Jags +8.5 seems too good to be true?

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  • ddittie
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-15-12
    • 819

    #1
    Jags +8.5 seems too good to be true?
    I missed the easiest bet of all time on Dallas vs Tampa last week.

    This Jags bet seems ludicrous. KC almost always plays these big games tight from my own personal recollection. Jags aren't getting any respect here.

    I do think KC wins here, but on the last drive of the game. I'm planning to drive to Kansas to place my bet, do ya'll like the Jags here or the Over more? Just curious...

    Glad to see this place still popping!
  • jrgum3
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-21-17
    • 7005

    #2
    Honestly I think KC covers here. It will be like a 10 point game which isn't as big a blowout as people seem to think this game will be but it's enough to cover the spread here. As for the total I lean under but I probably will stay away from the total. The only totals I really like this week are the Under in the Philly game and the Over in the Niners game.
    Comment
    • lakerboy
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-02-09
      • 94379

      #3
      Think Browns vs KC. Playoffs.
      Comment
      • TheMoneyShot
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 02-14-07
        • 28672

        #4
        Public loves rested teams coming off of bye... wouldn't be surprised if it's KC -10 on Saturday.
        Comment
        • d2bets
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-10-05
          • 39995

          #5
          51/49. If I had a gun to my head I'd take +8.5 too, but I don't, so pass.
          Comment
          • cala56
            SBR MVP
            • 02-25-10
            • 4231

            #6
            Check jaguars defense stats, especially on passing
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #7
              Well, the Jaguars didn’t play that great last game so maybe back to normal and make it a good game
              Comment
              • RM Logic
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 12-09-13
                • 847

                #8
                Dont like either side. I probably will play the KC team total over 31.
                Comment
                • Mike Huntertz
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-19-09
                  • 11207

                  #9
                  Could be some weather issues but doesn't look horrible....may favor the home guyz?
                  Comment
                  • GunShard
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-05-10
                    • 10031

                    #10
                    Chiefs play better in the playoffs than the regular season. If the Chiefs meet the Bills again, Chiefs are still undefeated against the Bills during the playoffs.
                    Comment
                    • ChessPlayer1
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 06-28-18
                      • 91

                      #11
                      Leaning Jax +8.5 myself.
                      Comment
                      • TheMoneyShot
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-14-07
                        • 28672

                        #12
                        Comment
                        • klemopixx
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-02-14
                          • 3807

                          #13
                          Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                          The most overrated stat in history. You really think that a stat on what day of the fukkin week a guy plays, especially back to high school, has an effect on this week's game? Sportsbooks love stats like this. The Chiefs will not take their foot off the gas on Saturday and will easily cover the -8.5 spread.

                          If you want a more important stat, try Andy Reid teams being 27-4 after a bye week.
                          Comment
                          • TheMoneyShot
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-14-07
                            • 28672

                            #14
                            ^ But Andy Reid has 4 losses. Lawrence has 0
                            Comment
                            • GunShard
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-05-10
                              • 10031

                              #15
                              Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                              Crazy stat but Lawrence should get his first loss on Saturday. 41-1
                              Comment
                              • stevenash
                                Moderator
                                • 01-17-11
                                • 65511

                                #16
                                I'm hardly a KC fan but Chiefs all day Saturday.

                                Mahomes threw for over 5000 yards, 500 yards more than any other QB, four KC receivers had over 500 receiving yards.
                                Jax is a bottom five NFL team defending the pass, like Vikings stinky, Jax yields 235 passing yards per game.

                                Do the math.
                                Mahomes will carve up that pass defense.
                                I'm laying the points but I do wish the OP well.
                                Last edited by stevenash; 01-20-23, 10:27 AM.
                                Comment
                                • klemopixx
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-02-14
                                  • 3807

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                  ^ But Andy Reid has 4 losses. Lawrence has 0
                                  No wonder you're a Trump fan.

                                  Good luck with your wagers.
                                  Comment
                                  • stevenash
                                    Moderator
                                    • 01-17-11
                                    • 65511

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by klemopixx
                                    No wonder you're a Trump fan.

                                    Good luck with your wagers.
                                    Who says I'm a Trump fan?
                                    Hardly, I can't stomach the man.
                                    Comment
                                    • OldBill
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-02-21
                                      • 6416

                                      #19
                                      jags where one of teams that lost 4 str8 weeks or more and overcoming a 27 points losee is going to make them collapse again

                                      as many teams do through the decades of nfl LIKE why chargers are throwing ball in 2 nd half with a solid running game is just stoopid

                                      like whats his face with 49ers in s b vs cheifs blew a 10 point laed in 3rd quater

                                      kc wracked up like 17 points in 4th
                                      Comment
                                      • Fred The Hammer
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-13-13
                                        • 11579

                                        #20
                                        I like Lawrence Over 243.5 (-115). He had 259 vs KC last time and they don't run it that well. They should be behind and his receivers have been producing pretty well.
                                        Comment
                                        • Renegades
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 10-12-11
                                          • 5290

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                          I like Lawrence Over 243.5 (-115). He had 259 vs KC last time and they don't run it that well. They should be behind and his receivers have been producing pretty well.
                                          My concern here would be the KC pass rush.
                                          Comment
                                          • k13
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-16-10
                                            • 18104

                                            #22
                                            They'll get destroyed.
                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                              Public loves rested teams coming off of bye... wouldn't be surprised if it's KC -10 on Saturday.
                                              I tend to agree here. I think that line climbs to at least 9.5 and then pushes the 10 by game time.
                                              Comment
                                              • marcoloco
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-05-10
                                                • 3986

                                                #24
                                                KC by 10+
                                                Comment
                                                • TheMoneyShot
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 02-14-07
                                                  • 28672

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by klemopixx
                                                  No wonder you're a Trump fan.

                                                  Good luck with your wagers.
                                                  I post a graphic just to post a graphic.... and you get all bent emotionally because you're in love with Andy Reid. Then... it explains everything (to you) why I post a Lawrence is 41-0 graphic because I'm a Trump fan. I admire your capping skills. I never said who I'm picking. This crew at SBR is touchy.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ThaTopMoron
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 04-30-10
                                                    • 27020

                                                    #26
                                                    Jags tried to blow it vs Titans

                                                    then did what they did last week because it was the chargers and refs... Bosa wanted to kill the refs

                                                    keep betting on an AFC South team in the playoffs vs KC... Colts in 2018? Titans in 2019???
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pologq
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-07-12
                                                      • 19899

                                                      #27
                                                      on jags myself but alt lines
                                                      Comment
                                                      • homie1975
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-24-13
                                                        • 15452

                                                        #28
                                                        are you serious ?

                                                        did you see that JAX went down 0-27 to SD at home last week and only came back because the Chargers are cursed and Unclutch ?

                                                        JAX is getting run out of arrowhead
                                                        Comment
                                                        • homie1975
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-24-13
                                                          • 15452

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by ddittie
                                                          I missed the easiest bet of all time on Dallas vs Tampa last week.

                                                          This Jags bet seems ludicrous. KC almost always plays these big games tight from my own personal recollection. Jags aren't getting any respect here.

                                                          I do think KC wins here, but on the last drive of the game. I'm planning to drive to Kansas to place my bet, do ya'll like the Jags here or the Over more? Just curious...

                                                          Glad to see this place still popping!
                                                          next time tell us BEFORE the game, Chappy

                                                          easiest bet of all time going against Brady and on the Road ?

                                                          then why did you not wager it?

                                                          hindsight always 20/20

                                                          if you keep thinking like this you are either broke already or you are going broke !!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • homie1975
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-24-13
                                                            • 15452

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                                            ^ But Andy Reid has 4 losses. Lawrence has 0
                                                            comparing a coach that took teams to numerous conf champ games and super bowls and has won, vs a guy who just won his first ever playoff game thanks to a choking charger squad.

                                                            this is pure comedy.

                                                            you cannot make this stuff up.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • agendaman
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-01-11
                                                              • 3727

                                                              #31
                                                              viks fired their defensive coord. today.he was not all to blame.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Rambuck
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 01-12-23
                                                                • 41

                                                                #32
                                                                I don't think the +8.5 is a good bet. But the O52 is good for a couple units
                                                                Comment
                                                                • klemopixx
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-02-14
                                                                  • 3807

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                                                  I post a graphic just to post a graphic.... and you get all bent emotionally because you're in love with Andy Reid. Then... it explains everything (to you) why I post a Lawrence is 41-0 graphic because I'm a Trump fan. I admire your capping skills. I never said who I'm picking. This crew at SBR is touchy.
                                                                  Don't backpedal too hard
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • agendaman
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-01-11
                                                                    • 3727

                                                                    #34
                                                                    i can see a 38-31 game.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • homie1975
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-24-13
                                                                      • 15452

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by agendaman
                                                                      viks fired their defensive coord. today.he was not all to blame.
                                                                      Easier to fire one coach vs numerous players

                                                                      Fall guy
                                                                      Comment
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