Wednesdays Plays?? I Am Tailing LT Profits EVERY GAME

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388189

    #1
    Wednesdays Plays?? I Am Tailing LT Profits EVERY GAME
    Yes Sir
  • KiDBaZkiT
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-20-09
    • 14962

    #2
    Today is the only day of the year I won't bet no matter what. Football starts for real tomorrow. Aside from some October games I am done with bases for this year.
    Comment
    • jts1207
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-15-16
      • 8011

      #3
      Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT
      Today is the only day of the year I won't bet no matter what. Football starts for real tomorrow. Aside from some October games I am done with bases for this year.
      Lots of meaningful bases. Probably best time for baseball as opposed to early football.
      Comment
      • KiDBaZkiT
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-20-09
        • 14962

        #4
        Originally posted by jts1207
        Lots of meaningful bases. Probably best time for baseball as opposed to early football.
        Baseball just too much chalk. It's pathetic.
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          JJ is a brave man!
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388189

            #6
            5 MLB Plays for me

            Yankees / Mariners UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
            Pirates / Phillies UNDER 10 -110 (Heritage)
            Cubs / Mets UNDER 7.5 +100 (Heritage)
            Tigers +163 (Heritage)
            Athletics / Royals UNDER 9 -103 (5 Dimes)
            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #7
              That's a lot of UNDERs, Gold.

              Good luck to you and LT.

              I have both TB +1.5 and SEA +1.5 back on the Contrarian Runline Fund radar.

              Comment
              • Otters27
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 07-14-07
                • 30749

                #8
                Not a bad plan
                Comment
                • KVB
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-29-14
                  • 74817

                  #9
                  Picked up SEA on the RL, but it could be a tough one for the RL Fund...

                  Originally posted by KVB
                  The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has picked up...

                  962 28-Aug SEA +1.5 (+140)
                  We see value, but man this feels ugly...
                  Going to have to really stretch during this grinding two dollar steak tough market...

                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #10
                    As if the guy didn’t have enough problems without you mushing him:
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #11
                      Originally posted by jts1207
                      Lots of meaningful bases. Probably best time for baseball as opposed to early football.
                      Couldn’t disagree more, I much prefer the 1st half of the season.
                      Comment
                      • KVB
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-29-14
                        • 74817

                        #12
                        While I mentioned elsewhere that the I had a raw forecast of Philly beating Pitt outright by what equated to about a run, there are contrarian adjustments made here and at this price we see value for the Fund...

                        Originally posted by KVB
                        The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                        953 28-Aug PIT +137
                        ...
                        Got in a little workout for this play...

                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          Reds/marlins ff under 4

                          Sprinkling fish ff as well.
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            As always w alcontera if he can keep his walks down he can hold any lineup in check. Def like his chances to holds reds down for 5 innings.
                            Comment
                            • KVB
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-29-14
                              • 74817

                              #15
                              Picked up two more Contrarian plays, hitting just one would be nice...

                              Originally posted by KVB
                              The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

                              964 28-Aug DET +183
                              978 COL +163
                              ...
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #16
                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                Reds/marlins ff under 4

                                Sprinkling fish ff as well.
                                Like that look. I have about a 7 point game and seeing some RLM sprinkled out there on the UNDER for the game.

                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74817

                                  #17
                                  That UNDER in CHC/NYM seems like a sharp play, it hit 7.5 and still presses down. It's on the Fund radar but definitely taking a hit in value there.

                                  Comment
                                  • KVB
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 05-29-14
                                    • 74817

                                    #18
                                    UNDER in Citi Field it is...

                                    Originally posted by KVB
                                    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

                                    958 28-Aug CHC/NYM UNDER 7.5 (-112)
                                    This game went from on the radar to a play real quick...
                                    Comment
                                    • Fingernail
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 08-24-19
                                      • 88

                                      #19
                                      Trump 2020. Four More Years!!!! 🇺🇸
                                      Comment
                                      • KVB
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 05-29-14
                                        • 74817

                                        #20
                                        The OVER in ATL/TOR is also on the Fund radar. Not liking that 10 though hoping by miracle we blink back to 9.5.

                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388189

                                          #21
                                          Lets go lt!
                                          Comment
                                          • KVB
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 05-29-14
                                            • 74817

                                            #22
                                            Added the TB runline...

                                            Originally posted by KVB
                                            The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has picked up...

                                            967 28-Aug TB +1.5 (-105)
                                            Just caught the -105 here, -110 is still a buy...
                                            Comment
                                            • pavyracer
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-12-07
                                              • 82488

                                              #23
                                              The only thing that JJ is tailing today is the truck in front of him in traffic.
                                              Comment
                                              • KVB
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-29-14
                                                • 74817

                                                #24
                                                Cubs go 6-0 top of the first.


                                                Comment
                                                • pavyracer
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 04-12-07
                                                  • 82488

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                                  Cubs go 6-0 top of the first.


                                                  It's a bug in the model. LT working feverishly tonight to fix it.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • veriableodds
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-22-17
                                                    • 5093

                                                    #26
                                                    loved the cubs tonite! was my only play
                                                    so evenly matched with very little variance and getting + money
                                                    Wednesday, 8/28/2019 (7:10 PM)
                                                    Matchup Report | FoxSheet
                                                    957: CHICAGO CUBS
                                                    958: NY METS
                                                    +110
                                                    -120
                                                    7.5 70-61 (W1)
                                                    67-64 (L4)
                                                    60-61-10
                                                    66-53-12
                                                    4.9 / 4.4
                                                    4.8 / 4.6
                                                    (R) K HENDRICKS
                                                    (R) N SYNDERGAARD
                                                    9-9
                                                    9-6
                                                    11-13 (W1)
                                                    15-10 (W1)
                                                    3.20
                                                    3.71
                                                    1.095
                                                    1.175
                                                    really? does it get anybetter

                                                    Straight Up Trends (Won Loss)

                                                    Category Record Percent
                                                    Away Teams 928-1056 46.77%
                                                    Home Teams 1056-928 53.23%
                                                    Favorites 1180-781 60.17%
                                                    Dogs 781-1180 39.83%
                                                    Away Favorites 419-289 59.18%
                                                    Away Dogs 492-761 39.27%
                                                    Home Favorites 761-492 60.73%
                                                    Home Dogs 289-419 40.82%
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jjgold
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                      • 388189

                                                      #27
                                                      Good call cubs
                                                      Comment
                                                      • veriableodds
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 08-22-17
                                                        • 5093

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                                        Good call cubs
                                                        Honestly, guess it could of gone either way 50/50 just looking for 43% or higher win% with bases. Low variance games is all I really seek out in the sport, I do at the beginning of season bet favs but its a threshold, before mid season tells me if I continue with it , or not.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pavyracer
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 04-12-07
                                                          • 82488

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by jjgold
                                                          Good call cubs
                                                          I think both teams will go over the total by themselves and he bet the under.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KVB
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 05-29-14
                                                            • 74817

                                                            #30
                                                            A great run, a quiet market, it was bound to give way to some volatility and our upside was running out for that last run...

                                                            Originally posted by KVB
                                                            It's not like I didn't predict the downturn here, really missing that 3 units from Sunday now.

                                                            The Fund has lost 6 straight plays and 9 out of the last 10. The incredible run and the all that quiet sideways charting has given way to volatility and a drop. I timed a unit increase decrease well here.

                                                            Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 571 plays...

                                                            953 28-Aug PIT +137 -1
                                                            958 CHC/NYM UNDER 7.5 (-112) -1
                                                            964 DET +183 -1
                                                            978 COL +163 -1
                                                            Wed -4
                                                            Weeks 1-5 -1.32
                                                            Weeks 6-10 -1.23
                                                            Weeks 11-15 -4.9
                                                            Weeks 16-20 6.19
                                                            Week 21 4.49
                                                            Week 22 0.58
                                                            Mon -3
                                                            Tue -0.78
                                                            Total -3.97
                                                            Still on the bigger unit in the RL Fund at it's gone negative, hoping it climbs back.

                                                            Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund through 97 plays, after losing 4 straight...

                                                            917 27-Aug TB +1.5 (-125) -1
                                                            924 SEA +1.5 (+105) -1
                                                            962 28-Aug SEA +1.5 (+140) -1
                                                            967 TB +1.5 (-105) -1
                                                            Week 23 -4
                                                            Weeks 1-5 -4.92
                                                            Weeks 6-10 -4.59
                                                            Weeks 11-15 4.86
                                                            Weeks 16-20 -4.55
                                                            Week 21 -1.13
                                                            Week 22 3.21
                                                            Total -11.12
                                                            Quite the slide this week all around.

                                                            Comment
                                                            • KVB
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-29-14
                                                              • 74817

                                                              #31
                                                              Picked this up for Saturday...

                                                              Originally posted by KVB
                                                              The NCAAF UPSET Basket has added...

                                                              281 31-Aug ILLINOIS ST +155
                                                              ...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KiDBaZkiT
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-20-09
                                                                • 14962

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by KVB
                                                                Picked this up for Saturday...


                                                                That could break a dikk off....
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jjgold
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                                  • 388189

                                                                  #33
                                                                  BURIED HERE

                                                                  0-6 on LT Plays
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 2daBank
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                                    • 88966

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                    BURIED HERE

                                                                    0-6 on LT Plays
                                                                    Wow. I just happened to stop in his thread and saw some signs it might have went badly, so I came here to get a update., ouch.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jjgold
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                                      • 388189

                                                                      #35
                                                                      LT might retire
                                                                      Comment
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