!college basketball capping!

[wizcodlifa]

Does anyone have any tips to cap these games? Any useful sites, and specific stats to look for vs one another.

All help is appreciated.

[face]

http://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/stats/

[wizcodlifa]

is thatall you use? what do you try to look for?

[face]

well i am not good at college hoops at all, sorry, maybe someone else can help you
i look at rebounding, shooting %, how teams do after rest, etc
data is obv better once season starts

[artyfudgepacker]

scores and odds .and its cost but i hered kenpom is good . gl wiz

[BigDeem5]

take a ton of road favorites.

[ChalkyDog]

Efficiency numbers. Most important number for any basketball team. They are what this number says they are.

Possession per 40 numbers to tell if/how two differing styles of teams are playing eachother. These numbers will give you the blueprint for how the game should play out.

kenpom
teamrankings

With the data on those two sites, you will be absolutely set.

[artyfudgepacker]

teamranking thats on the espn insider rite chalkY?

[ChalkyDog]

teamranking thats on the espn insider rite chalkY?

No idea.

Last time I was on insider for their gambling bullshit, it was accuscore, but I think teamrankings is basically the same thing, they just give you more access to their actual data.

teamrankings.com

It's a free site for the most part, I think getting their picks ATS might cost - no idea.

Their stats are accessible, and that is all that matters.

[ChalkyDog]

Statsheet

I knew I was missing something, and I was missing the biggest tool out there for stats.

[artyfudgepacker]

true . i have a 2yr sub to insider and really dont use it much .

[ChalkyDog]

true . i have a 2yr sub to insider and really dont use it much .

If insider is worth anything, it is for that section.

It's a cool thing to look at, but it's impossible to do anything with that information other than look at it.

I should probably look at it more often.

[artyfudgepacker]

o yea . on side note. how r u doing my friend. hope u cashing lots of tickets fb season has been up and down for me but better then past .

[Louisvillekid1]

KEN POM
ChalkyDog
2daBank

/thread

[Filmoz]

Hey Chalky how badly are you looking forward to AZ basketball this season? I can't phucking wait, best team they've had in a while.

[Louisvillekid1]

oh and flimoz of course^ also young buck and his crew

[Filmoz]

oh and flimoz of course^ also young buck and his crew

[Sam Odom]

Home Fav < 7pts

[ChalkyDog]

Hey Chalky how badly are you looking forward to AZ basketball this season? I can't phucking wait, best team they've had in a while.

It's hard to put into words how damn excited I am about this season.

Just quit my job, rent a RV, and follow the team like they're the greatful dead.

[Filmoz]

Really dial in on non-conference play, because this is where you will make your money if you are sharp. You want to build a nice roll during non-conference, because once conference play starts it can be very frustrating and much higher variance. Specifically, study mid and low-major teams that have decent talent, decent coaching, and heart, when they go up against power conference teams. Year in and year out, the books set very inefficient lines for a lot of these matchups and if you can spot them you can cash in.

In my experience, a lot of these matchups end up very polarized into two categories, and you need to get good at figuring out which is which. On the one hand, there are the truly live dogs that end up matching up well with the big team. They will be double digit underdogs but every putz that just checked into his hotel in Vegas and hits the sportsbook is pounding the favorite like a hamburger, thinking to themselves "Louisville only laying 12.5 points to who? Who the hell is Illinois State? Louisville is going to win by 40!" And then the underdog ends up covering with ease, maybe even winning straight up. And as you watch the game you feel like a genius, and you can crack a beer (or ten) and enjoy the game, just hoping for the hell of it the underdog wins straight up because you already covered the spread.

The other category is essentially the opposite. Big double digit underdogs that have an overinflated reputation for being "scrappy" but in reality are simply outsized and outclassed by the big team. In these scenarios, that same putz in Vegas is saying "damn I know it's Kentucky, but they are laying 24.5 points to a decent Loyola Maryland team, and they will probably play down to their competition, and blah blah blah...gotta take the points here!" And the underdog may even hang in there for the first half, but ultimately they get gassed and the big team wins by like 40 points.

[Filmoz]

It's hard to put into words how damn excited I am about this season.

Just quit my job, rent a RV, and follow the team like they're the greatful dead.

Chalky I forget, u still live in Tuc? I understand if you don't want to answer that.

[ChalkyDog]

Chalky I forget, u still live in Tuc? I understand if you don't want to answer that.

Nah man, moved up north.

Still in state.

Come down for the games often. Can't get enough cats basketball.

[Filmoz]

Nah man, moved up north.

Still in state.

Come down for the games often. Can't get enough cats basketball.

For sure. I'm still in town, I go to as many games as I can. Love what Sean Miller has done and how the future looks.

[ChalkyDog]

Filmoz, check it out, we are finally getting pub from the mothership.

http://espn.go.com/blog/collegebasketballnation/post/_/id/89310/you-gotta-see-this-pac-12

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/9856231/sean-miller-embraces-looks-future-arizona?ex_cid=espnapi_public

[Filmoz]

Filmoz, check it out, we are finally getting pub from the mothership.

http://espn.go.com/blog/collegebasketballnation/post/_/id/89310/you-gotta-see-this-pac-12

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-bask...espnapi_public

[bubblebuttluv]

Really dial in on non-conference play, because this is where you will make your money if you are sharp. You want to build a nice roll during non-conference, because once conference play starts it can be very frustrating and much higher variance. Specifically, study mid and low-major teams that have decent talent, decent coaching, and heart, when they go up against power conference teams. Year in and year out, the books set very inefficient lines for a lot of these matchups and if you can spot them you can cash in.

In my experience, a lot of these matchups end up very polarized into two categories, and you need to get good at figuring out which is which. On the one hand, there are the truly live dogs that end up matching up well with the big team. They will be double digit underdogs but every putz that just checked into his hotel in Vegas and hits the sportsbook is pounding the favorite like a hamburger, thinking to themselves "Louisville only laying 12.5 points to who? Who the hell is Illinois State? Louisville is going to win by 40!" And then the underdog ends up covering with ease, maybe even winning straight up. And as you watch the game you feel like a genius, and you can crack a beer (or ten) and enjoy the game, just hoping for the hell of it the underdog wins straight up because you already covered the spread.

The other category is essentially the opposite. Big double digit underdogs that have an overinflated reputation for being "scrappy" but in reality are simply outsized and outclassed by the big team. In these scenarios, that same putz in Vegas is saying "damn I know it's Kentucky, but they are laying 24.5 points to a decent Loyola Maryland team, and they will probably play down to their competition, and blah blah blah...gotta take the points here!" And the underdog may even hang in there for the first half, but ultimately they get gassed and the big team wins by like 40 points.

Filmoz, do you post a season long thread?

[Filmoz]

Filmoz, do you post a season long thread?

yes sir, looking forward to the start of this season.

[bubblebuttluv]

yes sir, looking forward to the start of this season.

Preciate you, man.

[broadway6]

Follow L-kid

[jjgold]

Non conference is best

Chalky great stuff

[curtrambus]

I crush college bball made 8k last year betting 200 a game but I don't bet until around 5 or 6 games from each team into the season. Exception I will be betting North Dakota St. every game they play early.

[curtrambus]

I will make a thread this year also I was really good in the play of the day thread last year.

[Louisvillekid1]

Good luck this season cumb

[TPowell]

power ratings, make some. Keep them updated. Step out on a limb. I have Pitt as the 5th best team in the ACC, while some mags have them the 11th best

[wizcodlifa]

all looks liek good info. im new, im young, only 20 years old. learning. having great success with ncaaF, and nfl (just fading the public in NFL). looking to expand to college bball, and nba. watch out for my Iowa Hawkeyes this year.!