(Plays 3/11 - 3/17)

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-15-24, 02:17 PM

Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

Chuck I think a lot of dogs r gonna cash today

gl in this

Miss St gets there in style. Thx for the Good Karma, john. Have a great wkend.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-15-24, 02:53 PM

1* plays:

UTAH Jazz +3 (1.92). 1 to win .92
SAN ANT Spurs +10.5 (1.94). 1 to win .94

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-15-24, 05:00 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

*Oregon +11.5 (1.89). 1 to win .89
...Think we get some line-value. And I don't think Arizona will be that hyped for this game. Arizona basically knows that they'll be going to the Salt Lake Region, either as a 1- or 2-seed.

2nd unit on the Ducks. Oreg +12.5 (1.84). 1 to win .84

1* Indiana Hoosiers +6.5 (1.80). 1 to win .80

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-15-24, 10:58 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

*Mavs do hang the #. 3-2 day, 12-6 on the week.

...Mavs give a good effort w/o the name-player.
...I do think this Gafford angle is real. He had another good (if not great) game.
...Gafford is really emerging as a great garbage man. Who is better 3-feet from the rim?

Losing day, 4-5. Still up for the week: 16-11.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-16-24, 01:12 AM

SAT: NY Knicks +3 (1.94). 1 to win .94

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-16-24, 10:17 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

SAT: NY Knicks +3 (1.94). 1 to win .94

Adding two units: +4 (1.90). 2 to win 1.80.
...Might be my only play today.

"Would someone on the Knicks please drive the lane?"

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-16-24, 03:45 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Adding two units: +4 (1.90). 2 to win 1.80.
...Might be my only play today.

"Would someone on the Knicks please drive the lane?"

Adding two more units. Total of five units on the Knicks, and I'll stop there:

2* NY Knicks +3 (2.10). 2 to win 2.20

Playing on the handicap-line. Expecting a very close game. Some very specific reasons for this play:
...For one, Knicks already made the trek west. First game in Portland, travel down to Sacto is not particularly hard.
...I think they'll be geared up and ready to go.
...2nd-ranked Defense in the NBA. So, maybe the points play.

GOOD LUCK.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-16-24, 05:48 PM

2* play: Grand Canyon -6 (1.92). 2 to win 1.84

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-16-24, 11:36 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Adding two more units. Total of five units on the Knicks, and I'll stop there:

2* NY Knicks +3 (2.10). 2 to win 2.20

Playing on the handicap-line. Expecting a very close game. Some very specific reasons for this play:
...For one, Knicks already made the trek west. First game in Portland, travel down to Sacto is not particularly hard.
...I think they'll be geared up and ready to go.
...2nd-ranked Defense in the NBA. So, maybe the points play.

GOOD LUCK.

Knicks cover the whole nut. They win outright, 98-91. Virtually wire-to-wire within the #.

Huge effort by Brunson. And the bench came thru in spades. Been forever since the Knicks were a threat in the East, but I like em this year.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 01:18 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

2* play: Grand Canyon -6 (1.92). 2 to win 1.84

Grand Can does get there on the runout. 7-0 day. For the week: 23-11.

May or may not have any plays on SUN. Will update on SUN nite.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 09:45 AM

NBA play for SUN: DALLAS Mavs +4 (1.96). 1 to win .96

...I'm expecting Doncic to miss. Also, Exum got dinged up last game. So, Mavs are admittedly short-handed.

**johnnyvegas13** · 03-17-24, 09:50 AM

Chuck if donk is out I don’t like it

what do u like hoops today

brown or temple ???

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 09:56 AM

Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

Chuck if donk is out I don’t like it

what do u like hoops today

brown or temple ???

Thanks, Johnny. I value your opinion.

My focus is more on NBA. I didn't see anything that jumped out for me on Coll:
1) I would expect WISC to be tired after yesterday's win. But not sure about -3.
2) Temple seems like such an outsider.
3) Re: Brown, I haven't followed Ivy at all.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 09:59 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

NBA play for SUN: DALLAS Mavs +4 (1.96). 1 to win .96

...I'm expecting Doncic to miss. Also, Exum got dinged up last game. So, Mavs are admittedly short-handed.

1* Phoenix Suns +2.5 (1.94). 1 to win .94

**johnnyvegas13** · 03-17-24, 09:59 AM

Ya both teams r outliers w losing records

I think I might take both and hope for a split

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 10:39 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

1* Phoenix Suns +2.5 (1.94). 1 to win .94

Adding a unit: Suns +3.5 (1.94). 1 to win .94

**veriableodds** · 03-17-24, 10:52 AM

SALUD to you CHUCK. Today's cards give me the willies, as in jeepers creepers where did you get those peepers. I do like the PGA XANDER not to win, albeit only 5 others below him that can surpass. My only minus wager in a while. If he was really that great his lead would be 3 or more going into the final round.. He is not a Fred couples, or Davis love III . GL GL

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by veriableodds

SALUD to you CHUCK. Today's cards give me the willies, as in jeepers creepers where did you get those peepers. I do like the PGA XANDER not to win, albeit only 5 others below him that can surpass. My only minus wager in a while. If he was really that great his lead would be 3 or more going into the final round.. He is not a Fred couples, or Davis love III . GL GL

Hi, Veri. I saw your anti-Xander play. If I saw a good #, I was gonna play it, but I passed.

I know the PGA has a history of leaders gagging on Sunday. The pressure is too much. Tiger was one of the guys who could handle it and hold leads.

As for the basketball, I'm drilling down and doing my own research. I have to feel comfortable going to post. And that's what I'm doing, GL.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 11:47 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Adding a unit: Suns +3.5 (1.94). 1 to win .94

We got the information that I wanted to hear:
*Milw will be playing w/ Middleton but w/o Giannis.

**johnnyvegas13** · 03-17-24, 11:48 AM

Chuck that line just flipped

well done u might wanna take bucks and middle now

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 11:50 AM

Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

Chuck that line just flipped

well done u might wanna take bucks and middle now

Thx, Juan. I see it's Phx -3 now.

I hear you. I normally don't hedge back. Very happy with my side at a +EV price.

**johnnyvegas13** · 03-17-24, 11:57 AM

I made a small play bucks just now

bucks as home dogs just feels off

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 12:00 PM

Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

I made a small play bucks just now

bucks as home dogs just feels off

If you got +3, GL to you. Hope we BOTH hit.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 01:15 PM

Amazing. Bucks shoot the lights out in 1h. 18/27 on 3's.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 01:24 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

NBA play for SUN: DALLAS Mavs +4 (1.96). 1 to win .96

...I'm expecting Doncic to miss. Also, Exum got dinged up last game. So, Mavs are admittedly short-handed.

We again get injury news. Luka to start. I didn't expect him to go.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 01:45 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Amazing. Bucks shoot the lights out in 1h. 18/27 on 3's.

Apparently, the Bucks tied the record:

The Indiana Pacers, the Phoenix Suns and the Utah Jazz are tied for the most threes in a half, with 18 three-pointers.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 02:54 PM

2* WASH Wizards +13.5 (2.02). 2 to win 2.04.

...Feel like this # is bloated. Celtics will be playing w/o some key guys.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 04:14 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

2* WASH Wizards +13.5 (2.02). 2 to win 2.04.

...Feel like this # is bloated. Celtics will be playing w/o some key guys.

Two more units: WASH +15 (1.91). 2 to win 1.82.

...I know I'm going into the weeds on this one. I know they suck.
...Celtic backups will be playing more minutes than they're accustomed to playing. Also believe this is a flat-spot. Walkover-type game, chance to rest some guys.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 07:45 PM

*Phx: Couldn't have gotten it in any better. Bad result.
*Dal: Great winner at the horn.
*Wash: Was a disaster.

1-6 day. For the week: 24-17.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 07:54 PM

Beginning Balance: 106.18

Week: +5.59/41

...And I know the WASH play looks bad. Celtics beat them that badly w/ multiple key guys out.
Ending Balance: 111.17