Happy New Year! My Pick for the Alabama/Michigan Game. Let's Make it Rain!
My first pick of 2024 will be posted in here later tonight.
Cannot start the year 0-1, that would be disheartening.
stevenash
Moderator
01-17-11
65155
#2
Originally posted by Eddy Munny
Cannot start the year 0-1, that would be disheartening.
But ever so easy to overcome.
I'm leaning over 44.5 there.
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Eddy Munny
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
15743
#3
Welp, funny you should mention that Nash, because I shied away from the side on this game and my pick is U45. It's a lowish total for a college football game but I think this could develop into a slobberknocker. Michigan's defense is stout and has playmakers at every level, but I don't know that they really have Bama's DC tossing and turning at night. Unless someone gets out to an early multi-score lead, is either team gonna feel compelled to put the pedal to the metal and risk any major mistakes from their quarterbacks?
The month off is worrisome because you know that they add wrinkles to the playbook that the opponent hasn't seen on film, and if they're executed cleanly in timely situations they can often turn into big chunk plays. That's the inherent risk in bowl games, but I don't know that either offense can consistently matriculate the ball down the field without a negative play here or there to throw them off schedule.
Milroe vs. McCarthy doesn't exactly scream points to me. We'll see.
Under 45
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stevenash
Moderator
01-17-11
65155
#4
My thinking is that there'll be 13 or so D/ST points, but yeah, this won't be a Washington/Oregon air raid.
The over is just a lean, I personally think there's money to be made in the Washington/Texas game.
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Eddy Munny
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
15743
#5
I'm hoping for a 24-17 final on the high side with the potential for a backyard brawl resulting in a 17-16 type of game.
And if for some reason the game is lopsided, hopefully it's because one team's offense can't muster enough to keep up. 31-13 works for me in that scenario.
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hehfest
SBR Hall of Famer
09-28-08
7934
#6
Didn't Johnny V post in this thread? What happened to it? LOL
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19th Hole
SBR Posting Legend
03-22-09
18832
#7
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">This is how I am approaching 2024<br><br>Happy New Years friends and degens <a href="https://t.co/AbJC6UfmGC">pic.twitter.com/AbJC6UfmGC</a></p>— NFL_TOTALS (@NFL_Totals) <a href="https://twitter.com/NFL_Totals/status/1741720124024054223?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >January 1, 2024</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
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hehfest
SBR Hall of Famer
09-28-08
7934
#8
I bought to UM-1 and Under 47. That was a bad break for people on the under. Glad I escaped with a push on that. Wow.
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hehfest
SBR Hall of Famer
09-28-08
7934
#9
That was still the right call Eddy even though it lost. This is why I buy points in big games like this.
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Eddy Munny
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
15743
#10
It went about how I expected as far as points scored.
I thought this was legitimately a 40-41 total type game and that was enough of an edge for me to pull the trigger.
OT was obviously the wildcard here.
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Renegades
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-11
5290
#11
This was a dead under. The fumbled punt was a killer. Those cheap scores are a killer plus it changes the tempo of the game.
the title gm will go under
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Renegades
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-11
5290
#12
Neither tm really moved the ball. Both teams had a handful of big plays on offense
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Renegades
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-11
5290
#13
And its safe to say that Georgia was definitely better than alabama. Bama win over them was a fluke
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Eddy Munny
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
15743
#14
Originally posted by Renegades
This was a dead under. The fumbled punt was a killer. Those cheap scores are a killer plus it changes the tempo of the game.
the title gm will go under
And without the mishandled snap on the PAT in the 1H Michigan probably wins in regulation 21-20.
Obviously Bama would not have punted on their final poss in regulation had they been trailing, but even if they convert the 4th down and get into scoring range, you have to believe they would've ended the game 23-21.