Atl Hawks have not lost at home since April 15

[KVB]

That happens all the time too these days, ever since it leaked out couple of years ago that Game 3 home teams down 0-2 in series were like 70% ATS in first half. Ever since that came out, books have skewed 1H lines in those spots and they are closer to 50% since.

Yup. The market caught up.

[LT Profits]

Yup. The market caught up.

Sadly it always does.

[texhooper]

Philly -1.5 for me.

I believe in Philly. I do not believe in Atlanta.

That’s my analysis

[asiagambler]

Hawks get full HCA with 100% capacity.

Their home court isn't strong to begin with. No way -3

[KVB]

Sadly it always does.

LT, curiously, as you can see from my longer post about the numbers, what do you have tonight?

I have 222 Total to go along with that 4 point Philly win in my stacking forecast.

You?

[LT Profits]

LT, curiously, as you can see from my longer post about the numbers, what do you have tonight?

I have 222 Total to go along with that 4 point Philly win in my stacking forecast.

You?

Philly -2.95 and 224.3

[carolinakid]

it amazing the games you pick and dont play, win so easy, the 1st half line on philly just jump out to me and said play me.

[JayLA]

Sixers running awsy with it

[texhooper]

Philly -1.5 for me.

I believe in Philly. I do not believe in Atlanta.

That’s my analysis

Might have been the easiest win I’ve gotten these playoffs. I guess Atlanta has lost at home since April 15 now or whatever it was

[lakerboy]

I think Game 4 line would vary by around 5.5 points depending on who wins tonight, which sounds wild bit it is what it is. If 76ers win tonight to "normalize" series based on home court, Atlanta -3. If Hawks win tonight putting 76ers in MUST win mode down 2-1 on road, Philly -2.5

Sixers are -2.5.

[LT Profits]

Surprisingly 76ers are slightly bigger favorites at -2.5 in Game 4. That tells me books do not feel this series matchup is as close as many people (including ME) thought, maybe swayed by blowout in Game 3.

[LT Profits]

Sixers are -2.5.

Right, what I said above about line skewed toward teams that lost the previous game applies when teams are fairly close in talent. I THOUGHT that applied here, while books seem to think series is over.

[KVB]

Right, what I said above about line skewed toward teams that lost the previous game applies when teams are fairly close in talent. I THOUGHT that applied here, while books seem to think series is over.

The books? You mean the bettors.

The books are trying to exploit that and will take a position on the Hawks here, even while moving that line around.