IF you are leaning Eagles to win

DJK · 01-28-25, 10:28 AM

I'm not betting them to win.

I'm moving the line to Eagles +7.5 and the lowest juice I can get is -350 unless I tie it to something else (like in a teaser) but no other football games left to tie to. I could tease it with the over and under, but I don't like to do that type of teaser as who the hell knows how many points are going to be scored.

Either that, do what this guy said below which makes a total sense to me. He got both conference game picks correct, so that's a big plus.

Super Bowl Prop Picks: Expert Makes First Chiefs vs. Eagles Bet

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/super-bowl-prop-picks-expert-chiefs-vs-eagles-dallas-goedert

We have a Super Bowl rematch from two years ago with Chiefs vs. Eagles. The spread is 1.5 again, but Kansas City is laying the points. I’m

Shark · 01-28-25, 10:29 AM

Or you could just bet the eagles to win and not add unnecessary legs?

ddittie · 01-28-25, 10:31 AM

Originally posted by Shark

Or you could just bet the eagles to win and not add unnecessary legs?

Eagles ain't winning. BUT, if they do, all of these will have to occur. Why not take the odds? Since an Eagles WIN isn't correctly paid out at +110 odds. They are more of a +150 underdog.

ddittie · 01-28-25, 10:32 AM

Originally posted by DJK

I'm not betting them to win.

I'm moving the line to Eagles +7.5 and the lowest juice I can get is -350 unless I tie it to something else (like in a teaser) but no other football games left to tie to. I could tease it with the over and under, but I don't like to do that type of teaser as who the hell knows how many points are going to be scored.

Either that, do what this guy said below which makes a total sense to me. He got both conference game picks correct, so that's a big plus.

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/su...dallas-goedert

I'm not betting them to win either, but I have a friend who thinks they are. Which led me to wonder what crazy line is on Barkley's yards this game. Pick6 has him at 116 yards, which is crazy to me. I couldn't find a place I could bet him Under 116 for even payout, so I tinkled with this for him...

DJK · 01-28-25, 10:43 AM

I just saw that jvegas216's pick is on the Eagles +1.5.

I might have to consider taking the Eagles +3.5 for -175 which is half the juice.

What I don't like is that ActionNetwork guy thinks that the Eagles are going to be trailing the whole game, which then means I will have to sweat throughout the whole game which I really freaking hate doing.

DJK · 01-28-25, 10:46 AM

Hopefully, High3rEl3m3nt will post what he's betting and if it's also on the Eagles then I might even bet bigger than I was planning.

DJK · 01-28-25, 11:06 AM

jjgold says he's betting $10K on KC ML and I think he said it's a lock.

Just like that he mushed KC and I doubt he has the funds to do it.

ddittie · 01-28-25, 11:13 AM

I'll be taking the Chiefs and riding with history. Was only planning to wager $250 but wife wants me to double it.

stevenash · 01-28-25, 12:39 PM

I like the Eagles and I'm a Giants fan.

DJK · 01-28-25, 04:17 PM

If you read enough articles about this SB, you find a tidbit that I wasn't aware of. It may sound like confirmation bias, but I'm open to changing my bet if needed.

So, if KC wins this year's SB, then they will be breaking 2 streaks; 1. No team won 3 straight SB, 2. Last undefeated team wins SB.

But, my baccarat play strategy says to stick with the trends.

During the 2024 NFL season, the Kansas City Chiefs were the last team to lose a game, which sounds like it should be a good thing, but for most of this century, being the final undefeated team has actually kind of been a curse.

Over the past 17 seasons, the final undefeated team has gone on to win the Super Bowl exactly ZERO times. It doesn't seem possible, but that's the case and this surprising streak started in 2007 with the undefeated New England Patriots. After going 16-0 in the regular season, the Patriots coasted to two AFC playoff wins before being stunned by the Giants 17-14 in Super Bowl LXII, a game where New England was favored by 12.5 points.

DJK · 01-28-25, 04:23 PM

The only problem that I see with that SB LXII, where the streak started and where I won with the Giants, Eli Manning was clutch.

Hurts not so much.

If the Eagles had any of the QB's that they beat in this year's playoffs, they have a much better shot to win the SB.

ddittie · 01-28-25, 05:50 PM

Originally posted by DJK

If you read enough articles about this SB, you find a tidbit that I wasn't aware of. It may sound like confirmation bias, but I'm open to changing my bet if needed.

So, if KC wins this year's SB, then they will be breaking 2 streaks; 1. No team won 3 straight SB, 2. Last undefeated team wins SB.

But, my baccarat play strategy says to stick with the trends.

During the 2024 NFL season, the Kansas City Chiefs were the last team to lose a game, which sounds like it should be a good thing, but for most of this century, being the final undefeated team has actually kind of been a curse.

Over the past 17 seasons, the final undefeated team has gone on to win the Super Bowl exactly ZERO times. It doesn't seem possible, but that's the case and this surprising streak started in 2007 with the undefeated New England Patriots. After going 16-0 in the regular season, the Patriots coasted to two AFC playoff wins before being stunned by the Giants 17-14 in Super Bowl LXII, a game where New England was favored by 12.5 points.

You look hard enough you'll find a trend everywhere.
I'm going with history, the new GOAT Mahomes and his team getting 3 straight, something that's never been done before.

I'll hedge it with Eagles, OVER, and some Barkley yards. But, bank on Chiefs and Under.

stevenash · 01-28-25, 05:57 PM

Originally posted by ddittie

You look hard enough you'll find a trend everywhere.

Truth.