Sitting on a $1.2M payout if Zverev/Keys win the AO with no cashout safety net

[veriableodds]

Yeah GL. I hit a parlay similar to this like in 2003. I was lucky when I was young (1999) to inherit like 350k,(mom died in car crash, parents were divorced) after being stupid to the obvious and 75k down in just a year started to wise up. Oh boy what a learning curve endured.
here are a few great ideas generally speaking investment wise, nothing wrong with dreaming!!
CLOZ very stable aaa bond
QDTE w/hedge SQQQ leaving 20% gap to the up side
DIVO sp500
vym sp500

[Doug tushyterror]

GL, Doug. Will be rooting for you. Hope the German comes up big.

Thanks Chuck..I know I said some rather horrible things to you in the past that you in no way deserved which I apologize for so I truly appreciate you supporting this.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

GL, Doug. Will be rooting for you. Hope the German comes up big.

[Doug tushyterror]

Big-time thread. We root for Dougy, b/c he's one of us.

I used to get the heart-palpitations when I had a football ATS
play coming down to the wire. On this play, Dougy will get a free cardio workout. Imagine his heart working if this thing goes to the wire.

If you are getting a risk free $1m. You can use that to generate a practical risk free 100k salary (over 8k month income) a year for life. Who in god's name can't live off that, and not be satisfied?? Only people that cannot are the un-educated, and people in serious debt, non-house owners, car payments or leases. All goes back to the same un-educated thing. Be smart and GL. Once in a lifetime opportunity here

I wrote this out a few days ago so this would be the initial plan before speaking with a financial advisor.

[veriableodds]

If you are getting a risk free $1m. You can use that to generate a practical risk free 100k salary (over 8k month income) a year for life. Who in god's name can't live off that, and not be satisfied?? Only people that cannot are the un-educated, and people in serious debt, non-house owners, car payments or leases. All goes back to the same un-educated thing. Be smart and GL. Once in a lifetime opportunity here

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Big-time thread. We root for Dougy, b/c he's one of us.

I used to get the heart-palpitations when I had a football ATS play coming down to the wire. On this play, Dougy will get a free cardio workout. Imagine his heart working if this thing goes to the wire.

[Optional]

Can you summarize this thread up to its current state? Like the "for dummies" version? It's a lot to sort through.

As I understand it, Zverev wins and you net 1.2M? When is the match?

Is there a hedge involved to guarantee profit?

He bet Zverev and Keys to win title at about 100/1 to win over 1.2 mil.

Before womens final he put 26k on a Keys/Sinner parlay to pay about 150k. Which puts him about where he was before his recent losing streak of 100kish.

So he is sitting on a freeroll for 1.2million.

Personally I might take up Biggie's offer for a couple of hundred K more of a hedge, but I don't think anyone can really give this guy advice on what to do. Clearly he has enough smarts about futures and hedging to handle this one!

[mjsuax13]

How hard are we rooting for Doug to drill this?

I'm honestly surprised that Keys was able to get this done. 29 years old is pretty old for a tennis player.

Doug, I hope you nail this w/ Zverev. He's very accomplished for not having won a Major yet. Sinner is a monster, I hope Zverev cashes for you.

It’s two fold… I really like Doug and think he’s a great poster and the kid has courage/balls. Doug is relentless and that is something I admire AND THEN, I root for everyone to beat the book. They print money so it’s always great when the guys on our side of the counter hit em.

[Eddy Munny]

Can you summarize this thread up to its current state? Like the "for dummies" version? It's a lot to sort through.

As I understand it, Zverev wins and you net 1.2M? When is the match?

Is there a hedge involved to guarantee profit?

[ChuckyTheGoat]

How much you think down lifetime?

Johnny Manziel will be in Dougy's luxury box in Melbourne. They'll be rooting in Zverev. Manziel will have the rails ready to blow.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

How much you think down lifetime?

How hard are we rooting for Doug to drill this?

I'm honestly surprised that Keys was able to get this done. 29 years old is pretty old for a tennis player.

Doug, I hope you nail this w/ Zverev. He's very accomplished for not having won a Major yet. Sinner is a monster, I hope Zverev cashes for you.

[mjsuax13]

Thanks Allure but considering how much I'm down lifetime since 1998, there's no such thing as winning too much.

How much you think down lifetime?

[biggie12]

Thanks Allure but considering how much I'm down lifetime since 1998, there's no such thing as winning too much.

When you win. Cash it all out. Pretend your still playing with your 50-100k bankroll. They will be kissing your ass and bending over backwards to try and get the money back.

[Doug tushyterror]

Lets go! Doug don't need the booby prize. We are going all in for Zverev. This is his best chance for a Grand Slam and he knows it. Also he can make a small gambler rich tonite for the rest of his life.

Novak also rooting for him. To even publicly post his support like that you know he secretly hates Sinner for the doping allegations feeling he cheated him out of the AO Title last yr.

[pavyracer]

Lets go! Doug don't need the booby prize. We are going all in for Zverev. This is his best chance for a Grand Slam and he knows it. Also he can make a small gambler rich tonite for the rest of his life.

[Doug tushyterror]

Damn Doug you are moving quite some money. All the best, hope it all plays out.

If you feel like you won too much send some over lol. 😂

Thanks Allure but considering how much I'm down lifetime since 1998, there's no such thing as winning too much.

[Allure]

Damn Doug you are moving quite some money. All the best, hope it all plays out.

If you feel like you won too much send some over lol. 😂

[Doug tushyterror]

You know that Douglas doesn't watch his bets.

Good luck Doug. Rooting for you.

I’ll be up watching. I don’t really follow or watch tennis but really enjoyed the match last night. Let’s go Douglas!

Thanks fellas!

[Doug tushyterror]

Same here! Good Luck DT!

Much appreciated batt!

[Doug tushyterror]

Dougy can u map out the next 18 or so hours until the bet is settled? Are you planning on watching this one since now it is a no risk 1.2 mm freeroll?

After Keys won, it definitely feels like a weight has been lifted off my chest since I couldn't even sleep last night. Binged 4 eps of Person of Interest on Prime waiting on that result. I still don't consider this risk-free considering how much is at stake but I definitely won't be watching. I'll DVR it like the Keys match & only watch the last set if Zverev wins.

[Doug tushyterror]

Dougy if I knew you better I could have potentially helped you out for a % but it's too big a stake for you to disappear on the loss.

Anyways Good luck. If you hit it will be like 4.5x any bet I've ever won on sports.

are you not close enough to goto a live casino and place the wager in cash. You might get early access to the funds if you wire direct to casino sucks this is on the weekend though. I'm guessing getting to extend credit is out of the question ?

I get that biggie but even if you or anyone else was willing to stake me, I'd decline the offer regardless of the %. If it was Shelton at +300 instead of Sinner at -300 there would be a great middle. I did get buried last wk losing over 100k but even if Sinner unfortunately wins I'd have 157.3k after hedging with Keys to WD that 100k & put it back in Wealthfront. So that's where it stands. That amount at FD if Sinner unfortunately wins or 1,216,643 if he loses. Even if I could wire this 104k +19.6k available balance at FD to bet on Sinner at -295 to get an additional 42k I don't see much value in it based on this hedge. Considering instead taking Zverev to win a set, but not entirely sure yet.

[batt33]

I’ll be up watching. I don’t really follow or watch tennis but really enjoyed the match last night. Let’s go Douglas!

Same here! Good Luck DT!

[mjsuax13]

I’ll be up watching. I don’t really follow or watch tennis but really enjoyed the match last night. Let’s go Douglas!

[pablo222]

Dougy can u map out the next 18 or so hours until the bet is settled? Are you planning on watching this one since now it is a no risk 1.2 mm freeroll?

You know that Douglas doesn't watch his bets.

Good luck Doug. Rooting for you.

[unlearn]

Dougy can u map out the next 18 or so hours until the bet is settled? Are you planning on watching this one since now it is a no risk 1.2 mm freeroll?

[biggie12]

Not sure at this point who is sweating these bets more. Doug or the book manager.

Definitely Doug

[biggie12]

Dougy if I knew you better I could have potentially helped you out for a % but it's too big a stake for you to disappear on the loss.

Anyways Good luck. If you hit it will be like 4.5x any bet I've ever won on sports.

are you not close enough to goto a live casino and place the wager in cash. You might get early access to the funds if you wire direct to casino sucks this is on the weekend though. I'm guessing getting to extend credit is out of the question ?

[pavyracer]

Not sure at this point who is sweating these bets more. Doug or the book manager.

[Doug tushyterror]

Man! Hope you bring it home.

Thanks bro..much appreciated!

[SomeDayinBuffalo]

Man! Hope you bring it home.

[ByeShea]

Thanks Shea but I already hedged Keys with Sinner. I'd have 153.7k if Sinner wins so betting my remaining balance on him would only get back another $6650. I have 104k in a HYSA but the most I could transfer out immediately is 50k & that wire wouldn't hit FanDuel until at least Monday. At this point, I'll just leave it alone.

Well done!

I hope Zverev wins.

[Doug tushyterror]

I hope u win Tom. If u win u have to go throw the baseball off the wall one time.

Haven't picked up a baseball since that summer in 2021. I'd give it another shot but they tore down that structure & rebuilt something else there. Not entirely sure what, but it's closed off.

[Doug tushyterror]

Someone is stealing your thunder on reddit kid. Posting your tix unless it's u?

No that's me. Someone actually did do that last yr with the Sinner/Saba slip once the cashout hit 60k before the Men's Final. Hilarious reading how everyone was imploring whoever posted it to cashout the 60k.

[kostasblues]

let's GO

[2Sweeet]

I hope u win Tom. If u win u have to go throw the baseball off the wall one time.