Jose Berrios over 5.5 K's vs Yankees

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  • WvGambler
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-19-10
    • 11618

    #1
    Jose Berrios over 5.5 K's vs Yankees
    Anyone else considering this decent value at -118? Yankees K almost 9 times per game, and you know they're going to come out swinging tonight with the adrenaline. Berrios with 181K's in 185 innings this year. I really thought the line would be 6.5, which it is at some books. 5.5 seems like it happens more often than it doesn't.

    I think its a small play for me. Any insights?
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #2
    He has not been sharp the last month +. I loved backing berrios 1st 5 innings for some time but don’t trust him anymore. He might not be in game long enough to get it.
    Comment
    • WvGambler
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 04-19-10
      • 11618

      #3
      Originally posted by 2daBank
      He has not been sharp the last month +. I loved backing berrios 1st 5 innings for some time but don’t trust him anymore. He might not be in game long enough to get it.
      My only concern is the 5 inning pull. He still hit the number or more in 3 of his last 5 in September.
      Comment
      • krk1030
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-13-08
        • 17610

        #4
        He is really an average strikeout pitcher. Is better against rightys and Yankees have 7 in the lineup.

        Just don't see him getting there without going deep in the game.
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #5
          Originally posted by WvGambler
          My only concern is the 5 inning pull. He still hit the number or more in 3 of his last 5 in September.
          He certainly capable. I think your only concern is him getting worked over and yanked early.
          Comment
          • SamsNCharge99
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-22-08
            • 41242

            #6
            bookmaker is 6.5 with (-235) on the under

            Paxton also 6.5 and (-163) on the under
            Comment
            • WvGambler
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-19-10
              • 11618

              #7
              Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
              bookmaker is 6.5 with (-235) on the under

              Paxton also 6.5 and (-163) on the under
              Oof. Well we see what they think
              Comment
              • thomorino
                Restricted User
                • 06-01-17
                • 45842

                #8
                Originally posted by 2daBank
                He has not been sharp the last month +. I loved backing berrios 1st 5 innings for some time but don’t trust him anymore. He might not be in game long enough to get it.
                Agree and this isn't the regular season they won't leave him in if he's struggling.
                Comment
                • MinnesotaFats
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-18-10
                  • 14758

                  #9
                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                  He has not been sharp the last month +. I loved backing berrios 1st 5 innings for some time but don’t trust him anymore. He might not be in game long enough to get it.
                  Banker has it right

                  Berrios 1 quality start last 2.5 months

                  Yanks could knock him out of game by 3rd inning
                  Comment
                  • leetreaper
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 10-23-10
                    • 34841

                    #10
                    I'm on Twinkies RL at almost EVEN moneyz...throw away in-season H2H, this is much different now esp. with a loser Paxton on the mound lmao.
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #11
                      Originally posted by leetreaper
                      I'm on Twinkies RL at almost EVEN moneyz...throw away in-season H2H, this is much different now esp. with a loser Paxton on the mound lmao.
                      I don’t like it man, don’t trust berrios at all and twins pen is not good. Even if Paxton struggles yanks got plenty of firepower in pen to bail him out.
                      Comment
                      • WvGambler
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-19-10
                        • 11618

                        #12
                        Cash it
                        Comment
                        • krk1030
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-13-08
                          • 17610

                          #13
                          Nice hit.

                          He's not long for this game but got you there.
                          Comment
                          • krk1030
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-13-08
                            • 17610

                            #14
                            Originally posted by leetreaper
                            I'm on Twinkies RL at almost EVEN moneyz...throw away in-season H2H, this is much different now esp. with a loser Paxton on the mound lmao.
                            Loser Paxton ?

                            One of the best pitchers in baseball the last 3 month's of the season.
                            Comment
                            • WvGambler
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-19-10
                              • 11618

                              #15
                              Originally posted by krk1030
                              Nice hit.

                              He's not long for this game but got you there.
                              I am pretty sure that inning was it. As Rocky as it gets, but great K numbers. His defense didn't do him any favors.
                              Comment
                              • Buckandadime
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-21-15
                                • 8847

                                #16
                                Originally posted by WvGambler
                                Cash it
                                Comment
                                • SamsNCharge99
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-22-08
                                  • 41242

                                  #17
                                  Paxton just hit 7
                                  Comment
                                  • WvGambler
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-19-10
                                    • 11618

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
                                    Paxton just hit 7
                                    The night ol' WV knew more than Bookmaker
                                    Comment
                                    • WvGambler
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-19-10
                                      • 11618

                                      #19
                                      Now trying to stay under 9
                                      Comment
                                      • krk1030
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-13-08
                                        • 17610

                                        #20
                                        Handshakes and hugs for berrios as twins tie it.

                                        Odd that it being tied or down 1 would impact if he comes back out or not...
                                        Comment
                                        • pablo222
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-03-19
                                          • 8858

                                          #21
                                          Gl Wv. Go Twins
                                          Comment
                                          • slayer14
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-12-13
                                            • 22010

                                            #22
                                            Yankees look fragile here
                                            Comment
                                            • krk1030
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-13-08
                                              • 17610

                                              #23
                                              What the penetrate is Boone doing...can already see this now being tied in the 10th inning and some scrub in pitching.
                                              Comment
                                              • WvGambler
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 04-19-10
                                                • 11618

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by pablo222
                                                Gl Wv. Go Twins
                                                Thank you my friend!
                                                Comment
                                                • WvGambler
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 04-19-10
                                                  • 11618

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by krk1030
                                                  What the penetrate is Boone doing...can already see this now being tied in the 10th inning and some scrub in pitching.
                                                  I knew that was Berrios final AB when he got my 6th K. I don't agree with it..he should've come out again.

                                                  He was a little wild, but he still looked strong enough. Needed another 2-3 outs.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • cincinnatikid513
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 11-23-17
                                                    • 45360

                                                    #26
                                                    horrible at bat edwin
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #27
                                                      Whew,, just got 6k’s before the ax right? Nice hit bro
                                                      Comment
                                                      • WvGambler
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 04-19-10
                                                        • 11618

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                        Whew,, just got 6k’s before the ax right? Nice hit bro
                                                        Yea he was on a short leash. Struck out his last hitter. Looked strong, just no help. 2k in the first, 2k in the second and 1 each in the next two.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 2daBank
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-26-09
                                                          • 88966

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by WvGambler
                                                          Yea he was on a short leash. Struck out his last hitter. Looked strong, just no help. 2k in the first, 2k in the second and 1 each in the next two.
                                                          Nice. Def what I was afraid of. His pitch count was getting up there fast but still think it crazy to have him on short leash when twinks pen sucks something serious. Too bad, think that the main difference in this series and why twinkies can’t win.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • WvGambler
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 04-19-10
                                                            • 11618

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                            Nice. Def what I was afraid of. His pitch count was getting up there fast but still think it crazy to have him on short leash when twinks pen sucks something serious. Too bad, think that the main difference in this series and why twinkies can’t win.
                                                            Velocity was still good, still getting swings and misses, 2 of his runs came off an error. Managers managing scared unfortunately. No reason he can’t couldn’t throw 100-110 tonight especially considering that that still only would’ve brought him through the 5th. If you’re starting the series with him, you gotta have more faith than that.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by WvGambler
                                                              Velocity was still good, still getting swings and misses, 2 of his runs came off an error. Managers managing scared unfortunately. No reason he can’t couldn’t throw 100-110 tonight especially considering that that still only would’ve brought him through the 5th. If you’re starting the series with him, you gotta have more faith than that.
                                                              If they had a good pen I’d understand it. They don’t have anyone in pen that has anywhere close to berrios stuff so don’t make lot of sense to me.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • WvGambler
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-19-10
                                                                • 11618

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                If they had a good pen I’d understand it. They don’t have anyone in pen that has anywhere close to berrios stuff so don’t make lot of sense to me.
                                                                That’s why I was expecting 6 innings at least. I didn’t want to go nuts on the play but I truly was thinking 6 innings and 8k
                                                                Comment
                                                                • dawg58kahn
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 08-19-18
                                                                  • 2106

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by leetreaper
                                                                  I'm on Twinkies RL at almost EVEN moneyz...throw away in-season H2H, this is much different now esp. with a loser Paxton on the mound lmao.
                                                                  lmao fish
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 2daBank
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                                    • 88966

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by WvGambler
                                                                    That’s why I was expecting 6 innings at least. I didn’t want to go nuts on the play but I truly was thinking 6 innings and 8k
                                                                    I didn’t think he had much chance of going 6 or obviously woulda thought it was a great bet. Luckily only took him 4 innings to do the deed for ya!!

                                                                    I can’t believe this total was basically same number as cards/Braves! Lmao. Wtf they smoking? Way too high in atl and not nearly high enough in Bronx!! Please let them keep setting these twins/yanks games low!! These lineups are both sick, damn near every player on field has 25+ bombs, the only guys who don’t were injured for long stretch of year! Insane power, playing in bandbox, suspect starters, and twinks pen garbage!! There gonna be fireworks all 3-4 games that thing goes.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • WvGambler
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 04-19-10
                                                                      • 11618

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                      I didn’t think he had much chance of going 6 or obviously woulda thought it was a great bet. Luckily only took him 4 innings to do the deed for ya!!

                                                                      I can’t believe this total was basically same number as cards/Braves! Lmao. Wtf they smoking? Way too high in atl and not nearly high enough in Bronx!! Please let them keep setting these twins/yanks games low!! These lineups are both sick, damn near every player on field has 25+ bombs, the only guys who don’t were injured for long stretch of year! Insane power, playing in bandbox, suspect starters, and twinks pen garbage!! There gonna be fireworks all 3-4 games that thing goes.
                                                                      You on the over today?
                                                                      Comment
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