I’m considering making an all-in, truly massive wager on the Padres tonight

[Bostongambler]

Either way good luck John

[TigerWoods3]

Fuk the stats. Each game is a new game. If you got that gut feeling on the Pads go for it and good luck

This guy is awesome

[TigerWoods3]

pop it up one time ..

Thanks bro. I think I’m going to

[JMobile]

Well aware and thanks for looking out. Think I’m still going to pull the trigger anyway. This would be a pure value play

I’ll keep you all updated. Thinking I’m gonna pull the trigger soon...

Did you pull the trigger?

[FOREVER HUSKERS]

TWIII remember that if Aaron Burr wouldn't have pulled the trigger Alex Hamilton would not have died LOL

[unusialsusp5]

Thanks bro. I think I’m going to

i'd tread lightly on this one. SD pitcher had issues last 2 outs. both at home. first one got knocked around by colorado 8-2 loss. next start against a fading seattle team he walked 5 obviously making an adjustment not to throw the ball over the plate. ATL pitcher lights out in his two starts and is at home here and team is going well. price is right but....

[stake1]

Yeah tough spot for Padres. Lineup missing couple bats -2 there. Extra inning pen stress back to back in DC.

Then you look at the matchup, Atlanta a house of horrors for Padres. They simply lose there all the time, one win in the last 3 years. I unloaded on the Braves, game, first five, run line.

[icon]

Yeah tough spot for Padres. Lineup missing couple bats -2 there. Extra inning pen stress back to back in DC.

Then you look at the matchup, Atlanta a house of horrors for Padres. They simply lose there all the time, one win in the last 3 years. I unloaded on the Braves, game, first five, run line.

Please don't talk the mush Henry Hill off the Pads, I'm on Atlanta and need the help.

[Bcatswin]

Please call him by his name, It's TIGER

[icon]

Please call him by his name, It's TIGER

right please don't dissuade Tiger mush from a large play on SD.

[TigerWoods3]

Your boy Tiger just PULLED THE TRIGGER

[mlarge]

TWIII remember that if Aaron Burr wouldn't have pulled the trigger Alex Hamilton would not have died LOL

That may be true, but he would be over 260 years old now, so...

[TigerWoods3]

Please call him by his name, It's TIGER

I like this guy!

[TigerWoods3]

Did you pull the trigger?

Yes. Yes I did.

[TigerWoods3]

1-0 Pads!

Let’s fukkin go!!!

[icon]

1-0 Pads!

Let’s fukkin go!!!

2-1 Braves! Lesss Gooooooo!!

[JMobile]

Sorry bro...

[pablo222]

Who’s John? I’m Tiger

And no, I didn’t lose it all on the Indians. I lost a big play on the Indians, but I’m up thousands over the last few weeks. Last nights play was for $700

Are you really Tiger? Can I have your autograph?

[eidolon]

Two things I've learned in my life of betting:
1) Never be on or against Phillip Rivers.
2) Never bet on the Padres.

[Bostongambler]

Are you really Tiger? Can I have your autograph?

I want Johns autograph

[icon]

[BGS 9.5]

Hi Hank

[2daBank]

Sorry you lost.,

If I had seen this thread earlier (didn’t have any time to post today) I’d have warned that it a huge mistake to go big on any one single baseball game. Nothing to do with who you liked here, pads wernt a bad play. Regular season any sport just not a good idea to go much bigger than any other bet, doubly true in baseball, the outcomes are just too random. You far better off getting down equal amounts as often as possible on games like this than unloading on any single one.

[lonegambler23]

lol their manager has them hitting off tees to get their confidence up

[2daBank]

lol their manager has them hitting off tees to get their confidence up

Never good when you have more errors than runs, lol. Hopefully he has some them practicing fielding those balls hit off the tee!!! Lol

[gojetsgomoxies]

sorry you lost...

i saw, and presumably you did too, that tatis was out. you got a better price i think because of that.... who was the 2nd player out?

anyway, get them next time.... i would have preferred padres at home, but then price would have been alot worse.

[Plaza23]

The hit rate on SBR locks or All In has to be 25%

[2daBank]

The hit rate on SBR locks or All In has to be 25%

Consider the typical sources. Guys w a clue know there ain’t no locks.

[gojetsgomoxies]

The hit rate on SBR locks or All In has to be 25%

yup, i've posted on this phenomenon before. (i'd forgotten that i had).... it does seem like the hit rate is terrible. and i don't think it's selective memory.

another phenomenon is a bunch of people on this forum lining up on the "this line doesn't make sense". invariably it's a consistent loser too.

[gojetsgomoxies]

Consider the typical sources. Guys w a clue know there ain’t no locks.

if guys are truly clueless, wouldn't the win rate still be close to 50% (like flipping a coin or basically white noise)?? maybe that's wrong thinking by me though

[2daBank]

if guys are truly clueless, wouldn't the win rate still be close to 50% (like flipping a coin or basically white noise)?? maybe that's wrong thinking by me though

You would think so I suppose which they probably are closer to overall but they seem to have a true gift for stepping out on a ledge on worst possible plays! Lol. Not to mention some these guys simply defy the odds and lose at a insane clip it seems. Over the years we have seen many with that “gift”, recently mr Johnny been the poster picking up the mantle, havnt seen him win a posted bet in months and he was posting daily during the ncaa tourney and has thrown few others out recently, Portland was his gem tonight.


Far as this one didn’t have chance to cap mlb card today cause had a long day but looking at it after the fact can’t say pads were a bad play at the price. It just never makes sense to go any bigger than normal on a regular season mlb game.

[Poisec]

The hit rate on SBR locks or All In has to be 25%

He didn't think it was a lock though. He went all in because losing 700 yesterday on Cleveland. Typical failed martingale.

[jjgold]

another guy busted

[The General]

The losing ratio of these type scenarios has been great since the inception of message boards. It's always the same result. In 2001 I also learned a hard lesson when Rahman beat Lennox Lewis.

[King tut]

Better take up golf. Baseballs not your thing