NL Wild Card: Milwaukee (Woodruff) +160 at Washington (Scherzer) -170

[stevenash]

Washington (Scherzer) -170 / Milwaukee (Woodruff) +160
Total 8 runs

Line opened up -165, shot up to -170, as the early money came in on the Nationals.
Right now I’m leaning Scherzer and the Nationals, I don’t like laying anything over -140 but may parlay them with Oakland once the line comes out in that game.

I do like the under 8 in this game though as Woodruff had a very nice season.

I’ll write this game up tomorrow as well as the AL WC game as it’s still early.
I can also make a case for Woodruff but I’m not positive he’s fully recovered from that oblique tear as he’s only pitched 4 innings in two starts this past week.

[lakerboy]

Washington will probably win.

[Mr KLC]

Washington can be dangerous in a 5 game series against the Dodgers,

[stevenash]

Washington will probably win.

That’s the way I’m leaning right now.

[stevenash]

Shit.
Total just got bet down to 7.5
I loved it at 8 flat was ready to bet it at 8 and just like that it’s 7.5
I’ll leave the total alone for now too.
Damn it!

[stevenash]

Nationals getting a lot of love.
Now they are -173.

Oakland opens up at -142/Tampa Bay +132
Tampa starts Morton, Oakland’s starter is not decided yet but some books are taking Oakland -142 right now with an undecided starter.

Both game totals are 7.5

I’m thinking right now a Washington/Oakland parlay may be the way to go here.
A -173/-142 100 dollar parlay pays 168 and change or pretty much 17 for 10.

[lakerboy]

Isn't manaea starting for Oakland?

[bballs84]

He’s going to... him for 5/6, Luzardo for 2/3, Hendricks for 1 and head to Houston to get smashed unfortunately

[juicername]

Washington will probably win.

The -170 team will probably win. Sharp.

[stevenash]

The -170 team will probably win. Sharp.

I think so too.
Max is a difficult fade.
Early money thinks so too.
Line is doing the steady climb.
-165 up to -170 now at -172.

Oakland HAS NOT officially named Manaea as of yet, but he’s the logical choice.

If Washington goes up 8-0 early Max will be pulled, anything less he’s going eight innings.
Tampa can’t hang with Oakland out there in Oakland.

[milwaukee mike]

brewers are built for these types of games, they can throw a bunch of different arms out there

line seems way too high

[CanuckG]

Under city

[trytrytry]

washington first 5
washington
washington run line

[thomorino]

Washington likely rolls, scherzer. us healthy and woodruff is the kind of young pitcher who Is expect to struggle in these spots.

[nyplayer33]

Ok then, thats fine. But.....its 1 game

[JIBBBY]

brewers are built for these types of games, they can throw a bunch of different arms out there

line seems way too high

Agreed..


Still Washington was actually the hottest team in their last 10 games going 9-1 to close out the regular season so it's a tricky game to bet.. Washington has a very good home record too. On paper everything points to Washington winning this but I'm still giving Milwaukee a good chance in this one regardless.

https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/standings/

[lakerboy]

The -170 team will probably win. Sharp.

I usually take dogs but Milwaukee is dead money here.

[lakerboy]

brewers are built for these types of games, they can throw a bunch of different arms out there

line seems way too high

Brewers are built for these types of games? You mean a one game winner take it all?

Like game 7 last year vs the dodgers?

[thomorino]

Brewers are built for these types of games? You mean a one game winner take it all?

Like game 7 last year vs the dodgers?

Brewers bullpen has been bad most of the year, agree lakerbioy.

[robbypark]

Milwaukee is going to win.

[stevenash]

Milwaukee is going to win.

They could win, hell 4 to 1 dogs have won games this season, but I don’t see that happening tomorrow.
They may go to Strasberg out of the bullpen if need be.

My official play is a two team parlay.
Washington -173/Oakland -142

50 to win 84.68

If Washington does shit the bed I’m out 50.
If I bet Washington as a stand-alone an they shit the bed I’m out lose 86 and change.

[pavyracer]

No need to cap. Just wait to see who jjgold likes and then bet the other team.

[thomorino]

They could win, hell 4 to 1 dogs have won games this season, but I don’t see that happening tomorrow.
They may go to Strasberg out of the bullpen if need be.

My official play is a two team parlay.
Washington -173/Oakland -142

50 to win 84.68

If Washington does shit the bed I’m out 50.
If I bet Washington as a stand-alone an they shit the bed I’m out lose 86 and change.

I clean to Washington first 5 on the run line but I don't want to deal with their bullpen.

[Mike Huntertz]

Hard to go against Max

[milwaukee mike]

Brewers are built for these types of games? You mean a one game winner take it all?

Like game 7 last year vs the dodgers?

you're comparing a game 7 (where the bullpen pitchers have been seen by the same team for 6 games in a row) to a one-game winner take all

you should compare it to last year, brewers had to win last game and did, then had to win 1 game winner take all in chicago and did, then won the first game of every playoff series

[beavis13]

Brewers bullpen has been bad most of the year, agree lakerbioy.

So has the Nats.

[beavis13]

Wash first 5
over
small brewers ml if it gets get past +180

[milwaukee mike]

Brewers bullpen has been bad most of the year, agree lakerbioy.

brewers bullpen far and away better than the nats, especially with the addition of pomeranz and moving suter to the pen

[JIBBBY]

Wish this game was this afternoon, give me something to bet on. No need for days off now with WC games..

[thomorino]

brewers bullpen far and away better than the nats, especially with the addition of pomeranz and moving suter to the pen

The idea that this year Brewers team is bulit for games like this is stupid, the Brewers bullpen has struggled all year. Given scherzer is starting the nats won't likely need to rely on their bullpen very much, he's been the best pitcher in the national league his last several starts and looks healthy. Anything can happen in 1 game but this line should be nats -200, scherzer should be able to go at least 8 against this Brewers team with yelich out.

[thomorino]

So has the Nats.

Woodruff almost never pitches deep scherzer does.

[milwaukee mike]

The idea that this year Brewers team is bulit for games like this is stupid, the Brewers bullpen has struggled all year. Given scherzer is starting the nats won't likely need to rely on their bullpen very much, he's been the best pitcher in the national league his last several starts and looks healthy. Anything can happen in 1 game but this line should be nats -200, scherzer should be able to go at least 8 against this Brewers team with yelich out.

just because you keep saying it doesn't make it true

brewers bullpen era in september was the lowest in the league, and the nationals bullpen is the worst of any postseason team

https://www.mlb.com/news/ranking-the-mlb-postseason-bullpens

[Buckandadime]

brewers are built for these types of games, they can throw a bunch of different arms out there

line seems way too high

For a game of this magnitude, I agree..

[lakerboy]

you're comparing a game 7 (where the bullpen pitchers have been seen by the same team for 6 games in a row) to a one-game winner take all

you should compare it to last year, brewers had to win last game and did, then had to win 1 game winner take all in chicago and did, then won the first game of every playoff series

Okay fair enough but the Brewers lost last game yesterday. They limped in. I don't think they will do much vs scherzer.

[beavis13]

Woodruff almost never pitches deep scherzer does.

Not arguing that. Thus I said wash first 5. I’m not taking a favorite that big full game with their garbage bullpen.