Why is Boston +3?

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  • krk1030
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-13-08
    • 17610

    #1
    Why is Boston +3?
    After being 8 point favorites at home.

    11 point swing for home court seems excessive.
  • The General
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-10-05
    • 13279

    #2
    Maybe they lay down and don't care. NBA is like that but no chance I could suggest Indiana.
    Comment
    • JIBBBY
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-10-09
      • 83686

      #3
      Indy probably wins straight up.
      Comment
      • DOM-Ganador
        SBR MVP
        • 05-30-12
        • 4479

        #4
        This Celt team has issues. All season. They NEVER really went on a run.
        They have played down to comp. They almost never put their foot to the throat of an opponent when they should.
        I expect a Pacers victory tonight. and will be betting them.
        Comment
        • KRIT
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-11-14
          • 12878

          #5
          A lot of big swings in point spreads. OKC has about a 11 point swing from game 1 to game 3. Big swing as you mentioned in the Indy series. Big swing in the Utah series, nearly 10 points. Had about 10 point swing in the Nuggets series. Think the big swings are pretty indicative of how the game will play out.
          Comment
          • krk1030
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-13-08
            • 17610

            #6
            Just surprising to see the big swings in some but not others. Only 4 to 5 point swing in the Philly series, until Embiid was ruled out.
            Comment
            • thetrinity
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-25-11
              • 22430

              #7
              They go with bigger swings in the 2-0 series that they expect to go 6 or 7
              Comment
              • inspektr
                SBR High Roller
                • 05-28-18
                • 210

                #8
                you prolly don't remember last years playoff's very well lol. Boston went undefeated at home like 12-0 but were terrible on the road way below 500
                Comment
                • pavyracer
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-12-07
                  • 82838

                  #9
                  They were down last game with a minute left. Pacers should have won last game.
                  Comment
                  • lakerboy
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-02-09
                    • 94379

                    #10
                    Typical NBA playoffs. Books know the desperate situation and adjust accordingly. Pretty much makes the game hard to bet
                    Comment
                    • thomorino
                      Restricted User
                      • 06-01-17
                      • 45842

                      #11
                      The books have gotten hammered by teams at home down 0-2 with first half bets so they have adjust the spreads both half time and full game.
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        NBA lines often get skewed toward home teams down 0-2, same thing with OKC and Utah.
                        Comment
                        • Conqueror
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-08-13
                          • 16778

                          #13
                          Great at home, terrible on the road.
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            Originally posted by DOM-Ganador
                            This Celt team has issues. All season. They NEVER really went on a run.
                            They have played down to comp. They almost never put their foot to the throat of an opponent when they should.
                            I expect a Pacers victory tonight. and will be betting them.
                            Yea but talent level never been the problem, I half way expect them to play much better more consistently in playoffs.

                            Indy probably win but just don’t think they win both these home games so think I’m just gonna do little chase after the plus money on the better team.
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #15
                              Originally posted by pavyracer
                              They were down last game with a minute left. Pacers should have won last game.
                              Boston has a closer, pacers don’t.
                              Comment
                              • Harry N. Lloyd
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-26-08
                                • 4810

                                #16
                                Try the OVER. It's really low, but for good reason, these teams haven't been scoring. I think they will tonight.
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #17
                                  pound boston

                                  no brainer
                                  Comment
                                  • Harry N. Lloyd
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-26-08
                                    • 4810

                                    #18
                                    As for the game, it's Boston ML +125 or pass for me. I can't get excited about this Pacers team.
                                    Comment
                                    • Conqueror
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-08-13
                                      • 16778

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Harry N. Lloyd
                                      Try the OVER. It's really low, but for good reason, these teams haven't been scoring. I think they will tonight.
                                      Exactly.
                                      Comment
                                      • gauchojake
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 09-17-10
                                        • 34113

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                        pound boston

                                        no brainer
                                        👍 that usually works
                                        Comment
                                        • DOM-Ganador
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-30-12
                                          • 4479

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                                          Yea but talent level never been the problem, I half way expect them to play much better more consistently in playoffs.

                                          Indy probably win but just don’t think they win both these home games so think I’m just gonna do little chase after the plus money on the better team.
                                          Bank, I agree. Playoffs are so different. BUT, @ home, they really didn`t impose any will on this Pacer squad missing their best player.
                                          Celts win the series for sure. Would love to see them sweep, give them rest, let Smart heal a bit. Just have 0 confidence of them stringing together 4 complete games in a row. And it pisses me off.
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by DOM-Ganador
                                            Bank, I agree. Playoffs are so different. BUT, @ home, they really didn`t impose any will on this Pacer squad missing their best player.
                                            Celts win the series for sure. Would love to see them sweep, give them rest, let Smart heal a bit. Just have 0 confidence of them stringing together 4 complete games in a row. And it pisses me off.
                                            Lol. I feel ya. Honestly I don’t think there much chance they sweep either. I just think they will take 1 at Indy, no clue which but at plus money I don’t mind doing a little chase if they lose tonight. I could just pass and wait for gm 4 but then inevitably they win this one and I’ll be kicking myself, lol. I use this strategy a ton in the nhl playoffs and it works really well, I’m not as confident in celts so just did a half unit here and prob go 1.5x on gm4 should they lose here. 2u about as much I’m willing to dedicate to them. Lol
                                            Comment
                                            • The General
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-10-05
                                              • 13279

                                              #23
                                              Taking a position on Celtics SU.

                                              Good luck
                                              Comment
                                              • homie1975
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-24-13
                                                • 15452

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by krk1030
                                                After being 8 point favorites at home.

                                                11 point swing for home court seems excessive.
                                                You're right. The marketplace is Inefficient and missed by a mile. Take Celtics +3 for all u got

                                                (I hope u can tell I'm being sarcastic)
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by homie1975
                                                  You're right. The marketplace is Inefficient and missed by a mile. Take Celtics +3 for all u got

                                                  (I hope u can tell I'm being sarcastic)
                                                  I actually did bet Boston +3. I gave the reason why the line is what it is, but that does not mean I agree with it.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Git Lo
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-20-11
                                                    • 3785

                                                    #26
                                                    op is right but you have to understand Pacers been missing oladipo for a long time and they still made 5 seed and celtics seem to have problems all year although they have a really good roster and also missing marcus smart
                                                    Comment
                                                    • alon7777777
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-11-10
                                                      • 1864

                                                      #27
                                                      Why is Boston +3? Maybe because theyre gonna lose
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DOM-Ganador
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-30-12
                                                        • 4479

                                                        #28
                                                        Pacers are frisky.
                                                        Took the huge hit early from C`s and end up winning first half.

                                                        C`s have had some horrific 3rd Q`s.
                                                        Think it will come down to Kyrie hitting/missing shots late.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 2daBank
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-26-09
                                                          • 88966

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by DOM-Ganador
                                                          Pacers are frisky.
                                                          Took the huge hit early from C`s and end up winning first half.

                                                          C`s have had some horrific 3rd Q`s.
                                                          Think it will come down to Kyrie hitting/missing shots late.
                                                          Damn at dinner I checked score and thought celts were in good shape. Forgot how bad it sucks to get a early lead in basketball gm! lol
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Grivas_Digeni
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 05-08-15
                                                            • 5307

                                                            #30
                                                            I started blankly into the space as Indiana Pacers 1H ML went from .... whatever ... to +600, to +250 at which point I grabbed it. Nice outcome.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KRIT
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-11-14
                                                              • 12878

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                              Damn at dinner I checked score and thought celts were in good shape. Forgot how bad it sucks to get a early lead in basketball gm! lol
                                                              In game betting is great in NBA.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 2daBank
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-26-09
                                                                • 88966

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by KRIT
                                                                In game betting is great in NBA.
                                                                I think just hoops in general. I don’t do much live betting anymore cause it has just gotten me into trouble plus requires more game watching/paying attention than I’m willing. Lol.

                                                                Back in the day couldn’t tell ya how often I would have multiple plus money bets/points on both sides of ncaa hoops gm, love that shit!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • slayer14
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-12-13
                                                                  • 22010

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Only a 33 point 3rd quarter
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • messi0826
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 04-18-19
                                                                    • 5

                                                                    #34
                                                                    The home is terrible, the away game will not work
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jjgold
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                                      • 388179

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Going to wire
                                                                      Comment
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