

                                      #823
                                      Fed hanging in there early
                                      Comment
                                      • MiDNiTe
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-11-13
                                        • 7684

                                        #824
                                        My book is panicking, live bet been suspended for ages wow what a start fed
                                        Comment
                                        • asiagambler
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 07-23-17
                                          • 6831

                                          #825
                                          Damn had 3 chances for 5-1
                                          Comment
                                          • asiagambler
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 07-23-17
                                            • 6831

                                            #826
                                            Originally posted by MiDNiTe
                                            My book is panicking, live bet been suspended for ages wow what a start fed
                                            Probably need to adjust. Fed not hurting and pre match odds way off
                                            Comment
                                            • MiDNiTe
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-11-13
                                              • 7684

                                              #827
                                              Joker maybe @1.60 after losing first set since he was @1.50 serving down break
                                              Comment
                                              • asiagambler
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 07-23-17
                                                • 6831

                                                #828
                                                Choke
                                                Comment
                                                • Conqueror
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-08-13
                                                  • 16777

                                                  #829
                                                  Originally posted by asiagambler
                                                  Choke
                                                  Surprising. I thought for a while that Fed 1st set was already a lock.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MiDNiTe
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-11-13
                                                    • 7684

                                                    #830
                                                    If u like fed might as well bet him first set and hope he can get tb and win it since after having 3bps at 0-40 to go up double break and not win set, very hard to recover from that
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MiDNiTe
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 11-11-13
                                                      • 7684

                                                      #831
                                                      Hawkeye says joker bh was long
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Thrilla
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-10-15
                                                        • 13809

                                                        #832
                                                        Damn

                                                        Fed can't keep the points short atm
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Emmanuel70
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 02-18-19
                                                          • 95

                                                          #833
                                                          Fedex started his muggy play, brainless hits around the court....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MiDNiTe
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-11-13
                                                            • 7684

                                                            #834
                                                            Fed 16 winners to 2 at one stage
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Emmanuel70
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 02-18-19
                                                              • 95

                                                              #835
                                                              Miracle that game save!!

                                                              Hang in there for the TB you MUG!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • asiagambler
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 07-23-17
                                                                • 6831

                                                                #836
                                                                Originally posted by MiDNiTe
                                                                Hawkeye says joker bh was long
                                                                Fed squandered so many chances this set
                                                                Comment
                                                                • asiagambler
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 07-23-17
                                                                  • 6831

                                                                  #837
                                                                  At least got a tiebreak. Good for over
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Emmanuel70
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 02-18-19
                                                                    • 95

                                                                    #838
                                                                    6-5 and 30-30 and odds are cemented like at pre-game ffs !!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MiDNiTe
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 11-11-13
                                                                      • 7684

                                                                      #839
                                                                      Tb time, huge pressure cooker set
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Conqueror
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-08-13
                                                                        • 16777

                                                                        #840
                                                                        Originally posted by Emmanuel70
                                                                        6-5 and 30-30 and odds are cemented like at pre-game ffs !!
                                                                        Exactly!
                                                                        Comment
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