TNF: Patriots -8 vs Dolphins, and Here's Why

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  • DOM_Toretto
    Restricted User
    • 01-28-13
    • 9035

    #1
    TNF: Patriots -8 vs Dolphins, and Here's Why
    Ok guys I'm not one to lay 7+ points in the NFL often, but I think Patriots -8 vs Dolphins in Foxborough is a gift.

    1. JETS are a very good team, so them keeping it tight with the Pats has nothing to do with the Phins.
    2. TEXANS are trash, so Miami destroying them has little to do with Pats, other than he fact that some Miami starters got to sit and rest in the second half.
    4. In fact, Tannehil never completed a pass more than 15 yards down field last game. If the Dolphins get behind they really won't be able to get back in it.
    5. Road TNF are typically at a disadvantage

    But here's the real deal:

    6. Miami interim head coach is a big jacked dude who got his team riled up to play hard. That worked for a couple weeks off the bye, but will wear off on a short week to prepare for the Pats. The guy can motivate effort, but in no way can out coach Bill Bellicheck.

    I am not a fan of either team, actually hate Tom Brady, but I have to respect his revenge tour he's putting on across the NFL. In a short week I trush Bellicheck to get his guys ready to throw down in Foxborough.

    And the Pats never take their foot off the gas pedal, which is a big reason why I have less of a problem laying large spreads with the Pats than any other team.

    Finally, I expect patriots to be healthier than they've been recently. LaFell will be back & healthier, Dion Lewis will likely play, and it looks like a number of defensive players may be available who were previously injured.
  • BIGDAY
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 02-17-10
    • 48245

    #2
    On it.


    Been smacking the Pats all year. ML cashes easy.

    Dont be afraid of the juuuuice either.
    Comment
    • blackHIPPY
      SBR MVP
      • 10-01-14
      • 3973

      #3
      Yup, let's get it
      Comment
      • Jeffie
        SBR MVP
        • 04-06-12
        • 3428

        #4
        They sure did take the foot off the pedal when I had them against Colts. Mother fukkers! I like the play but since I'm a Miami fan I hope it loses
        Comment
        • FlipsideRM
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-28-11
          • 10518

          #5
          "Big jacked dude who got them pumped for a couple of weeks but will wear off".

          This is your analysis?

          get real. Lol. Fins cover easy.
          Comment
          • mikewlgm
            SBR MVP
            • 04-04-15
            • 1031

            #6
            Originally posted by FlipsideRM
            "Big jacked dude who got them pumped for a couple of weeks but will wear off".

            This is your analysis?

            get real. Lol. Fins cover easy.

            It'll be around 50 degrees and raining at game time in Foxboro and you expect Ryan "Don't intercept me Bro" Tannehil to do anything but throw 3-4 picks?

            the analysis is simple.....

            Primetime game:

            Brady or Tannehill?

            Belichick or ....whos coaching the dolphins now?


            Dolphins are a dumpster fire and have been for years but please lay your money on them and push down the line for everyone else
            Comment
            • FlipsideRM
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-28-11
              • 10518

              #7
              You mean Ryan "mr set an NFL record for most completions in a row" Tannehill,right?

              Dolphins cover easy bro.
              Comment
              • mikewlgm
                SBR MVP
                • 04-04-15
                • 1031

                #8
                Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                You mean Ryan "mr set an NFL record for most completions in a row" Tannehill,right?

                Dolphins cover easy bro.
                I guess well see how confident you are on friday
                Comment
                • blackHIPPY
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-01-14
                  • 3973

                  #9
                  any chance we get pats -7 before kickoff?
                  seems like its going the wrong way now was 7.5 most places last night check this morning its 8-8.5 shoulda bought yesterday
                  Comment
                  • DwightShrute
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-17-09
                    • 102428

                    #10
                    Miami wins outright
                    Comment
                    • 44 Mag
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 10-14-13
                      • 34490

                      #11
                      Originally posted by BIGDAY
                      On it.


                      Been smacking the Pats all year. ML cashes easy.

                      Dont be afraid of the juuuuice either.
                      Comment
                      • rpesi9955
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-08-15
                        • 1536

                        #12
                        Originally posted by DwightShrute
                        Miami wins outright
                        Not a chance.
                        Comment
                        • Madison
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-16-11
                          • 6384

                          #13
                          The entire story here is the pressure or lackof the Fins can get on Brady.
                          Comment
                          • GunShard
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-05-10
                            • 10026

                            #14
                            Teasing maybe for pussies.
                            But teasing is how you win money here.
                            Tease the Patriots with good teaser game on sunday.
                            Comment
                            • eaglesfan15
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 10-26-15
                              • 204

                              #15
                              Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                              "Big jacked dude who got them pumped for a couple of weeks but will wear off".

                              This is your analysis?

                              get real. Lol. Fins cover easy.

                              Don't listen to this jackass who doesn't even understand simple statistics to help him swing a win in his favor.

                              Idk if pats cover or not, but I am POUNDING the ML and I have them at -.5 and 5+ teased which I'm confident are easy winners.
                              Last edited by eaglesfan15; 10-29-15, 09:15 AM.
                              Comment
                              • rpesi9955
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-08-15
                                • 1536

                                #16
                                I'll just get it started off now in advance. nice picK man.
                                Comment
                                • eaglesfan15
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 10-26-15
                                  • 204

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by blackHIPPY
                                  any chance we get pats -7 before kickoff?
                                  seems like its going the wrong way now was 7.5 most places last night check this morning its 8-8.5 shoulda bought yesterday
                                  Definitely not man, it was like +10 some places Sunday night then it went down to 7.5 and now it's hanging at 8
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388189

                                    #18
                                    all over this game Toretto

                                    Good luck
                                    Comment
                                    • swordsandtequila
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-23-12
                                      • 9756

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by GunShard
                                      Teasing maybe for pussies.
                                      But teasing is how you win money here.
                                      Tease the Patriots with good teaser game on sunday.


                                      Who you calling pussy......

                                      Nevermind, great minds think alike
                                      Comment
                                      • FlipsideRM
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-28-11
                                        • 10518

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by eaglesfan15
                                        Definitely not man, it was like +10 some places Sunday night then it went down to 7.5 and now it's hanging at 8
                                        Show me a +10 and I'll leave the forum forever
                                        Comment
                                        • FlipsideRM
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-28-11
                                          • 10518

                                          #21
                                          Seriously show me a 10 bro. You spew a lot of bs. Stop feeding the masses your bs though. Click image for larger version

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                                          Comment
                                          • eaglesfan15
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 10-26-15
                                            • 204

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                                            Show me a +10 and I'll leave the forum forever
                                            Did you read where it said Sunday jackass?

                                            Don't call me bro either, your a complete idiot. I really would pay money to see the Dolphins lose by 8 tonight exactly just so you learn your lesson.
                                            Comment
                                            • FlipsideRM
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-28-11
                                              • 10518

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by eaglesfan15
                                              Did you read where it said Sunday jackass?

                                              Don't call me bro either, your a complete idiot. I really would pay money to see the Dolphins lose by 8 tonight exactly just so you learn your lesson.
                                              Line opened at 7.5 lol...show me where you see this line ever reaching 10. Show me man, all I ask
                                              Comment
                                              • goldust
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-29-15
                                                • 861

                                                #24
                                                NE has a hard time against the run, and Miami's been running it better. Additionally, Jarvis Landry is a stud - I wouldn't be too confident laying 7+ when he can score a longass TD at any moment. The NE ML seems safe though.
                                                Comment
                                                • USCPHILLYGUY
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-15-12
                                                  • 21744

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by eaglesfan15
                                                  Did you read where it said Sunday jackass?

                                                  Don't call me bro either, your a complete idiot. I really would pay money to see the Dolphins lose by 8 tonight exactly just so you learn your lesson.
                                                  Eaglesfan 75 post in 2 days? JJ Gold JR!!!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • eaglesfan15
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 10-26-15
                                                    • 204

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                                                    Line opened at 7.5 lol...show me where you see this line ever reaching 10. Show me man, all I ask
                                                    I don't have to show you shit kid, enjoy your +7.5 lol.

                                                    I can post all I like, thank you.


                                                    Can't find the 10 again but I found several 9.5 spots....lol.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • FlipsideRM
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-28-11
                                                      • 10518

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by eaglesfan15
                                                      I don't have to show you shit kid, enjoy your +7.5 lol.

                                                      I can post all I like, thank you.
                                                      That's what I thought, thanks
                                                      Comment
                                                      • eaglesfan15
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 10-26-15
                                                        • 204

                                                        #28
                                                        Lmao read again bud, how do I post a pic? Your so slow
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DOM_Toretto
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 01-28-13
                                                          • 9035

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by goldust
                                                          NE has a hard time against the run, and Miami's been running it better. Additionally, Jarvis Landry is a stud - I wouldn't be too confident laying 7+ when he can score a longass TD at any moment. The NE ML seems safe though.
                                                          Yes I love Landry but actually most of his 'long ass catches' are short 5-10 yard passes that he turns up field and makes them into monster gains.

                                                          Pats don't let up a ton of YAC, and like I said earlier Tannehil didn't complete any deep passes last week at all.

                                                          Pats only dressed 18 players on offense last week. They may be a little banged up but will be in better shape than last week - where they still beat a good team by 7.

                                                          I think Brady is 7-1 at home vs the Dolphins, and I think the Pats have won every game this season by 7 or more points.

                                                          Good luck.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Snowball
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 11-15-09
                                                            • 30042

                                                            #30
                                                            New England definitely charmed again.
                                                            Beautiful autumn weather.
                                                            Brady will put on a show.
                                                            Still I would never lay 8 when it's a point buy to 7.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • rpesi9955
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-08-15
                                                              • 1536

                                                              #31
                                                              Pats win period.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Jeffie
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-06-12
                                                                • 3428

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by rpesi9955
                                                                Pats win period.
                                                                But do they cover that's the question. Idc how good the Pats are taking that much Juice on the ML is crazy in the NFL.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thebestthereis
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-01-09
                                                                  • 11459

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Pats can win and not cover or lose like any other game. Problem is they are a covering machine and betting against them is idiotic. This is proven over and over and people continue to bet against them. Pats or pass it is simple. Good luck!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Jeffie
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-06-12
                                                                    • 3428

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by thebestthereis
                                                                    Pats can win and not cover or lose like any other game. Problem is they are a covering machine and betting against them is idiotic. This is proven over and over and people continue to bet against them. Pats or pass it is simple. Good luck!
                                                                    I bet them once this year and it was when they didn't cover against colts
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ssmann
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 07-24-10
                                                                      • 593

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Any notable Pats players out today?
                                                                      Comment
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