(Coll FB) Notes - 2025

[ChuckyTheGoat]

The pre-season mags are starting to publish. Just my opinions, based on my reading:

*Texas. They're on my over-rated list. Lose a lot of players, especially on Off Line and Def Line.
...Rated #1 by the mag I read (Athlon?). Arch Manning is a huge name, expected to maybe be the #1 overall NFL pick when he comes out.
...Early season game Ohio St.

*Michigan. Don't like the HC. Another team that will be overrated. Program in transition.
...Two DEF tackles depart. I think MICH will be bad. Much worse than their name-recognition.

*Clemson. Getting a lot of hype. I am a Clemson believer this year.
...QB is very experienced. DL Parker should be an All-American.

[Eddy Munny]

Why exactly is Texas overrated? They also lost a lot of players heading into 2024 and yet still made the playoff semifinals. Who didn't lose a lot of players? Ohio State lost a lot as well... Texas is a program that reloads, not rebuilds, as evidenced by their #1 ranked recruiting class of 2025.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Bump. Honestly don't plan on betting much this season. Just some recreational bets.

One trend that I believe = the widening gap between:
a) Major
b) Mid-Major, and
c) FCS.

In college sports the NIL money means that good players are taking the most $$. I think 2024 Boise will be the best mid-major we see for a while.
...Greg McElroy made the case that Major teams should no longer play vs FCS. And he's right. Those games are gulf-in-class and prove nothing.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

First play of the year = (8/30) 1* Texas +3 1.91: 1 to win .91
...Despite my comments (above). I just think this # will be value by kickoff.
...TEX is going to be ranked very high (if not #1). Arch Manning may be the #2 Heisman choice behind Klubnik CLEM.
...Ohio St off a National title win. Lot of player/coach transition.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Klatt's Top 25 preview. Pretty nice:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xP8aY_JlJBI

23) IOWA - SoDakSt QB Gronowski transfers in. He's MUCH better than the recent Hawkeye QBs.

3) Ohio St - Buckeyes lose 14 draft picks (and both Coord). Two name returnees: WR Smith, DB Downs.

2) Texas - Klatt thinks that Arch is a clear upgrade over Ewers. Horns are now killing it in recruiting.

1) Penn St - I'm a little surprised he has Penn St over Texas. Not a big believer in the QB/HC. Lose a stud DE/TE.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

On that Klatt list, he has South Carolina at #11.
...I have to rate South Carolina as OVER-rated. Too high at #11.
...South Carolina doesn't have a ton of history. Fertile recruiting ground. But they often miss out to Georgia (or Clemson).
...I can't believe people are pumping QB Sellers this hard. If Sellers had any calm, they would have beaten Alabama last year.