Cardinals to win World Series +4000

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  • johnnyvegas13
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 05-21-15
    • 27897

    #1
    Cardinals to win World Series +4000
    On it
  • slayer14
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-12-13
    • 22010

    #2
    Wainwright is the key
    Comment
    • stevenash
      Moderator
      • 01-17-11
      • 65570

      #3
      Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
      On it
      Cards true odds of winning the pennant are 7.4 %, and the true odds of the Cards winning the World Series is 2.7 %

      2.7 percent is +3700 (rounded up)

      You're getting +4000 on a +3700 proposition to which I say, good value bet there Johnny,
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Johnny better off just lighting your money on fire
        Comment
        • ThaWoj
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-09-10
          • 6761

          #5
          We have no pitching. Flaherty cant stay healthy and is a political idiot. Waino is a million years old. Matz blows. Bullpen is absolutely awful. Miles is the only one I trust.

          Then when the pitching is doing ok the offense goes gold. Nolan has more bad games than good. Bader still out. Big Fundi having a great year. Albert washed. Yadi out and washed. We like Gorman and Donovan. Tommy Edman can be a spark sometimes.
          Comment
          • stevenash
            Moderator
            • 01-17-11
            • 65570

            #6
            Originally posted by jjgold
            Johnny better off just lighting your money on fire
            40 to 1 is actually value.
            He's getting 40 to 1 though because he's got to get past the Dodgers, then NY Yankees.

            After those two teams the Mets are deeper.
            But there is value in the Cards.

            I never thought I'd be saying this, but there is actually some value in the Yankees.

            The book (DK) is offering +400 on the Yanks, in reality they have a 30.30 percent chance of winning it all which translates into +330 real odds.


            There is no value in the Mets.

            The biggest ripoff I've seen so far, (and I'll make an elaborate post tomorrow pointing out real all the value is) the real ripoff are the Braves.
            The Braves have in reality have a 4.50% chance of winning the WS, at 4.50% means you need +2220 better, DK is offering you +800, almost triple more than real value.
            Comment
            • TheMoneyShot
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-14-07
              • 28672

              #7
              Who's going to take down the Yanks? Looks like a well oiled machine... and then some.
              Comment
              • Kermit
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 09-27-10
                • 32555

                #8
                I don't see anyone beating the Yankees.

                They're like the Gas House Gorillas.
                Comment
                • stevenash
                  Moderator
                  • 01-17-11
                  • 65570

                  #9
                  Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                  Who's going to take down the Yanks? Looks like a well oiled machine... and then some.
                  In the AL, Houston and only have a punchers chance.
                  Only one team is coming out of the AL Central, and I really admire what Seattle is doing, as a former catcher myself, I love Servais.
                  Not only was he a very smart defensive catcher, he's held a couple of high front office posts before becoming their bench manager.
                  I loved what he did last season, he started the season with his first four rotation starters all lefties, and in the bullpen had six righties (two LHP)
                  I love the way he thinks.

                  Now having said all that, this is where I get off.
                  The M's can not and will not continue this streak much longer.
                  If you're feeling frisky and have a disposable twenty hanging around your desk draw, you can try to turn that 20 into a grand at 50:1
                  Know this though, set aside all the accolades they are getting right now, they only do have in reality a 2.3 % chance winning it all.

                  2.3% divided by 100 is +4340, making +5000 them a value, not a super value, but a value nevertheless.
                  Comment
                  • johnnyvegas13
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 05-21-15
                    • 27897

                    #10
                    Originally posted by ThaWoj
                    We have no pitching. Flaherty cant stay healthy and is a political idiot. Waino is a million years old. Matz blows. Bullpen is absolutely awful. Miles is the only one I trust.

                    Then when the pitching is doing ok the offense goes gold. Nolan has more bad games than good. Bader still out. Big Fundi having a great year. Albert washed. Yadi out and washed. We like Gorman and Donovan. Tommy Edman can be a spark sometimes.
                    They really just need to add a good starter imo

                    and that should b possible via trade

                    if they win the div it’s gonna b dodgers or cards

                    nets suck
                    Comment
                    • johnnyvegas13
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 05-21-15
                      • 27897

                      #11
                      Originally posted by stevenash
                      40 to 1 is actually value.
                      He's getting 40 to 1 though because he's got to get past the Dodgers, then NY Yankees.

                      After those two teams the Mets are deeper.
                      But there is value in the Cards.

                      I never thought I'd be saying this, but there is actually some value in the Yankees.

                      The book (DK) is offering +400 on the Yanks, in reality they have a 30.30 percent chance of winning it all which translates into +330 real odds.


                      There is no value in the Mets.

                      The biggest ripoff I've seen so far, (and I'll make an elaborate post tomorrow pointing out real all the value is) the real ripoff are the Braves.
                      The Braves have in reality have a 4.50% chance of winning the WS, at 4.50% means you need +2220 better, DK is offering you +800, almost triple more than real value.
                      I guess I forgot about the braves

                      hoping mets win that div

                      they will choke playoffs
                      Comment
                      • yisman
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 09-01-08
                        • 75682

                        #12
                        Originally posted by ThaWoj
                        We have no pitching. Flaherty cant stay healthy and is a political idiot. Waino is a million years old. Matz blows. Bullpen is absolutely awful. Miles is the only one I trust.

                        Then when the pitching is doing ok the offense goes gold. Nolan has more bad games than good. Bader still out. Big Fundi having a great year. Albert washed. Yadi out and washed. We like Gorman and Donovan. Tommy Edman can be a spark sometimes.
                        Yadi went home to PR to play basketball
                        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                        [/quote]

                        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                        Comment
                        • ThaWoj
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 03-09-10
                          • 6761

                          #13
                          Originally posted by yisman
                          Yadi went home to PR to play basketball
                          I read he got arrested the other day
                          Comment
                          • ThaWoj
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-09-10
                            • 6761

                            #14
                            Originally posted by stevenash
                            In the AL, Houston and only have a punchers chance.
                            Only one team is coming out of the AL Central, and I really admire what Seattle is doing, as a former catcher myself, I love Servais.
                            Not only was he a very smart defensive catcher, he's held a couple of high front office posts before becoming their bench manager.
                            I loved what he did last season, he started the season with his first four rotation starters all lefties, and in the bullpen had six righties (two LHP)
                            I love the way he thinks.

                            Now having said all that, this is where I get off.
                            The M's can not and will not continue this streak much longer.
                            If you're feeling frisky and have a disposable twenty hanging around your desk draw, you can try to turn that 20 into a grand at 50:1
                            Know this though, set aside all the accolades they are getting right now, they only do have in reality a 2.3 % chance winning it all.

                            2.3% divided by 100 is +4340, making +5000 them a value, not a super value, but a value nevertheless.
                            If they can catch Houston somehow I'm in line to win 40k
                            Comment
                            • gauchojake
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 09-17-10
                              • 34113

                              #15
                              Johnny has hit futures on NFL and NBA.... Can he continue the streak in MLB?????
                              Comment
                              • flyingillini
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 41219

                                #16
                                Love the play. Go Cardinals!!!!
                                המוסד‎
                                המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                                Comment
                                • stake1
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-19-18
                                  • 18116

                                  #17
                                  Jv: you have guts pal. they have no pitching. do not buy into those "soto rumors" either. there is no chance they will trade walker and winn for soto
                                  I mean winn just threw the hardest toss from ss at 100+mph to first base, the owner is the cheapest of anyone with the kind of cash flow that team has. so sure, maybe they add cole hamels, jon lester, and the great tony fossas for the stretch run. but they cannot beat Lad for the pennant
                                  Comment
                                  • unde0087
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 03-27-08
                                    • 28952

                                    #18
                                    There isn't a chance in hell they win, they probably won't make the playoffs, if they make it I hope to God the Mets play them first.
                                    Comment
                                    • unde0087
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 03-27-08
                                      • 28952

                                      #19
                                      So we can clean up the pile of shit they are.
                                      Comment
                                      • unde0087
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 03-27-08
                                        • 28952

                                        #20
                                        Their coach is a total clown.
                                        Comment
                                        • johnnyvegas13
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 05-21-15
                                          • 27897

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by stake1
                                          Jv: you have guts pal. they have no pitching. do not buy into those "soto rumors" either. there is no chance they will trade walker and winn for soto
                                          I mean winn just threw the hardest toss from ss at 100+mph to first base, the owner is the cheapest of anyone with the kind of cash flow that team has. so sure, maybe they add cole hamels, jon lester, and the great tony fossas for the stretch run. but they cannot beat Lad for the pennant
                                          Last sentence exactly what was said about Braves last yr

                                          dodgers r very beatable
                                          Comment
                                          • johnnyvegas13
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 05-21-15
                                            • 27897

                                            #22
                                            Adding cards to win the div +150
                                            Comment
                                            • johnnyvegas13
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 05-21-15
                                              • 27897

                                              #23
                                              R cards gonna get a pitcher today or what
                                              Comment
                                              • stake1
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-19-18
                                                • 18116

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                                R cards gonna get a pitcher today or what
                                                they did last night: quintana
                                                they need 2-3 new quality arms. their world series odds are now: +$5,000
                                                Comment
                                                • stake1
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-19-18
                                                  • 18116

                                                  #25
                                                  maybe the cardinals trade for eovaldi. longer shot is rodon
                                                  Comment
                                                  • stake1
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-19-18
                                                    • 18116

                                                    #26
                                                    not rodon, but Monty is not shabby. I am pissed the Bombers gave him away to the cardinals for nothing
                                                    Comment
                                                    • johnnyvegas13
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 05-21-15
                                                      • 27897

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by stake1
                                                      not rodon, but Monty is not shabby. I am pissed the Bombers gave him away to the cardinals for nothing
                                                      I woulda preferred a big name but they got guys

                                                      pitching has depth now

                                                      just need some cards devil magic this fall
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DJK
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-17-11
                                                        • 2424

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                                        Johnny better off just lighting your money on fire
                                                        Does it matter when it's only $1?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • unde0087
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 03-27-08
                                                          • 28952

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by DJK
                                                          Does it matter when it's only $1?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • unde0087
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 03-27-08
                                                            • 28952

                                                            #30
                                                            I would love to see evidence of these plays
                                                            Comment
                                                            • johnnyvegas13
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 05-21-15
                                                              • 27897

                                                              #31
                                                              Brewee just got swept by the fulkkinnn rats

                                                              cards have a chance I would say
                                                              Comment
                                                              • johnnyvegas13
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 05-21-15
                                                                • 27897

                                                                #32
                                                                Big series starting today vs brewer

                                                                if they can win this series they have a nice looking schedule after
                                                                Comment
                                                                • pologq
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-07-12
                                                                  • 19899

                                                                  #33
                                                                  cards are there. this is their season.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • flyingillini
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 41219

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Cardinals all the way!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! World Series cHampions!
                                                                    המוסד‎
                                                                    המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DrunkHorseplayer
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-15-10
                                                                      • 7719

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                                                      Who's going to take down the Yanks? Looks like a well oiled machine... and then some.
                                                                      Other then their 41-13 streak, the Yanks are only 30-28. Granted, the streak was impressive because it was a whole two months and not just a week or two but the Yankees aren't playing like a .600 team right now and they're getting bet to the board; they're going to take a tumble in the playoffs.
                                                                      Comment
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