The Math Chase

[Math]

I'll be doing a 5 game Chase with my 2 models. I'll have 2 running at the same time. I do not advise anyone doing a Martingale Chase, so anyone following can simply flat bet the wagers. I'll run this until one of my models suffer a 5 game losing streak. This will be baseball only. It's not an endless Chase, it's five games only. Each Chase will be to win ($100). A Chase loss will cost me from ($4000-$5000).

I'm only running this until one Chase loss occurs, at that time, the thread will end.


The Math Chase (0-0) ($0)


Sunday May 4

Chase 1
A) Oakland Over 8.5 (-115) $115 to win $100

Chase 2
A) Giants -1.5 (-155) $155 to win $100


This is not a Chase on any particular team. Its a 5 game Chase on my Top Total model and my Top Side model. Each Chase ends with a Win or a 5 game losing streak.

I'm retired so this will be my summer project, hopefully it lasts for a longtime but you never know. Again I do not advise this and I'll only lose one.




Mr. Math

[Math]

I ran my Top Total model last year and it did not have a 5 game losing streak all season. The longest was four, it has already had one 4 game losing streak this season.

This is the 1st season for me to use my Top Side model. It has done excellent thus far.

I just hope this doesn't flop right out of the gate. A Chase strategy is Great, until it Isnt. You must have the nerve to pull the trigger on the 5th and final game of the Chase, if you have too.


Mr. Math

[ex50warrior]

Good luck!

[newton0038]

I'll be doing a 5 game Chase with my 2 models. I'll have 2 running at the same time. I do not advise anyone doing a Martingale Chase, so anyone following can simply flat bet the wagers. I'll run this until one of my models suffer a 5 game losing streak. This will be baseball only. It's not an endless Chase, it's five games only. Each Chase will be to win ($100). A Chase loss will cost me from ($4000-$5000).

I'm only running this until one Chase loss occurs, at that time, the thread will end.


The Math Chase (0-0) ($0)


Sunday May 4

Chase 1
A) Oakland Over 8.5 (-115) $115 to win $100

Chase 2
A) Giants -1.5 (-155) $155 to win $100


This is not a Chase on any particular team. Its a 5 game Chase on my Top Total model and my Top Side model. Each Chase ends with a Win or a 5 game losing streak.

I'm retired so this will be my summer project, hopefully it lasts for a longtime but you never know. Again I do not advise this and I'll only lose one.




Mr. Math

You Martingale your stake after a loss but no increase/decrease in stake after a win correct?

[Math]

That's correct.


Mr. Math

[Math]

The Math Chase (1-0) (+$100)

Tomorrow I'll be ready for

Chase 1
B)

Chase 3
A)



Mr. Math

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Good luck!

Salud. GL, Math.

I used to think about things like this. One can get more aggressive about action. But the underlying constraint is that you have to be playing into +EV plays. If you're not sure, you let it go.

[Math]

The Math Chase (1-0) (+$100)


Monday May 5

Chase 1
B) Giants Over 7.5 (+100) $215 to win $215


Chase 3
A) Royals -1.5 (-115) $115 to win $100



Mr. Math