USA today fade fade fade is in 100% past 5 superbowls

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • OldBill
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-02-21
    • 6416

    #1
    USA today fade fade fade is in 100% past 5 superbowls
    The Paper pick is in

    Front cover of the sports section is Andy Reid and the Kansas City Chiefs. Like I stated before whoever is on it is usually the loser which would make Philly the play. Past 5 super bowls it’s worked.
    Also last night Pat Mahomes was named Nfl league MVP which is usually a bad outcome for that team as well.

    My initial lean and play was on Kc , due to these factors I have no official play for the superbowl.

    Thats his choice no offcial play on the bowl

    ok thats 2 100% DON Juan going on eagles 18-3 record and the fade USA Today and the league MVP

    now we gootta find out who matress mack is betting on and if he goes for chiefs we hammer my birds

    I doubt he takes chiefs he has lost with them and against them HE had 498ers in the superbowl

    he was like this in 3rd quarter 49ers up by ten then after 4th quarter


  • pologq
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-07-12
    • 19899

    #2
    who is kermit the frog picking? i always follow him
    Comment
    • stevenash
      Moderator
      • 01-17-11
      • 65499

      #3
      Originally posted by pologq
      who is kermit the frog picking? i always follow him
      Question?

      Why are there so many songs about rainbows?



      Comment
      • texhooper
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-05-09
        • 10001

        #4
        Bill you focus on so many of the wrong things.

        Not gonna make a pick because of who’s on a damn newspaper I mean honestly dude come on
        Comment
        • pologq
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-07-12
          • 19899

          #5
          Originally posted by stevenash
          Question?

          Why are there so many songs about rainbows?



          kermit is all inclusive. gonzo is a repressed homosexual.
          Comment
          • newton0038
            SBR MVP
            • 03-07-07
            • 2387

            #6
            Who was on the Madden football game cover?
            Comment
            • stevenash
              Moderator
              • 01-17-11
              • 65499

              #7
              Originally posted by pologq
              kermit is all inclusive. gonzo is a repressed homosexual.
              So was Bugs Bunny.
              He was a repressed homosexual too.



              Comment
              • trobin31
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-09-14
                • 9853

                #8
                Originally posted by stevenash
                Question?

                Why are there so many songs about rainbows?



                Rainbows represent the promise of new beginnings and moving past our dark clouds, and, who doesn’t like rainbows ?
                Comment
                • DiggityDaggityDo
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 11-30-08
                  • 81450

                  #9
                  Originally posted by newton0038
                  Who was on the Madden football game cover?
                  Comment
                  • DiggityDaggityDo
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 11-30-08
                    • 81450

                    #10
                    Comment
                    • stevenash
                      Moderator
                      • 01-17-11
                      • 65499

                      #11
                      Originally posted by trobin31
                      Rainbows represent the promise of new beginnings and moving past our dark clouds, and, who doesn’t like rainbows ?
                      I like rainbows.

                      I have a great pic of an uncommon double rainbow right over my house from last year.
                      For a double rainbow to appear sunlight must be reelected twice within a raindrop.
                      Double rainbows are supposed to represent good luck is a comin', come to think about it though they say the same thing when you step in a big heaping pile of warm poop.

                      Who remembers the band Love Affair from the 60's?
                      Child prodigy Steve Ellis fronted that band, he's twenty plus years older than me now and still looks better, plus that and I can't carry a tune either, not a lick.

                      Anyways, I digress, being the king of digression that I am as brevity is not my forte and all, Love Affair had a major hit with Everlasting Love, and a minor hit with a song titled Rainbow Valley, where Steve croons "The sun always shines down in my rainbow valley".

                      Such a toe tapping happy little ditty, give a listen, you'll be glad you did.


                      Comment
                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 04-04-11
                        • 37316

                        #12
                        Billy:

                        *Will you be in Action?

                        OR

                        *Is this all for Show?
                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                        Comment
                        • DiggityDaggityDo
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 11-30-08
                          • 81450

                          #13
                          Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                          Billy:

                          *Will you be in Action?

                          OR

                          *Is this all for Show?
                          Chucky, Billy might be waiting to see what each QB eats for breakfast on Super Bowl Sunday before locking in his pick.
                          Comment
                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 04-04-11
                            • 37316

                            #14
                            Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                            Chucky, Billy might be waiting to see what each QB eats for breakfast on Super Bowl Sunday before locking in his pick.
                            Yeah, we need to check the QB biorhythms.
                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                            Comment
                            • goduke
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-17-10
                              • 11580

                              #15
                              What if it’s cloudy with a chance of sunshine and wind at 11mph who has won the last 5 of those super bowls?
                              Comment
                              • Covering the #
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 02-19-17
                                • 967

                                #16
                                Thought he was an Eagles fan which means we should all already know who his pick is
                                Comment
                                • GunShard
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-05-10
                                  • 10031

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                  Important fact that Madden 22 was released in 2021. Madden games add 1 year to their title. So the Madden curse is applied to the 2021 season not 2022 season. That means Mahomes can win but Mahomes was regular season MVP which is a super bowl curse. The public is on the Eagles, fading the public would mean Mahomes Chiefs should win.

                                  This matchup is a coin flip. The best bet seems to be the shootout Over.
                                  Comment
                                  • DiggityDaggityDo
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 11-30-08
                                    • 81450

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by GunShard
                                    Important fact that Madden 22 was released in 2021. Madden games add 1 year to their title. So the Madden curse is applied to the 2021 season not 2022 season. That means Mahomes can win but Mahomes was regular season MVP which is a super bowl curse. The public is on the Eagles, fading the public would mean Mahomes Chiefs should win.

                                    This matchup is a coin flip. The best bet seems to be the shootout Over.
                                    Good to know, Gunner.

                                    Does this mean Madden himself can’t win the SB next year?
                                    Comment
                                    • flakeandbake
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-21-10
                                      • 3672

                                      #19
                                      Bill - it’s seems to be mostly dumb $ vs dumb $ on each side. There’s really no “signs” leading into any of these playoff games besides the books and whoever’s in on it to get bettors to bet the maximum amount imaginable on both sides. So if you like the Birds - all you see is reasons to think Chiefs are a total fade by all Media outlets (since the day after the AFC/NFC Championship games that’s been the script by the every media outlet and betting resource on the planet). Yet if you look around it’s Eagles Eagles Eagles mostly anyone you ask. (The betting/ticket %s back that up with roughly 50/50% on the spread but almost 60% on the eagles ML). So if you like the chiefs, you’ll most likely be convincing yourself to stick with them. And my gut says that although there’s a smaller % tickets on chiefs ML, there will be more people willing to go big on Chiefs than Eagles here (I’m talking 500-5000 bettors, not whales). So I’m not seeing any “signs” for this game or any of the NFL playoff games (besides follow the $ and you’ll see the SB matchup was rigged for Eagles/Chiefs ever since KC was gifted a bye and the #1 seed and that the Eagles basically received a double bye in my opinion with that Giants matchup (and this forum lit up the giants that day for whatever reason which played out just like the script artist wanted it to).

                                      As u say this, Jake Paul is on the screen which is funny since he was my next point. I think of it this way.. with sports betting now legal in 33 states. These games are either promos to get you in (which was Thanksgiving up to week 17 Hamlin incident up to week 18 Rodgers melting down vs Detroit and Dallas melted down the same day to Washington). Hamlin was the warning sign, and the script switched from the bettors point of view back to the house. And it’s been a complete mockery. Essentially getting everyone to bet the maximum amount possible and expect to see thanksgiving through week 17 football, but instead you’re getting NBA game/Soccer/overseas betting type of results (can anyone tell me the sign in the last chiefs vs bengals game when you had Mahomes basically “fumble”/whatever the hell that was when he threw the ball to the bengals late in the game, and then Burrow do the same thing by trying to throw 2 deep ass passes on 2nd and 3rd down with 5 mins in the 4th Q. Followed by Mahomes and Chiefs getting a FG last second off of a bone head like penalty?.. In hindsight the script was that the Chiefs beat their ass in the regular season and the NFL called in a bullshit Kelce fumble late in the game when the chiefs had it in the bag. Just to shake people off the chiefs in the AFC champ game and make it feel like they’d do the same thing). It’s designed to break people down

                                      Now back to Jake Paul and the Paul bros for that matter… I think the script with these guys is that if the Paul bros can convince the public to buy their little $10-50 PPV fights and rake in that much $ with a blindfold… then sports betting shouldn’t be much different from the houses perspective (and only continue to be that way as legalization grows). So this game comes down to whether or not everyone and their mom is willing to blow $50-200 on the eagles (literally everyone and their mom) vs the public didn’t buy in hard enough and the books/script artist aren’t going to watch people tee-off on the Chiefs and rake it that easy.

                                      That’s the fuckkinn script imo and it’s a good one (from the houses perspective)
                                      Last edited by flakeandbake; 02-11-23, 02:18 AM.
                                      Comment
                                      • OldBill
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-02-21
                                        • 6416

                                        #20
                                        im on the eagles high scoring game like 28 - 25 35--31 defintely love overs

                                        i dint watch every min of the 1 hr 23 one i saw on cable tv you tube but eagles stormed out 1st half 21-10

                                        then chiefs came back in 3rd quarter took lead but egle scored last go up 38-35 and mahoomes got sacked and wound up missing last 6 sec pass to try n get fg but time ran out any way

                                        I do not think they showed what eagles do best run run run in any simluation

                                        but i never made any computer decide who i was going to be on in the SB no body can tell me who to be on
                                        Comment
                                        • flakeandbake
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 06-21-10
                                          • 3672

                                          #21
                                          I just typed up something and lost the whole thing…but 2 things..

                                          1) we all knew to look at USA Today cover and it was no surprise it was Chiefs bc that’s been the script since the AFC/NFC champ games, and has continued to grow leading up to kick off. Chiefs on the cover and Mahomes winning MVP was the icing. But in my entire career I’ve never heard it being called out by the PUBLIC in advance. Not once in those 5x in a row did it influence bettors decisions on a mass scale (and you yourself just said it had you switch up your pick)

                                          2) also Don Juan 18-3? Who cares. I myself have only lost 2 SBs and it was both times the Pats lost to NYG. My biggest wins were Denver and Eagles with Foles. As Brady would say “the best one is the next one”. So what stands out here is that this guy has been a beast for 21 years and now the PUBLIC is bringing this to our attention. Not once during that 18-3 run did I ever hear the public mention his picks. Has anyone thought that maybe this guy has made his way up to the Elite by now and would do anything a billionaire NFL and sportsbooks owner wouldn’t tell him to do — which is exactly what our “hero’s” do every Sunday. Whatever the owners want and can agree on. Sure I’m sure there’s some real football that goes on behind the seens and overall they get it pretty right.

                                          but I’m not seeing the script here. I’m just seeing billionaires trying to squeeze bettors on each side
                                          Comment
                                          • flakeandbake
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-21-10
                                            • 3672

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by OldBill
                                            im on the eagles high scoring game like 28 - 25 35--31 defintely love overs

                                            i dint watch every min of the 1 hr 23 one i saw on cable tv you tube but eagles stormed out 1st half 21-10

                                            then chiefs came back in 3rd quarter took lead but egle scored last go up 38-35 and mahoomes got sacked and wound up missing last 6 sec pass to try n get fg but time ran out any way

                                            I do not think they showed what eagles do best run run run in any simluation

                                            but i never made any computer decide who i was going to be on in the SB no body can tell me who to be on
                                            The only way I see the Eagles winning is if it’s called in like their last 2 games. Books had a field day in each. Mahomes is one of the hardest Qbs in human history to bet against. I don’t see the reason behind betting against him here. Idc what type of system or defense or playmakers or coach a team has when you’re going against a guy like Brady/Mahomes in their prime. So I will take my chances and ride out the Jake Paul theory and that if you get enough people to bet $50-200 on the Birds that it’s enough for the books go home happy. Anyone betting more than 10K on this game is sharp enough to figure that part out and bet the right amount so that it wouldn’t effect the script. Anyone betting that much that doesn’t know what they’re doing will be making a donation. It’s always been about the at-home bettor. Did they buy in enough on the Philly Spesh or did they pussy foot around and now books have a problem on their hands with the Chiefs? We’ll find out pretty soon on Sunday
                                            Comment
                                            • flakeandbake
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-21-10
                                              • 3672

                                              #23
                                              Bull- in your opinion, how much would you expect the line to move, if at all, the 2 weeks leading up to the SB? I can’t really remember it moving much off the top of my head but started wondering about it the past few days. Most likely won’t be a factor but always a consideration. I will say it looks like a Birds line from that perspective and that most of these tight lines have been steam (there’s no value at +2 but could argue there’s always been value on the chiefs ml) but still a birds line
                                              Comment
                                              • flakeandbake
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 06-21-10
                                                • 3672

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by texhooper
                                                Bill you focus on so many of the wrong things.

                                                Not gonna make a pick because of who’s on a damn newspaper I mean honestly dude come on
                                                It matters though. When the signs are aligning vs having that feeling someone just stuck their finger up your ass haha
                                                Comment
                                                • flakeandbake
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-21-10
                                                  • 3672

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Covering the #
                                                  Thought he was an Eagles fan which means we should all already know who his pick is
                                                  I’m an eagles fan. At least I was from ‘05 to ‘20-21 and then couldn’t handle that they ditched Pederson and Foles for Siriani and Hurts. Just to get jerked around all year last year and play patty cake in big games. So that’s very telling. That this script was written over 2-3 years ago and they needed a way to get people off of the Birds that would have pounded the Eagles with a blindfold if they were to repeat that situation with Pederson. So I could see this being the final straw and I got shook off my team.

                                                  come to think of it.. that’s most likely what they did with that Wentz injury and then Foles came in with much less public backers. Unless you think football is real. So they could be doing the same thing here with Siriani and Hurts — I just can’t buy into it idk why. I can see exactly why the birds have gotten to this point though
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sweethook
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-21-07
                                                    • 12667

                                                    #26
                                                    parlay eagles with the under 51 .. gl sir
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EddieMusher
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 09-10-15
                                                      • 858

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by sweethook
                                                      parlay eagles with the under 51 .. gl sir
                                                      I'm on both as well but not on a parlay.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • manny24
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-22-07
                                                        • 20046

                                                        #28
                                                        first of all the sports cover was Lebron yesterday

                                                        fuk sake

                                                        secondly OldBill put your teeth in and explain to us how Don Juan and Mattress Mack have our best interest at heart

                                                        both guys on oxygen and look like dehydrated jerky so you're tailing i get it but what are we doing here ?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • stevenash
                                                          Moderator
                                                          • 01-17-11
                                                          • 65499

                                                          #29
                                                          Bill, you're as nutty as Aunt Sheila's Christmas fruitcake, but at the end of the day, when it's all said and done, and there's nothing left to say or do, bottom line is for reasons unknown, we still love you.

                                                          Anybody who is a Rolling Stones fan is A-OK in my book.
                                                          Keep on rocking in the free world Billy boy.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • OldBill
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-02-21
                                                            • 6416

                                                            #30
                                                            well guess what i saw the live replay of on you tube of of 2 top anylast and one woman the one guy said that mahhomes in 2 superbowls his QBr was worse than in season a low 65 or 60 QBR and in 2 sb's patrick has thrown only 2 td's but 5 ints

                                                            now who you gonna bet on ... HE is nowhere near being the next brady comon man 9 sb 's won 7 of them with 2 different teams

                                                            Brady hardly ever ran or had to use legs to get to an open WR he took what defnse gave him
                                                            Comment
                                                            • manny24
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-22-07
                                                              • 20046

                                                              #31
                                                              Mahomes garbage Brady overrated got it thank you OldBill
                                                              Comment
                                                              • flakeandbake
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 06-21-10
                                                                • 3672

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by flakeandbake
                                                                I just typed up something and lost the whole thing…but 2 things..

                                                                1) we all knew to look at USA Today cover and it was no surprise it was Chiefs bc that’s been the script since the AFC/NFC champ games, and has continued to grow leading up to kick off. Chiefs on the cover and Mahomes winning MVP was the icing. But in my entire career I’ve never heard it being called out by the PUBLIC in advance. Not once in those 5x in a row did it influence bettors decisions on a mass scale (and you yourself just said it had you switch up your pick)

                                                                2) also Don Juan 18-3? Who cares. I myself have only lost 2 SBs and it was both times the Pats lost to NYG. My biggest wins were Denver and Eagles with Foles. As Brady would say “the best one is the next one”. So what stands out here is that this guy has been a beast for 21 years and now the PUBLIC is bringing this to our attention. Not once during that 18-3 run did I ever hear the public mention his picks. Has anyone thought that maybe this guy has made his way up to the Elite by now and would do anything a billionaire NFL and sportsbooks owner wouldn’t tell him to do — which is exactly what our “hero’s” do every Sunday. Whatever the owners want and can agree on. Sure I’m sure there’s some real football that goes on behind the seens and overall they get it pretty right.

                                                                but I’m not seeing the script here. I’m just seeing billionaires trying to squeeze bettors on each side
                                                                Sign #25 demar hamlin in the eagles end zone prior to the game Sign #26 dak prescott wins man of the year award and called to the podium Sign #28 prime drink commercial with Logan Paul Sign #27 bradly cooper narrating the introduction to the eagles

                                                                the list goes on. LFG
                                                                Comment
                                                                • flakeandbake
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 06-21-10
                                                                  • 3672

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by manny24
                                                                  first of all the sports cover was Lebron yesterday

                                                                  Hifuk sake

                                                                  secondly OldBill put your teeth in and explain to us how Don Juan and Mattress Mack have our best interest at heart

                                                                  both guys on oxygen and look like dehydrated jerky so you're tailing i get it but what are we doing here ?
                                                                  Read what I said on Don Juan
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • flakeandbake
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-21-10
                                                                    • 3672

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Actually I lost that first SB when Denver got smeared by Seattle. So I guess I’m 19-3 now too lol bye bye birds
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • flakeandbake
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 06-21-10
                                                                      • 3672

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Was the Paul theory not spot on or nah? My girlfriends friend who never bet in her life and never even watches football bet $10 on the Eagles, because she would’ve gotten off work today if they win (she recently moved to Philly). That was the writing on the wall and then they actually did a Gatorade Prime commercial with Logan Paul - all fronted and paid for by billionaire of course
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...