LOL at Pats only being 8 point favorites.

[lonegambler23]

alex smith gona be slingin being down.. believe its gona be mahomes time at some point this season

[WWCD]

Tom Brady's TD/INT ratio plummeted last time Edelman was out.

• Since 2009, Brady’s win percentage with Edelman has been 81.8 percent. Without Edelman, Brady’s win percentage drops to 68.4 percent. His touchdown-to-interception ratio also drops from 4.9 to 1.7, according to ESPN.

http://https://twitter.com/ESPNStats...501057/photo/1


I have the Pats in this game too, but I feel it will be a closer game than most people think.

[MoonPond]

Tom Brady's TD/INT ratio plummeted last time Edelman was out.

• Since 2009, Brady’s win percentage with Edelman has been 81.8 percent. Without Edelman, Brady’s win percentage drops to 68.4 percent. His touchdown-to-interception ratio also drops from 4.9 to 1.7, according to ESPN.

http://https://twitter.com/ESPNStats...501057/photo/1


I have the Pats in this game too, but I feel it will be a closer game than most people think.

Very much this. I think the Patriots will probably win.

However, if anyone is going to bet Chiefs' moneyline they may as well parlay it with the under; because the Chiefs' passing offense won't be able to keep up with their starting runningback out. Only way I see them winning is by stopping Brady(they now lack Edelman).

[eeezzzz]

Chiefs cover easily

[BreesIsTheGOAT]

The 1 issue is if you look at Patriots games last year Brady struggled whenever he had extended time off. He struggled against Seattle off the bye, he struggle again Houston off the bye, and he struggled against Atlanta in the super bowl. The Chiefs aren't as good defensively as those teams and Alex Smith sucks on the road, but Brady's struggles when he had extended time off are interesting.

well, in his defense he was 6-2 ATS on the road last year

[Gaze73]

Aren't too good to be true lines usually bookie traps?

These threads end the same way every single time.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

BigBus, the pod-cast guys were laughing about this game, too. How can it be that ez?

60min later, Alex Smith was the one laughing.

[dlowilly]

Would love to see the overall record for forum consensus plays

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Would love to see the overall record for forum consensus plays

I've made a similar comment. There is value to Contrarian-handicapping.

Think about how many tickets Patriots loss killed. -8.5, 6-pt Teaser, Moneyline.

[thomorino]

The Patriots have been a consensus play for 10 years, they are 60% against the spread and contrarian handicappers went broke last year, you have to handicap the games, blindly fading the public is a loser.