San Jose St.-2.5

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  • Nate rasta
    SBR MVP
    • 05-30-22
    • 2953

    #1
    San Jose St.-2.5
    Not a lot of action today but I feel good about this one. The line flipped, go Sparta
  • mjsuax13
    Moderator
    • 03-14-15
    • 25087

    #2
    Let’s roll.
    Comment
    • Nate rasta
      SBR MVP
      • 05-30-22
      • 2953

      #3
      Line just dipped, maybe people trying to middle
      Comment
      • gauchojake
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 09-17-10
        • 34109

        #4
        Comment
        • ChuckyTheGoat
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-04-11
          • 37286

          #5
          Good Luck, Nate.

          Let's see if you can get on a hot-streak:

          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
          Comment
          • Nate rasta
            SBR MVP
            • 05-30-22
            • 2953

            #6
            Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
            Good Luck, Nate.

            Let's see if you can get on a hot-streak:

            Thanks, I need to catch lightning in a bottle
            Comment
            • Nate rasta
              SBR MVP
              • 05-30-22
              • 2953

              #7
              Well this isn't the start I wanted
              Comment
              • Nate rasta
                SBR MVP
                • 05-30-22
                • 2953

                #8
                This was a trap bet. I didn't get the memo.fuk now I'm in a hole
                Comment
                • gauchojake
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 09-17-10
                  • 34109

                  #9
                  Go for the massive Polish middle?????
                  Comment
                  • mjsuax13
                    Moderator
                    • 03-14-15
                    • 25087

                    #10
                    BURIED. Bad run for me. Need to find a winner tomorrow.
                    Comment
                    • Nate rasta
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-30-22
                      • 2953

                      #11
                      Originally posted by gauchojake
                      Go for the massive Polish middle?????
                      What's that? I don't speak encrypted
                      Comment
                      • Nate rasta
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-30-22
                        • 2953

                        #12
                        Originally posted by mjsuax13
                        BURIED. Bad run for me. Need to find a winner tomorrow.
                        I need a ladder to take me out this hole
                        Last edited by Nate rasta; 02-18-23, 01:23 PM.
                        Comment
                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 04-04-11
                          • 37286

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Nate rasta
                          What's that? I don't speak encrypted
                          It's a gambling term that's been around for a while. I'll give you two examples:

                          1) The "Scandies" are looking for value. Traditional middle would be trying to set up a "landing spot" number that would trigger TWO WINNERS. And we'd like to take the risk at a cheap price.

                          Think about a key number like NFL value of "3". If a bettor can go to post with +3.5 (-110) and -2.5 (-110). That is surely a winning portfolio play over time.

                          So, a guy from Gdansk seeks out a "Polish middle." Maybe he's not too sharp. He shops the lines and winds up with:
                          -3.5 (-110) and +2.5 (-110). Game lands 3, he loses both sides.

                          2) Sometimes, guys will think about the Polish middle on halftimes, too.

                          On the halftime, the term "Polish middle" has less application IMHO. But I'll give an example:

                          *If you are holding a -2.5 ticket for the full game and team is down by 19 at halftime, the equity in that ticket has less value than a tissue to blow your nose.

                          Some might say that a chance to get out of Dodge would be to play the OTHER side at half. Let's say the other side is +5 on the 2nd half.

                          That's one hell of a window where you can lose BOTH sides. Hence, the "Polish middle."
                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                          Comment
                          • texhooper
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-05-09
                            • 10001

                            #14
                            You see Nate the polish are notoriously stupid. I mean you’d never believe how many of them it takes to screw in a lightbulb
                            Comment
                            • Nate rasta
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-30-22
                              • 2953

                              #15
                              Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                              It's a gambling term that's been around for a while. I'll give you two examples:

                              1) The "Scandies" are looking for value. Traditional middle would be trying to set up a "landing spot" number that would trigger TWO WINNERS. And we'd like to take the risk at a cheap price.

                              Think about a key number like NFL value of "3". If a bettor can go to post with +3.5 (-110) and -2.5 (-110). That is surely a winning portfolio play over time.

                              So, a guy from Gdansk seeks out a "Polish middle." Maybe he's not too sharp. He shops the lines and winds up with:
                              -3.5 (-110) and +2.5 (-110). Game lands 3, he loses both sides.

                              2) Sometimes, guys will think about the Polish middle on halftimes, too.

                              On the halftime, the term "Polish middle" has less application IMHO. But I'll give an example:

                              *If you are holding a -2.5 ticket for the full game and team is down by 19 at halftime, the equity in that ticket has less value than a tissue to blow your nose.

                              Some might say that a chance to get out of Dodge would be to play the OTHER side at half. Let's say the other side is +5 on the 2nd half.

                              That's one hell of a window where you can lose BOTH sides. Hence, the "Polish middle."
                              I've heard that term before I had a feeling that's what it was. It's risky but in this game it would have worked. New Mexico won the second half by nine points. I wish I would seen Gaucho's post at halftime I would have made the move
                              Comment
                              • gauchojake
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 09-17-10
                                • 34109

                                #16
                                I would say that a polish middle is rarely a good idea. Just take the L and move on in most cases. I don't always take my own advice though.
                                Comment
                                • gauchojake
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 09-17-10
                                  • 34109

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by texhooper
                                  you see nate the polish are notoriously stupid. I mean you’d never believe how many of them it takes to screw in a lightbulb
                                  POTY
                                  Comment
                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 04-04-11
                                    • 37286

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by gauchojake
                                    POTY
                                    I know that's the running joke.

                                    My counter is always that Copenicus was born in Poland and studied in Poland:

                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                    Comment
                                    • gauchojake
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 09-17-10
                                      • 34109

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                      I know that's the running joke.

                                      My counter is always that Copenicus was born in Poland and studied in Poland:

                                      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nicolaus_Copernicus
                                      **insert joke about Poles not being able to spell**

                                      Comment
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