Why? because NFL teams, especially perennial playoff teams who trip over themselves into a 0-2 start or get unlucky or just lose to good teams or lose because the QB is injured for weeks 1 or 1 and 2... LOVE to win week 3
The Cowboys won week 1 but that was the Browns being similar to the Colts by being unprepared to properly open the season - while Dallas was pumped up to win after Dak got paid apparently and took advantage of the Browns and a rusty Watson
But what happened? they got destroyed by the Saints and couldn't make proper changes to slow them down and stay in the game... very bad look on the coaches
Ravens need to avoid 0-3... Dallas can survive 1-2 because they have the Giants 4 days later on TNF and then get 10 days to prepare for the Steelers so they can easily get to 3-2 with 2 road victories where they will be favored
More likely to see both teams at 1-2 following this game
Books didn't want to hang Ravens at +money for a lot of reasons here
Ravens ML -118 and -1 -112 are auto plays here, great spot to lay a team for a 2 units instead of 1
Look at how the Bengals scratched and clawed their way to a week 3 win last season on MNF... after losing to divisional rivals Browns and then by 3 to Ravens they found a way to win 19-16 week 3 v the Rams
RAVENS -1 is the play... you can hope for the line to swing towards Dallas later on and possibly get Ravens ML closer to +100 but who knows... DK shows the money being 64% v 36% towards the Ravens
This is a spot bet to me, a situational play on a team who coming off a sad AFCCG loss... a loss to KC because a guy's shoe size was too big by an inch... and a 10 point 4th quarter lead at home letdown and loss because a tight end couldn't come up with a clutch catch on the sideline with 1 second left to setup a 50 something yard field goal attempt to get to OT - the Raiders pull off that comeback about 5% to 10% of the time they play out that 13-23 4th quarter scenario.
Dallas let the Saints score on drive, after drive, after drive... lost by 25. Same old Dak who doesn't have a lot if you shutdown Lamb... no Pollard at RB and same defense that is capable of getting turnovers v sloppy QB play but is prone to being undersized and run over and also gives up big plays. Gave up 170 rushing and multiple 50+ yard TD's while Dak threw 2 picks. Dallas isn't scary at all here.
HOW do you even come up with valid reasons to bet on the Cowboys here other than the fact they are at home and basically sitting at +100. That's betting the number and not the situation at hand.
Side note here: Lamar Jackson has a great record v NFC teams
home teams lose all the time... the Eagles just lost at home because Saquon couldn't catch a pass and score or go down for a first down to essentially end the game
Ravens are an auto play here and I will also be parlaying them with the Jets ML on TNF as the Jets are at home coming off a late game win v Titans coming up clutch versus the Patriots who were up 20-17 late v Seattle and folded and ended up losing in OT. Teams going in opposite directions here.
Ravens ML/Jets ML = +149
Patriots made a big push to get to an unexpected 2-0 start but they fell short and will tire out v the Jets late after the OT loss. Jacoby v Rodgers and no disrespect to Jacoby but I watched him play almost two full seasons for the Colts in 2017 and 2019 and while he is capable of having random "good games" and making some plays, I cannot back him in this spot. He is easily adjusted too at half time by opposing defensive coordinators and that has been his calling card.
The Jets won last season 17-3 to end the season and it was Bill's final game as coach of the Patriots, what a way to go out. Losing to Trevor Siemian who only passed for 70 yards but getting run over by B.Hall.
The Jets win again here and start a win streak v the Patriots which they have been looking forward too for a long time.
Same situation as the Bills beating the Patriots a bunch once Brady was gone. The Bills following 2019 went 6-1 in a 7 game stretch v the Patriots including a 30 point playoff wildcard win and are 7-2 overall v Patriots since Brady left.
Now, if this goes according to plan... we will be setup to back the 0-2 Bengals at home on MNF v the Commanders. The Bengals are -8 for a reason here people. The 0-2 Bengals were in the same exact spot last season at home on MNF v a 1-1 team... but a harder spot in reality as Burrow was still getting into form from injury. Here, he is 0-2 because of the defense failing to get a stop on 4th and 16 and the Patriots getting up to win week 1 in the first game playing under new HC J. Mayo.
So, if you really like going for a larger +money bet based off 3+ game ML parlays then week 3 is a decent spot for a +200 or better 3-team ML bet here.
Ravens currently -118 @ Cowboys who just gave up 44
Jets currently -285 at home on TNF v Patriots who just lost at home in OT
Bengals currently -395 at home on MNF v Commanders with a rookie QB who just barely beat a BAD Giants team
Parlay these together and you get +212 at DK and I bet some of you can find slightly better numbers if you shop around or have boosts to add.
+212 with 2 0-2 teams that have QB's who can win v anyone and have played a lot of playoff games and a 1-1 team at home v a team on short rest + lost in OT at home after leading 20-17 late? Please, give me that bet.
Look what the Rams did after having a 3 pt lead late v the Lions week 1 before losing in OT... they couldn't stop Arizona at all and the game was over after the first quarter!
So to recap, NFL week 3 will give us some heavy ML winners after a week where lots of dogs won outright, the Packers, the Bucs, the Saints, the Falcons... the Browns and some favorites failed to cover, KC and Houston
Ravens ML/-1
Jets TNF ML/Ravens Sunday 4:25 ML parlay = +149
Jets TNF ML/Ravens ML/Bengals at home MNF to avoid 0-3 (just like last season) parlay = +212
The Cowboys won week 1 but that was the Browns being similar to the Colts by being unprepared to properly open the season - while Dallas was pumped up to win after Dak got paid apparently and took advantage of the Browns and a rusty Watson
But what happened? they got destroyed by the Saints and couldn't make proper changes to slow them down and stay in the game... very bad look on the coaches
Ravens need to avoid 0-3... Dallas can survive 1-2 because they have the Giants 4 days later on TNF and then get 10 days to prepare for the Steelers so they can easily get to 3-2 with 2 road victories where they will be favored
More likely to see both teams at 1-2 following this game
Books didn't want to hang Ravens at +money for a lot of reasons here
Ravens ML -118 and -1 -112 are auto plays here, great spot to lay a team for a 2 units instead of 1
Look at how the Bengals scratched and clawed their way to a week 3 win last season on MNF... after losing to divisional rivals Browns and then by 3 to Ravens they found a way to win 19-16 week 3 v the Rams
RAVENS -1 is the play... you can hope for the line to swing towards Dallas later on and possibly get Ravens ML closer to +100 but who knows... DK shows the money being 64% v 36% towards the Ravens
This is a spot bet to me, a situational play on a team who coming off a sad AFCCG loss... a loss to KC because a guy's shoe size was too big by an inch... and a 10 point 4th quarter lead at home letdown and loss because a tight end couldn't come up with a clutch catch on the sideline with 1 second left to setup a 50 something yard field goal attempt to get to OT - the Raiders pull off that comeback about 5% to 10% of the time they play out that 13-23 4th quarter scenario.
Dallas let the Saints score on drive, after drive, after drive... lost by 25. Same old Dak who doesn't have a lot if you shutdown Lamb... no Pollard at RB and same defense that is capable of getting turnovers v sloppy QB play but is prone to being undersized and run over and also gives up big plays. Gave up 170 rushing and multiple 50+ yard TD's while Dak threw 2 picks. Dallas isn't scary at all here.
HOW do you even come up with valid reasons to bet on the Cowboys here other than the fact they are at home and basically sitting at +100. That's betting the number and not the situation at hand.
Side note here: Lamar Jackson has a great record v NFC teams
home teams lose all the time... the Eagles just lost at home because Saquon couldn't catch a pass and score or go down for a first down to essentially end the game
Ravens are an auto play here and I will also be parlaying them with the Jets ML on TNF as the Jets are at home coming off a late game win v Titans coming up clutch versus the Patriots who were up 20-17 late v Seattle and folded and ended up losing in OT. Teams going in opposite directions here.
Ravens ML/Jets ML = +149
Patriots made a big push to get to an unexpected 2-0 start but they fell short and will tire out v the Jets late after the OT loss. Jacoby v Rodgers and no disrespect to Jacoby but I watched him play almost two full seasons for the Colts in 2017 and 2019 and while he is capable of having random "good games" and making some plays, I cannot back him in this spot. He is easily adjusted too at half time by opposing defensive coordinators and that has been his calling card.
The Jets won last season 17-3 to end the season and it was Bill's final game as coach of the Patriots, what a way to go out. Losing to Trevor Siemian who only passed for 70 yards but getting run over by B.Hall.
The Jets win again here and start a win streak v the Patriots which they have been looking forward too for a long time.
Same situation as the Bills beating the Patriots a bunch once Brady was gone. The Bills following 2019 went 6-1 in a 7 game stretch v the Patriots including a 30 point playoff wildcard win and are 7-2 overall v Patriots since Brady left.
Now, if this goes according to plan... we will be setup to back the 0-2 Bengals at home on MNF v the Commanders. The Bengals are -8 for a reason here people. The 0-2 Bengals were in the same exact spot last season at home on MNF v a 1-1 team... but a harder spot in reality as Burrow was still getting into form from injury. Here, he is 0-2 because of the defense failing to get a stop on 4th and 16 and the Patriots getting up to win week 1 in the first game playing under new HC J. Mayo.
So, if you really like going for a larger +money bet based off 3+ game ML parlays then week 3 is a decent spot for a +200 or better 3-team ML bet here.
Ravens currently -118 @ Cowboys who just gave up 44
Jets currently -285 at home on TNF v Patriots who just lost at home in OT
Bengals currently -395 at home on MNF v Commanders with a rookie QB who just barely beat a BAD Giants team
Parlay these together and you get +212 at DK and I bet some of you can find slightly better numbers if you shop around or have boosts to add.
+212 with 2 0-2 teams that have QB's who can win v anyone and have played a lot of playoff games and a 1-1 team at home v a team on short rest + lost in OT at home after leading 20-17 late? Please, give me that bet.
Look what the Rams did after having a 3 pt lead late v the Lions week 1 before losing in OT... they couldn't stop Arizona at all and the game was over after the first quarter!
So to recap, NFL week 3 will give us some heavy ML winners after a week where lots of dogs won outright, the Packers, the Bucs, the Saints, the Falcons... the Browns and some favorites failed to cover, KC and Houston
Ravens ML/-1
Jets TNF ML/Ravens Sunday 4:25 ML parlay = +149
Jets TNF ML/Ravens ML/Bengals at home MNF to avoid 0-3 (just like last season) parlay = +212
this guy kills me
to win @ home v the Lions on October 13th... just kidding. 