Is Justin7 writing a sports betting book?

[rookie]

I'm seriously thinking about giving out one secret - how I hit 62% for 5 years on one kind of bet. The theory carries over to other sports, notably NCAAF (although not to the point where you'll hit 62%).

Giving out a secret is your prerogative but if you let it out it, will it not be close to 50% (maybe a bit better) going forward ? Or have the books already made the correction ?

[Justin7]

Giving out a secret is your prerogative but if you let it out it, will it not be close to 50% (maybe a bit better) going forward ? Or have the books already made the correction ?

Yes. But, the opportunity no longer exists. It disappeared with the league's bankruptcy and reduced player salaries.

[rookie]

One more thing - any chance of an e-book (pdf or similar) version as well ?

[IrishTim]

I haven't decided yet. Here's a few I'm tossing around:

Gambler's Cookbook

My vote. I'd love an advanced copy no matter what you choose to name it.

[Justin7]

One more thing - any chance of an e-book (pdf or similar) version as well ?

Doubtful. The audience is very small, and the conversion charts alone are worth the price of the book. I think .pdf would be too east to copy.

[sharpcat]

Math wins

[Justin7]

Math wins

I'm working with a Ph.D. mathematician from Hungary to try to get my MLB runline conversion chart right. I'd never even heard of a "logistic regression" until he showed me a possible solution to estimating the odds of the home team winning by exactly one run, given a game moneyline and total.

[BigDaddy]

Yes. But, the opportunity no longer exists. It disappeared with the league's bankruptcy and reduced player salaries.

thats to bad

[FreeFall]

I'd be willing to just paypal you cash directly Justin7. My Uncle is an author and I know what publishers do to your payouts.

[sharpcat]

I'm working with a Ph.D. mathematician from Hungary to try to get my MLB runline conversion chart right. I'd never even heard of a "logistic regression" until he showed me a possible solution to estimating the odds of the home team winning by exactly one run, given a game moneyline and total.

Thats great I actually stared building a database of opening and closing RL and ML odds with the hopes of narrowing down a fair RL when compared to the ML. It seems to me that the RL is not very consistent with the ML.

Looking forward to the book

[mathdotcom]

So it is no longer profitable but you are hesitating to release this beautiful secret before the book comes out?

[jjgold]

No need for books, math ect

you want to win you bonus scam, scalp and middle

end of fukkin discussion

there is not other way

[flyingillini]

No mames guey leva!

[iifold]

buy FFI stock

[durito]

Mathy can laugh. You can't. Understand?

[mathdotcom]

durito it is a +EV play to laugh at anything Justin says. Don't you know FH's approach to life yet?

The post he's laughing at just reeks of ignorance.

[durito]

durito it is a +EV play to laugh at anything Justin says. Don't you know FH's approach to life yet?

The post he's laughing at just reeks of ignorance.

Yes, but FH doesn't even understand the post he is laughing at.

[skrtelfan]

I can't imagine it's +EV to publish a ML>RL conversion chart.

[Marginalis]

[noober]

I vote for "Math Wins". Looking forward to reading it.

[purecarnagge]

the real question is what happened to that feature or piece ESPN was doing on ya?

[Justin7]

the real question is what happened to that feature or piece ESPN was doing on ya?

It got scratched when Arena football announced their bankruptcy.

[dice]

Justin, your videos have been inspiring and very informative. Keep it up! I'll buy a book when you finish it.

[TheBeautifulGame]

Agree with Dice, love watching the videos and would definitely buy the book. Congrats on the accomplishment