Sitting on a $1.2M payout if Zverev/Keys win the AO with no cashout safety net

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  • Optional
    replied
    Originally posted by mjsuax13
    We are looking at $100k+ or $1.2 million+ in this thread. Let’s go! Onward.
    Can't wait to hear the cashout offer.

    Decision time.

    Leave a comment:


  • Conqueror
    replied
    BOL guy!

    Leave a comment:


  • mjsuax13
    replied
    This fukkin guy needs his own series on HBO.

    Leave a comment:


  • wombat
    replied
    Halfway there Dougy. Zverev has an excellent chance. This is his best form in years.

    Best of luck!

    Leave a comment:


  • Otters27
    replied
    Well I'll be

    Leave a comment:


  • mjsuax13
    replied
    We are looking at $100k+ or $1.2 million+ in this thread. Let’s go! Onward.

    Leave a comment:


  • leovegas
    replied
    Originally posted by eberetta1
    Over $1 million is life changing money. Rooting for you.
    Funny how most of us start betting thinking about making a quick million, and quitting the next day.

    I'd guess that no more than one in 10 (100?) million bettors - or day traders, or Solana meme traders - ever get to that level. And then, when you make it to the top... why would you stop? Makes no sense to stop, if you actually are one in a million, and you're that good (or that lucky). It's just not how humans think or operate.

    Having an exit plan is great, but what are the chances OP actually a) wins the full bet without cashing out and b) only keeps 100-200k as betting bankroll, without 'dipping into savings' to replenish it after the very next bad streak a week or a month into the future?

    You have to bet with conviction, to have a chance to become 1 in a million. And if you're serious about it, you have to quit with conviction - and this to me is even harder than hitting a 100/1 shot he's about to hit on Sunday.

    GL OP

    Leave a comment:


  • mjsuax13
    replied
    Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
    Most people these days would have no fukking clue about Mr. Ed
    It’s hilarious. I remember watching that show. That stupid fukkin horse and all kinds of bullshit. I remember the song. We are close to the same age Douglas.

    This is dumb but in college we had a mounted deer head from some guys hunting trip that we took everywhere with us. The deer drank, smoked, wore sunglasses, etc… so funny.

    <a href="https://imgbb.com/"><img src="https://i.ibb.co/sV5hRwh/IMG-8139.jpg" alt="IMG-8139" border="0"></a>

    Leave a comment:


  • Doug tushyterror
    replied
    Originally posted by mjsuax13
    Dude… this is so funny. I can’t stop laughing. What a fukkin picture.
    Most people these days would have no fukking clue about Mr. Ed

    Leave a comment:


  • mjsuax13
    replied
    Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
    Much appreciated un..She blocked me on IG a few yrs ago for posting a Mr. Ed gif after blowing a match so this would be super ironic if she comes through for me

    Dude… this is so funny. I can’t stop laughing. What a fukkin picture.

    Leave a comment:


  • Doug tushyterror
    replied
    Originally posted by gauchojake
    oh shit what's up pal

    let's root douggie in
    Thanks Jake. At least give me Keys after I just hedged with her & Sinner.

    Leave a comment:


  • Doug tushyterror
    replied
    Originally posted by eberetta1
    Over $1 million is life changing money. Rooting for you.
    Definitely is, much appreciated!

    Leave a comment:


  • eberetta1
    replied
    Over $1 million is life changing money. Rooting for you.

    Leave a comment:


  • Doug tushyterror
    replied
    Originally posted by unlearn
    Good luck man. I hope to wake up and see John Elways illegitimate daughter killed my parlay and gave you a shot at a million
    Much appreciated un..She blocked me on IG a few yrs ago for posting a Mr. Ed gif after blowing a match so this would be super ironic if she comes through for me

    Leave a comment:


  • unlearn
    replied
    Good luck man. I hope to wake up and see John Elways illegitimate daughter killed my parlay and gave you a shot at a million

    Leave a comment:


  • Doug tushyterror
    replied
    Originally posted by unlearn
    Doesn't make sense to me as if horseface chokes another final away you're out another 26 racks
    It's done. As much as I don't trust her either, it feels like I just set 26k on fire but this is the only viable risk to come out of this with at least 100k+ if Sinner wins.

    Leave a comment:


  • unlearn
    replied
    Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
    Thanks bro..trying to decide if this max. bet partial hedge makes sense. Would need Keys to win to guarantee coming out of this with at least 107k but I don't want to flush 26k down the shitter if she loses.

    Doesn't make sense to me as if horseface chokes another final away you're out another 26 racks

    Leave a comment:


  • gauchojake
    replied
    Originally posted by unlearn
    Pulling for horseface and man bun for you even though I have a Sinnerlenka future parlay myself for a cunthair of what you stand to win
    oh shit what's up pal

    let's root douggie in

    Leave a comment:


  • Doug tushyterror
    replied
    Originally posted by unlearn
    Pulling for horseface and man bun for you even though I have a Sinnerlenka future parlay myself for a cunthair of what you stand to win
    Thanks bro..trying to decide if this max. bet partial hedge makes sense. Would need Keys to win to guarantee coming out of this with at least 107k but I don't want to flush 26k down the shitter if she loses.

    Leave a comment:


  • unlearn
    replied
    Pulling for horseface and man bun for you even though I have a Sinnerlenka future parlay myself for a cunthair of what you stand to win

    Leave a comment:


  • Doug tushyterror
    replied
    Originally posted by ThaWoj
    I appreciate it man. I watched the keys/Svit match. Keys was on top of everything. You can say svitolina was making a lot of errors but some of those balls were unhittable. The placement was sick too. I never seen an opponent just stop so many times like elina did when she knew there was no chance getting to the ball. Keys has power that can match up with sab and I would like to think keys is a live dog...I would have put Sab around -400

    I hate Sinner so I haven't watched any of his matches.

    Honestly Zverev wasnt beating fritz in that u.s. open match but he easily would have beaten tiafoe and that would have setup a final with sinner that would have made this final a little more interesting.

    This is hittable. I really think Keys has a shot. Sinner just never seems to lose so that will be tough.

    You gonna watch or you gonna peel the bandaid and check the final score?
    Don't even get me started on Tiafraud. Trusted this cokksucker way too much in a match he should've won up 2 sets to 1 with 10 BPs in s4 that he couldn't convert. Then the Ravens fukked me out of a 79k payout. It's been a brutal wk to say the least.



    Last edited by Doug tushyterror; 01-24-25, 10:56 PM.

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  • Doug tushyterror
    replied
    Originally posted by ThaWoj
    I appreciate it man. I watched the keys/Svit match. Keys was on top of everything. You can say svitolina was making a lot of errors but some of those balls were unhittable. The placement was sick too. I never seen an opponent just stop so many times like elina did when she knew there was no chance getting to the ball. Keys has power that can match up with sab and I would like to think keys is a live dog...I would have put Sab around -400

    I hate Sinner so I haven't watched any of his matches.

    Honestly Zverev wasnt beating fritz in that u.s. open match but he easily would have beaten tiafoe and that would have setup a final with sinner that would have made this final a little more interesting.

    This is hittable. I really think Keys has a shot. Sinner just never seems to lose so that will be tough.

    You gonna watch or you gonna peel the bandaid and check the final score?
    No chance am I watching the Keys match since I'm not planning on live betting. Same way I got all the results since the Svitolina match. Just clicking the favs. tab 3 to 4 hrs after the start time.

    Leave a comment:


  • ThaWoj
    replied
    Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
    4k sounds reasonable Woj. I meant what I said about that 40k initially only cuz I knew hitting Powerball was more likely than either 1 of those with Andreeva. This on the other hand has about a 9% chance based on the current price.

    I appreciate it man. I watched the keys/Svit match. Keys was on top of everything. You can say svitolina was making a lot of errors but some of those balls were unhittable. The placement was sick too. I never seen an opponent just stop so many times like elina did when she knew there was no chance getting to the ball. Keys has power that can match up with sab and I would like to think keys is a live dog...I would have put Sab around -400

    I hate Sinner so I haven't watched any of his matches.

    Honestly Zverev wasnt beating fritz in that u.s. open match but he easily would have beaten tiafoe and that would have setup a final with sinner that would have made this final a little more interesting.

    This is hittable. I really think Keys has a shot. Sinner just never seems to lose so that will be tough.

    You gonna watch or you gonna peel the bandaid and check the final score?

    Leave a comment:


  • Doug tushyterror
    replied
    Originally posted by ThaWoj
    Still got me on that 40k bailout Tom?
    Lol shoot I'd be happy with 4k
    4k sounds reasonable Woj. I meant what I said about that 40k initially only cuz I knew hitting Powerball was more likely than either 1 of those with Andreeva. This on the other hand has about a 9% chance based on the current price.

    Leave a comment:


  • Doug tushyterror
    replied
    Originally posted by KnuckleHeadz
    Rooting for you Doug!
    Always entertaining reading your threads and what you’ve done with some of these parlays/bets is amazing.
    Not sure if it was bad luck, misfortune or just underachieved but a flashlight �� cop is way beneath you!

    Good luck Brotha!
    Originally posted by Steelers05
    Good Luck!! Those are some insane tickets, hope you get there.

    I think this is Keys tourney. I couldn’t imagine having that much riding on her because she drives me crazy when I only have a couple units on her in the past. She’s an up and down player but the one on the other side is a head case at times so if Keys can frustrate her, like Keys chances.
    Thanks fellas!
    I finally ended up here after Gauff shit the bed



    Then I was gonna take Badosa since she was already in the SFs while Keys still had to beat Svit. Begrudgingly took Keys instead based on the price.

    Last edited by Doug tushyterror; 01-24-25, 09:47 PM.

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  • ThaWoj
    replied
    Still got me on that 40k bailout Tom?
    Lol shoot I'd be happy with 4k

    Leave a comment:


  • Steelers05
    replied
    Good Luck!! Those are some insane tickets, hope you get there.

    I think this is Keys tourney. I couldn’t imagine having that much riding on her because she drives me crazy when I only have a couple units on her in the past. She’s an up and down player but the one on the other side is a head case at times so if Keys can frustrate her, like Keys chances.

    Leave a comment:


  • KnuckleHeadz
    replied
    Rooting for you Doug!
    Always entertaining reading your threads and what you’ve done with some of these parlays/bets is amazing.
    Not sure if it was bad luck, misfortune or just underachieved but a flashlight 🔦 cop is way beneath you!

    Good luck Brotha!

    Leave a comment:


  • Doug tushyterror
    replied
    Originally posted by trobin31
    Assuming they aren’t giving you an early out cause they think Sabalenka is a lock ?
    Could be a it but you would think this would be algorithm based instead of emotion based. Doesn’t seem like good business strategy on their end taking a position like that.

    Leave a comment:


  • trobin31
    replied
    Assuming they aren’t giving you an early out cause they think Sabalenka is a lock ?

    Leave a comment:


  • Doug tushyterror
    replied
    Originally posted by pavyracer
    Let it ride. When will you ever get a chance in your life to win 1.2 million dollars?
    I can't imagine ever having a better chance than this. Came relatively close to hitting for more than double that last yr if DEN would've made the Finals but losing out on the #1 seed sealed their fate.



    Leave a comment:


  • pavyracer
    replied
    Let it ride. When will you ever get a chance in your life to win 1.2 million dollars?

    Leave a comment:


  • 2Sweeet
    replied
    She loses you have a ton of equity. The problem is how much money you have on hand and how much you can get down at -places.

    Leave a comment:


  • Doug tushyterror
    replied
    Originally posted by 2Sweeet
    If I knew Dougie better I would help him out if needed.. I have a lot of btc U could hedge offshore for sure. It be a shame not to make something off of this.
    For some reason I think it goes 1 of 2 ways. Either Saba/Sinner repeat or Keys/Z win their 1st Slam. That's why I'm more than willing to let this ride if Keys wins tmrw. Also why I desperately wanted Shelton to pull the upset cuz I could've just risked my available 46k on him to get back over 100k & let the 1.2M ride.
    Last edited by Doug tushyterror; 01-24-25, 05:45 PM.

    Leave a comment:


  • 2Sweeet
    replied
    They will only give me $5,700 on that parlay. I understand that a split kills you. I'd hedge something first match though for something. Then if Sabelenka loses you are in the Drivers seat if she wins u make something at least.

    Leave a comment:

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