On a heater the last few days. Does that mean my nfl picks will lose?

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • ThaWoj
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-09-10
    • 6761

    #1
    On a heater the last few days. Does that mean my nfl picks will lose?
    Crushing NHL, ncaa and korean hoops, tennis and even cricket. Took a couple bad beats yesterday but stormed back late night.

    I'm more on player props this week for nfl because I normally only play dog sides and I dont like too many dogs this week. I almost swapped my survivor pick from Tampa to cinci but ultimately left it alone.

    I love the saints defense. I hammered drew lock passing yards under.
    Jordan Jefferson overs. All Bengal player and team overs. I like points in the sea/az game. Brian thomas jr rec yards. Njiba. Evans (so so).

    I did a td parlay with jefferson, achane, najee, and gurrendo.
  • Spite
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-28-24
    • 171

    #2
    It means if you run it up to 20gz again make sure you end up withdrawing at least half of it. Only send it back in 10% increments from there.
    Comment
    • DrunkHorseplayer
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-15-10
      • 7719

      #3
      Things tend to go in streaks, do it with discipline but keep firing.
      Comment
      • ThaWoj
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-09-10
        • 6761

        #4
        BJT and JJ looking bad but Drew Lock has 0 passing yards after 1 quarter so we're looking very juicy there. Achance got an early td also we need najee and JJ to come through.
        Comment
        • ThaWoj
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-09-10
          • 6761

          #5
          Originally posted by ThaWoj
          Crushing NHL, ncaa and korean hoops, tennis and even cricket. Took a couple bad beats yesterday but stormed back late night.

          I'm more on player props this week for nfl because I normally only play dog sides and I dont like too many dogs this week. I almost swapped my survivor pick from Tampa to cinci but ultimately left it alone.

          I love the saints defense. I hammered drew lock passing yards under.
          Jordan Jefferson overs. All Bengal player and team overs. I like points in the sea/az game. Brian thomas jr rec yards. Njiba. Evans (so so).

          I did a td parlay with jefferson, achane, najee, and gurrendo.
          Lock under X
          JJ over $
          SEA/AZ over $
          B Thomas jr over $
          Njigba over $
          Evans X

          4 leg td parlay with 33% boost +1260 $$$

          If the saints could have made a few first downs at the end lock would have been under. Tough one to lose considering he started 0/8 and had no yards in the 1st qtr.

          Also heres a really tough one. I had $50 to win $14,000:

          Kendre Miller 25+ rushing $
          Lock 1+ INTs $
          NYG team total under 16.5 $
          NYG team total 1q under 2.5 $
          NYG team total 1h under 7.5 $
          Kendre Miller anytime TD $
          Juwan Johnson 25+ rec yds $

          Kevin Austin 25+ rec yds XXX (5 targets 1 catch for 5 yards)
          Cedrick Wilson 25+ rec yds XXX (1 target 1 catch 18 yards)

          I had Saints ml in some parlays but I was rooting for NYG to make the tying fg in hopes that even with Carr knocked out maybe Haener could get some balls to austin and wilson in overtime.

          Pretty gross. But at least Kendre Miller got me up to almost 800 in the ladder challenge.
          Comment
          • Spite
            SBR High Roller
            • 11-28-24
            • 171

            #6
            Those SGPs are brutal. The Eagles/Chiefs SB I hit so many props Hurts First TD of the game, AJ Brown Over, like 3 or 4 others but had the Eagles to win. Have not done an SGP since.
            Comment
            • ThaWoj
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 03-09-10
              • 6761

              #7
              Originally posted by Spite
              Those SGPs are brutal. The Eagles/Chiefs SB I hit so many props Hurts First TD of the game, AJ Brown Over, like 3 or 4 others but had the Eagles to win. Have not done an SGP since.
              Yeah i hate them but I do one every saints game to give me some entertainment. I also like doing them on nba when DK gives me a no sweat token.
              Comment
              • mjsuax13
                Moderator
                • 03-14-15
                • 25095

                #8
                How’d we do WOJ? Please pull some money out for a rainy day pal.
                Comment
                • stevenash
                  Moderator
                  • 01-17-11
                  • 65562

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ThaWoj

                  I hammered drew lock passing yards under.

                  Drew Lock had the worst start by a quarterback in recent history

                  Holy Mother of God Drew Lock is atrocious.
                  There's a reason why he's the backup to Tommy Cutlets.
                  Because he sucks at football, that's why.
                  How the hell is this guy still in the NFL.

                  The dude in 24 career starts is 9-15, has thrown 28 career TD's and 24 career picks.
                  Helen Keller and Ray Charles could have a better TD:INT ratio than that and they're both blind and dead.

                  Five years in the NFL and career earnings of over 15.8 million dollars.

                  Drew Lock | NFL Contracts & Salaries | Spotrac.com

                  If I were Lock, I would be genuflecting every night to his agent.
                  Almost 16 million earned for shitting up NFL stadiums.

                  It isn't right I tell you.
                  Good job hammering that under prop.
                  Keep doing that week to week and you should retire on some remote island in the South Pacific.
                  Comment
                  • Gaze73
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-27-14
                    • 3291

                    #10
                    In my experience the best thing to do after a massive heater is to rest for a day or two, you will always hit a massive cold run right after for some reason.
                    Comment
                    • DJK
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-17-11
                      • 2424

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Gaze73
                      In my experience the best thing to do after a massive heater is to rest for a day or two, you will always hit a massive cold run right after for some reason.

                      That's why people don't win as much as they should.

                      Keep at it until the heater is over and then reset when losing starts. No need to rest when winning.

                      "Stopping when still winning" means to voluntarily withdraw from a situation or activity while you are currently ahead or experiencing success, rather than continuing until the potential for loss arises.

                      A few years back in the Hard Rock casino in Atlantic City, I met a player playing blackjack at a $25 minimum table.

                      He got on a heater where he could not lose and he said to me that he was going to start doubling his bets starting from $100 and he told me that he was going to let it ride until he hit the table max of $3,000 which would have taken only 6 double up wins in a row.

                      However, instead of doing what he said he was going to do, he chickened out after the 5th bet of $1,600 and he proceeded to start betting less and less. He ended up with 15 wins in a row and he was getting really mad saying he was down almost $20,000 and if he followed through with what he said, he got everything back plus a LOT more.

                      What's crazy is that he was playing with one other player and the other player knew how to play blackjack but for whatever the reason he stayed on 16 against the dealer's 10 up card on this guy's 5th bet of $1,600. This guy also had 16 so he took a hit and got 5 for 21 to beat the dealer's 20. The next card was 10, which means if the first player took a hit, he won and this guy lost on his $1,600 bet and the shoe would have changed completely from that point on.

                      If you got that lucky to have won by someone not hitting all of a sudden, that's crazy good fortune and he should have continued to double up.

                      He cannot bet anymore at $3,000, so he would have won 10 x $3,000 = $30,000 and the shoe ended.
                      Comment
                      • ThaWoj
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 03-09-10
                        • 6761

                        #12
                        Originally posted by stevenash
                        Drew Lock had the worst start by a quarterback in recent history

                        Holy Mother of God Drew Lock is atrocious.
                        There's a reason why he's the backup to Tommy Cutlets.
                        Because he sucks at football, that's why.
                        How the hell is this guy still in the NFL.

                        The dude in 24 career starts is 9-15, has thrown 28 career TD's and 24 career picks.
                        Helen Keller and Ray Charles could have a better TD:INT ratio than that and they're both blind and dead.

                        Five years in the NFL and career earnings of over 15.8 million dollars.

                        Drew Lock | NFL Contracts & Salaries | Spotrac.com

                        If I were Lock, I would be genuflecting every night to his agent.
                        Almost 16 million earned for shitting up NFL stadiums.

                        It isn't right I tell you.
                        Good job hammering that under prop.
                        Keep doing that week to week and you should retire on some remote island in the South Pacific.
                        And I still lost the under bet somehow. That's how bad the Saints are.
                        Comment
                        • ThaWoj
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 03-09-10
                          • 6761

                          #13
                          Originally posted by mjsuax13
                          How’d we do WOJ? Please pull some money out for a rainy day pal.
                          I hit almost everything. If you saw my quoted post with the $ or X. Just missed on $14k. If cinci wins tonight it caps a huge weekend. Yes I need to pull some out and pay some over due bills or at least get my car title back before I lose it all
                          Comment
                          • ARCHIVADO98
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-27-20
                            • 894

                            #14
                            post some korean hoops picks? please
                            Comment
                            • gauchojake
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 09-17-10
                              • 34113

                              #15
                              Pull out 13k and run it up huge with a g.
                              Comment
                              • mjsuax13
                                Moderator
                                • 03-14-15
                                • 25095

                                #16
                                Originally posted by ThaWoj
                                I hit almost everything. If you saw my quoted post with the $ or X. Just missed on $14k. If cinci wins tonight it caps a huge weekend. Yes I need to pull some out and pay some over due bills or at least get my car title back before I lose it all
                                Yes sir. Pull it out. Pay some bills and get the car title back.
                                Comment
                                • Spite
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 11-28-24
                                  • 171

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Gaze73
                                  In my experience the best thing to do after a massive heater is to rest for a day or two, you will always hit a massive cold run right after for some reason.
                                  Nothing is worse. When you just can't win to save your life.
                                  Comment
                                  • Spite
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-28-24
                                    • 171

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by thawoj
                                    yes i need to pull some out and pay some over due bills or at least get my car title back before i lose it all
                                    pull that s*** out bro!!
                                    Comment
                                    SBR Contests
                                    Collapse
                                    Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                    Collapse
                                    Working...