Wiz +8 for me. Russ goes off in this game I think.
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#5
Need more
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#6
Still working here on the market tracking Funds, we need the market to develop as we follow the money in and out of real and fake line movement.
MIL on the Contrarian Fund radar, but the forecast has SD on such a beatdown that I don't think we trigger. The MIL runline is looking tasty though. So action appears heavy on SD but that line should get to the 130s for crying out loud. Let's see if the books blink.
Arizona also on the radar. Another low line but it is more justified. I have SF winning that game before any markets adjustments. We'll see how thos aadjustments affect the outlook.
Detroit as well, I have this game Forecasted close and adjustments make Detroit plus a little money a possibility.
KC also on the radar, I actually have them winning outright, and they are a contrarian dog. Given the success of the Fund yesterday at these levels, if this play triggers it may lose.
ATL and HOU on the radar but there is a naked woman looking at me.
gotta go
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GzaTheGenius
SBR MVP
02-12-13
4181
#7
I like Knicks, Vegas and TB
Am I a square?
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Darkside Magick
SBR Posting Legend
05-28-10
12638
#8
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 +286 vs Chicago White Sox
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#9
No, JJ Gold.
Wednesday is hump day, nomsayin'?
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#10
Originally posted by GzaTheGenius
I like Knicks, Vegas and TB
Am I a square?
Atlanta a pretty strong contrarian look but NY has a couple of things going for them. ATL was just in this situation, a Fund trigger in fact that won, and it is a likely give and take scenario, and to add to the probability, I do have metrics that indicate a potential pullback in the Contrarian Fund and markets as a hole.
If ATL triggers in the Fund, I would be a little surprised if it wins. I don't have to be right here, but that's what I see.
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BIGDAY
SBR Aristocracy
02-17-10
48245
#11
AZ Diamondbacks +107
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thezbar
SBR Hall of Famer
08-29-06
6422
#12
I don't see Randle shooting poorly two games in a row. Knicks ml.
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#13
Not that anyone asked, but I agree with BigDay and zbar, both very reasonable ^^^.
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JIBBBY
SBR Aristocracy
12-10-09
83686
#14
Utah has D Mitchell back in the line up. Utah will come to play hard in a rebound game against the Memphis Grizz tonight for sure!! Liking the Jazz but not sure if they can cover all those points -9? On the fence still.. ML -500.. Ouch..
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 +286 vs Chicago White Sox
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#16
Originally posted by KVB
Atlanta a pretty strong contrarian look but NY has a couple of things going for them. ATL was just in this situation, a Fund trigger in fact that won, and it is a likely give and take scenario, and to add to the probability, I do have metrics that indicate a potential pullback in the Contrarian Fund and markets as a hole.
If ATL triggers in the Fund, I would be a little surprised if it wins. I don't have to be right here, but that's what I see...
The broader Contrarian Fund triggered Arizona too, but I'm only really tracking the backbone at SBR this year.
Let's Cash it!!!
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KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#19
Also did this...
Originally posted by KVB
This play is less weather related but I do believe the books are showing pressure on the OVER, as they are getting those bets, but I also believe we are seeing both book and generated low grade steam towards the OVER.
Naturally, fading that steam is a contrarian type move, even if it's low grade, but even more so I have evidence that the UNDER money in many spots of the market outweigh the money and bets on the OVER. This creates the divergent contrarian situation while keeping with the,going against the public sentiment of a contrarian play.
This is not a contrarian thread but it does seek to exploit market over adjustments and with Forecasts that show a 7 or less point game here, with plenty of room to spare, I believe we have one here in Washington and have picked up...