(Plays 7/16 - 7/21)

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-17-24, 04:54 PM

(wnba) 2* DALL Wings +3.5 2.10: 2 to win 2.20.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-17-24, 04:58 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

(wnba) 2* DALL Wings +3.5 2.10: 2 to win 2.20.

3rd unit: +4.5 1.91: 1 to win .91

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-17-24, 08:49 PM

Day: +3.11/3

**leovegas** · 07-17-24, 08:56 PM

101-93

Good 4th quarter for once

**leovegas** · 07-17-24, 08:57 PM

Is 3x your max?

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-17-24, 10:43 PM

Originally posted by leovegas

101-93

Good 4th quarter for once

Yeah, Leo. I thought it was going south.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-17-24, 10:44 PM

Originally posted by leovegas

Is 3x your max?

Hey, Leo. I've written about this. I cap my plays at 5x.

I don't want it to look like I have a CHASE GAME for 100x. I had a pretty good 5x run in the NBA. Don't know the exact tally but it was profitable for sure.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-19-24, 11:36 AM

One Future I played:

ATP Olympics Winner: Sinner 3.97: 1 to win 2.97

My logic ties to a few things:
1) Recency bias. Alcaraz now on fire. Very easy to back him.
2) Nadal is priced competitively. I believe that he's way past it.
3) Djokovic is an animal. But he has an injury issue. I don't expect him to be his best.
4) Clay is viewed as the best surface for Alcaraz. Sinner showed me has the talent to match him.
5) Key for me = Best of 3 Sets. Alcaraz has shown to have great conditioning. He beat both Sinner + Zverev in Paris in five sets after coming back from 2-1 down. Best of 3 = more equal footing.

*Adding 2nd unit on Sinner 4.00: 1 to win 3.00
...I believe in this guy. I think we're catching a great price.
...In my view, Nadal/Djokovic are more name than reality now. Would be floored if either of them win Gold.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-19-24, 11:41 AM

(cfl) 2* SASK +5 1.92: 2 to win 1.84

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-19-24, 11:51 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Day: +3.11/3

Day: +1.84/2. Sask wins outright.
Week: +4.95

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-20-24, 09:18 AM

(Intl Bask - Friendly) 1* FRANCE -3 1.92 (vs Australia): 1 to win .92.

...Australia has had a string of good results.
...France has had some disappointing results. # looks short to me.
...FRA could use a good game as they lead into the Olympic tournament.
...Banking on Mills & Landale to slow down a little.

Per usual, these lines are juiced to the moon. Just a small action play.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-20-24, 09:31 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

(Intl Bask - Friendly) 1* FRANCE -3 1.92 (vs Australia): 1 to win .92.

...Australia has had a string of good results.
...France has had some disappointing results. # looks short to me.
...FRA could use a good game as they lead into the Olympic tournament.
...Banking on Mills & Landale to slow down a little.

Per usual, these lines are juiced to the moon. Just a small action play.

(Friendly being played TODAY) 2* South Sudan +43.5 1.88 (vs USA): 2 to win 1.76
...This # is obscene.
...So Sudan does have big-man Gabriel (who played at Kentucky). Good blocked-shot guy.
...Mismatch game. Don't see what motivation Kerr has to annihilate an opponent that he'll be facing again in two weeks.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-20-24, 10:48 AM

(mlb) NY YANKEES -1.5 2.40: 1 to win 1.40

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-20-24, 11:21 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

(mlb) NY YANKEES -1.5 2.40: 1 to win 1.40

(mlb) 2* TORONTO Blue Jays 1.79: 2 to win 1.58

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-20-24, 11:49 AM

(wnba) All Star game: OVER 190.5 1.96: 1 to win .96
...Some logic to this.
...Should be a very open game.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-20-24, 12:05 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

(mlb) 2* TORONTO Blue Jays 1.79: 2 to win 1.58

3rd unit on Blue Jays 1.86: 1 to win .86

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-20-24, 03:53 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

(wnba) All Star game: OVER 190.5 1.96: 1 to win .96
...Some logic to this.
...Should be a very open game.

Adding 2nd unit: Over 190 1.92: 1 to win .92

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-20-24, 04:29 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

(Friendly being played TODAY) 2* South Sudan +43.5 1.88 (vs USA): 2 to win 1.76
...This # is obscene.
...So Sudan does have big-man Gabriel (who played at Kentucky). Good blocked-shot guy.
...Mismatch game. Don't see what motivation Kerr has to annihilate an opponent that he'll be facing again in two weeks.

Amazingly, SoSudan led by 15 pts and almost won. They lose by one point.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-20-24, 04:33 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Amazingly, SoSudan led by 15 pts and almost won. They lose by one point.

I'll be honest. When I saw the halftime score was 58-44, I read it backwards. I'm like "OK, SoSudan is only down 14. They should easily cover."

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-20-24, 10:30 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Day: +1.84/2. Sask wins outright.
Week: +4.95

Day: -.36/8
...Two MLB plays get dusted.
...WNBA total flies over. SoSudan almost wins Outright as a Huge Dog.
Week: +4.59

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 07-21-24, 04:15 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Day: -.36/8
...Two MLB plays get dusted.
...WNBA total flies over. SoSudan almost wins Outright as a Huge Dog.
Week: +4.59

Day: -1/1. FRA loses.
Week: +3.59

Ending BAL = 146.29 (+4.29 ytd). South Sudan sticks out as the stand-out play. A few commentaries:
1) Will this portend any issues for Team USA? Struggled to win S/U as a massive Favorite.
2) If the oddsmaker weren't juicing these games to the moon, I would have gone stronger than 2* rating.
3) The Moneyline market on these games is a joke. The straddles are almost criminal.

A few plays Pending:
*ATP Tennis
*Intl Bask (Olympics)
*Football (CollFB & NFL)