Velcorr's picks

[velcorr]

Friday, July 8

Up 29 units since I started betting sports, three weeks ago.

Baseball
Chi Cubs vs. Pittsburgh OVER 7.5 1 UNIT
Milwaukee vs. St Louis UNDER 8.5 1 UNIT

MMA

TUF FINALE
Jingliang Li vs Anton Zafir (Li by finish -115) 2 UNITS


UFC 200
Jose Aldo vs Frankie Edgar (Aldo to win +105) .5 UNITS

BOL

[jjgold]

Velcro nice run there

Where are you from?

[velcorr]

Holland and Monaco, yourself?

Velcro nice run there

Where are you from?

[BIGDAY]

Aldo might get his sh!t pushed in...

[jjgold]

Las Vegas

Pro Gambler

[gauchojake]

Velcro why do you have a pic of my buddy Ian as your avatar?

[velcorr]

Sorry, I needed a pic of a douchey looking guy. I'll change it. xoxo

Velcro why do you have a pic of my buddy Ian as your avatar?

[velcorr]

Who is the last guy Edgar "pushed their shit in". This would be a pass for me if it weren't for it being 1) Aldo already beat Edgar, 4 rounds to 1, 2) Aldo HAS to win this fight, Edgar doesn't (he can drop to 135 and fight Cruz) 3) I know a guy who trained with Aldo for this camp and said he is psycho focused, and not blowing off fireworks with Chris Weidman. BOL. Might up it to a 1 UNIT play after I see the weigh in. oh 4) Aldo has lost once in 10 years, in 13 seconds, by the biggest FW in the UFC

Aldo might get his sh!t pushed in...

[velcorr]

Good start. First bet.

Jingliang Li def. Anton Zafir via KO (Punches) R1 2:46 (2 UNITS @ -115, Li by finish)

To date: 1-0 (2 UNITS: $200 to win $375, $175 PROFIT)

[velcorr]

Cool. I'm not a Pro Gambler yet, but I know a lot of people in MMA and Baseball and good handicapper friends and am a 1000/unit better and up 31 units in 23 days. I'm probably lucky. Was in the military and was in a helicopter crash so this is my gig for now.

[velcorr]

UPDATE: TUF 23 TWO FIGHT PARLAY
Brooks and Choi, 1 UNIT, +105

BOL

[velcorr]

Winner

Chi Cubs vs. Pittsburgh OVER 7.5 1 UNIT BET 100 to win 90 WINNER (PROFIT 90)

2 for 2 tonight. 2 more to go.

[UncleChael]

That Silva's a beast!

[velcorr]

That Korean guy looks 13. He retired the Brazilian, who somehow is 31 and debuted 13 years ago.

That Silva's a beast!

[velcorr]

Silva and Choi looked amazing. Now just need Brooks to win his debut.

That Korean guy looks 13. He retired the Brazilian, who somehow is 31 and debuted 13 years ago.

[BIGDAY]

Choi crushed.

[velcorr]

Winner

3/3 and undefeated on SBR.

Brooks and Choi (2 fight parlay) TUF 23 1 UNIT BET 100 to win 105 WINNER (PROFIT 105)

[velcorr]

Winner

4/4 and undefeated on SBR. 92% ROI

Milwaukee vs. St Louis UNDER 8.5 1 UNIT BET 100 to win 90 WINNER (PROFIT 90)

Great first night.

1. Jingliang Li vs Anton Zafir (Li by finish) TUF 23 2 UNITS BET 200 to win 375 WINNER (PROFIT 175)
2. Chi Cubs vs. Pittsburgh OVER 7.5 1 UNIT BET 100 to win 90 WINNER (PROFIT 90)
3. Milwaukee vs. St Louis UNDER 8.5 1 UNIT BET 100 to win 90 WINNER (PROFIT 90)
4. Brooks and Choi (2 fight parlay) TUF 23 1 UNIT BET 100 to win WINNER (PROFIT 105)

Total for Friday, June 8. 4W-0L, BET 500 to win 960. Enjoy the $$$. More to come. (PROFIT 105)

Total for Friday, June 8. 4W-0L, BET 500 to win 960. 92% ROI

Enjoy the $$$. More to come tomorrow. At least 1 UFC 200 lock.

[BIGDAY]

I love locks.

[jjgold]

[JayLA]

I should've known....

[gauchojake]

I can see where this is going

[velcorr]

Me too.

I can see where this is going

[velcorr]

Getting ready for UFC 200.

Talking to people in the know, trying to find value in a card that doesn't offer much. Still leaning Aldo at 1/2 unit, waiting on more info, might go to a full unit on that play. Creeping value props and will post official picks this afternoon. Went 3-0 last night at TUF 23, 4-0 overall for 5 units. Still undefeated at SBR.

[Demonata]

Talking to people in the know, trying to find value in a card that doesn't offer much. Still leaning Aldo at 1/2 unit, waiting on more info, might go to a full unit on that play. Creeping value props and will post official picks this afternoon. Went 3-0 last night at TUF 23, 4-0 overall for 5 units. Still undefeated at SBR.

Yea man i agree on aldo. I can't wait to see him win like last time and shut up everyone that keeps saying frankie edgar will win.

[gauchojake]

Velcro we need your stats pal

[velcorr]

Coming in 5 mins. On the phone with my guy in Vegas. Name is velcorr, not velcro, I'm not a shoe.

Velcro we need your stats pal

[RavensFan2k3]

Coming in 5 mins. On the phone with my guy in Vegas. Name is velcorr, not velcro, I'm not a shoe.

Oh and it's been 5 minutes lol

[velcorr]

Ufc 200 picks

Picks are listed in order of confidence. Fading Mousassi, though some are parlaying him and Cain. I'm not. Betting props in some fights to find logical value, eg, if Lesnar is going to win, he's going to finish, etc)


Please check if pick is to win or to finish or in the case of Kelvin Gastelum vs Johny Hendricks, not to go to dec


LOCK OF THE NIGHT
1. Cain Valuezquez to finish Travis Browne 2 UNITS to win 1.7 UNITS
(Cain wins this fight, the value in betting the finish is too much to pass on. You could play Cain to win at -274 but if he's going win, he's going to finish.)

2. Brock Lesnar to finish Mark Hunt 2 UNITS to win 4.3 UNITS
(I can hear the laughter from here but the only people laughing will be those who pick Lesnar. I don't have time to do a write up on why Lesnar wins, but he wins and he finishes. If you want to play it safer, take Lesnar to win but again, if he wins, he finishes. I came close to taking Lesnar in the first round +300 but I'll play it safe. Lesnar in u2.5 is also a smart play but 2:30 is not worth the juice)

3. Jose Aldo to beat Frankie Edgar 2 UNIT to win 2.2 UNITS
(Aldo already beat Edgar, Aldo is younger, more focused and let Connor get in his head. Except for one big mistake, Aldo is the best FW in MMA history. Aldo will win this, prob by UD, and we'll see him get his rematch against CM in 2017, where he will lose again.)


4. Kelvin Gastelum vs Johny Hendricks NOT TO GO TO DEC 1 UNIT to win 1.3 UNITS (Avoid U2.5 for the slight extra juice. This fight is not going to the judges. I'm leaning Gastelum but this is the safer play.)


5. Jim Miller to finish Takanori Gomi 1 UNIT to win 1 UNIT (Miller will sub Gomi but the extra juice isn't worth straight picking sub. Gomi's cardio is laughable and I'd hate to see Miller TKO Gomi from mount, etc.)


6. Diego Sanchez to beat Joe Lauzon 1 UNIT to win 1 UNIT (My least confident pick, but a good style match up for Sanchez. He throws so many punches that judges love to gift him decisions. Moreover, his sub offence AND especially defense is still good. They are both shot fighters but I'm leaning Sanchez by IDGAF but he'll get the win.)


TOTAL 9 UNITS to win 11.5 UNITS

If you're not betting my picks, please wait until after the card to trash the picks, which will be weird since I will be up overall. This is not an easy card to handicap. If you're unsure, just get some beer and enjoy what should be a highly entertaining card. Sprinkle $5 on Silva by sub, lol.

[mikmik]

Bol

[RavensFan2k3]

Goodluck!

[Mxs1332]

Nice job. Keep it rolling brudda.

[velcorr]

TY, the best cards are the hardest to bet for value. That's why I love the Fight Nights and the TUF Finales because they are always handicapped terribly. Finding value in a card like this means taking calculated risks and knowing a few things others don't. Extremely confident about Cain, Lesnar and Aldo.

Nice job. Keep it rolling brudda.

[BIGDAY]

GL Velcro.

[velcorr]

Thanks BIGDAY, the name is actually velcorr though.

GL Velcro.