Future on Pats to Win SB 1k to win 6k

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  • Joe Sharp
    SBR MVP
    • 06-01-09
    • 3011

    #1
    Future on Pats to Win SB 1k to win 6k
    Grabbed Pats at +600 before they played the Chargers. What would you suggest for a hedge on this game? Or would you hedge at all?

    I'm thinking 1k on Rams ML just to cover the initial investment.
  • JAKEPEAVY21
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-11-11
    • 29215

    #2
    $1500 on Rams ML so you make a little something if Rams win and still cash nicely if NE wins.
    Comment
    • 5mike5
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-21-11
      • 51807

      #3
      Agree with Jake
      Comment
      • JayandCaitti
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-09-18
        • 315

        #4
        Have faith don't hedge a bet just win or lose.
        Comment
        • SBR Drew
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-08-18
          • 7351

          #5
          put 2k on LA Rams...they will win the game...wrong favorite here
          Comment
          • bettingman6
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-21-18
            • 626

            #6
            The Patriots were 6/1 in the preseason. That was a joke and a total steal. I would have been thrilled with those odds if I did futures. (I don’t want my money locked up for months.)

            The Patriots were probably about 9/1 when they were 1-2.
            Comment
            • jt315
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-12-11
              • 21698

              #7
              For those with access to Vegas outs Westgate has the Pats at 10-1 for SB next year a/o Jan. 22 . They’ve already clinched the AFC East .
              Comment
              • shocka1212
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-06-12
                • 16788

                #8
                Originally posted by jt315
                For those with access to Vegas outs Westgate has the Pats at 10-1 for SB next year a/o Jan. 22 . They’ve already clinched the AFC East .
                Comment
                • Cuse0323
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-09-09
                  • 30169

                  #9
                  Don’t hedge. You have a winning ticket.
                  Comment
                  • KingKolzig
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-02-10
                    • 5550

                    #10
                    Originally posted by SBR Drew
                    put 2k on LA Rams...they will win the game...wrong favorite here
                    wow sbr giving away a free winner. but its true Rams will win rather easily.........they have 2 hall-of-fame DT's that will harass brady all game. they have had injuries all year but are finally healthy. goff played a solid game in NO when he couldnt even hear the plays. Rams 34-20

                    become a big rams fan and bet 4k on them
                    Comment
                    • Hman
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-04-17
                      • 21429

                      #11
                      Originally posted by SBR Drew
                      put 2k on LA Rams...they will win the game...wrong favorite here


                      I would strongly consider taking Drew's advice
                      Comment
                      • cincinnatikid513
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 11-23-17
                        • 45360

                        #12
                        were the pats really 6 to 1 that late in season find that hard to believe
                        Comment
                        • sweethook
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-21-07
                          • 12667

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Cuse0323
                          Don’t hedge. You have a winning ticket.
                          this ...
                          Comment
                          • Joe Sharp
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-01-09
                            • 3011

                            #14
                            Thanks for the advice boys!

                            I'll put 2k on Rams now at +120

                            I'm a Pats fan in Boston, so I do have a rooting interest in the game. At least that bet will guarantee profit.

                            4k if Pats win
                            1k if Pats lose

                            Not a bad spot to be in at all.

                            Good luck with your plays... looking into prop bets now!
                            Comment
                            • bettingman6
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-21-18
                              • 626

                              #15
                              Originally posted by jt315
                              For those with access to Vegas outs Westgate has the Pats at 10-1 for SB next year a/o Jan. 22 . They’ve already clinched the AFC East .

                              Holy shit. Patriots at 10/1 next year?

                              I might forget about my disdain for doing futures to take that offer.
                              Comment
                              • bettingman6
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 12-21-18
                                • 626

                                #16
                                Anyway, don’t hedge just to reduce variance for yourself. Only hedge if you think it has +EV.

                                It’s possible you think the Patriots were undervalued before the Chargers game, but are overvalued now. If that’s the case hedge your bet.
                                Comment
                                • jt315
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-12-11
                                  • 21698

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by bettingman6
                                  Holy shit. Patriots at 10/1 next year?

                                  I might forget about my disdain for doing futures to take that offer.
                                  Comment
                                  • Altuve Cedeno
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-24-17
                                    • 210

                                    #18
                                    Go for the gusto, take rams plus the points and try to win both. Spread will go to 3, buy it to 3’
                                    Comment
                                    • bettingman6
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-21-18
                                      • 626

                                      #19
                                      Hmm. Is there some big belief that Brady’s age will catch up with him?
                                      Comment
                                      • pavyracer
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-12-07
                                        • 82478

                                        #20
                                        Bet $1000 more on the Patriots -7.5 ALT line.

                                        If you liked them at +600 then why won't you like them even better at +250?
                                        Comment
                                        • KiDBaZkiT
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-20-09
                                          • 14962

                                          #21
                                          Winnah
                                          Comment
                                          • trevor123698
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-26-09
                                            • 1071

                                            #22
                                            its free money. don't hedge. the 666 is in play with them
                                            Comment
                                            • Big Bear
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 11-01-11
                                              • 43253

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Joe Sharp
                                              Grabbed Pats at +600 before they played the Chargers. What would you suggest for a hedge on this game? Or would you hedge at all?

                                              I'm thinking 1k on Rams ML just to cover the initial investment.
                                              Always hedge


                                              look at how much hedge fund managers make

                                              if u always hedge you will win at life
                                              Comment
                                              • champlain
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 03-19-14
                                                • 713

                                                #24
                                                You shouldn’t hedge for the simple reason that hadn’t the chiefs gotten offside, you lost your 1k. Look, You are playing with house money. If you lose, you should have already lost anyway so it shouldn’t hurt.
                                                Comment
                                                • Snowball
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 11-15-09
                                                  • 30041

                                                  #25
                                                  look at this. live feed

                                                  Whether it was a desire to send off their team into hostile territory outside New England right, a chance to get on the Gillette Stadium field, or a combination of both, an estimated 35,000 fans woke up in the wee hours and braved the cold on Sunday morning to salute the Patriots as they head […]
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Joe Sharp
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-01-09
                                                    • 3011

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by champlain
                                                    You shouldn’t hedge for the simple reason that hadn’t the chiefs gotten offside, you lost your 1k. Look, You are playing with house money. If you lose, you should have already lost anyway so it shouldn’t hurt.
                                                    This makes zero sense to me. It doesn't matter how they won... they won. My bet is still alive. You have to look forward and put yourself in a position to profit. No?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigdaddyQH
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 07-13-09
                                                      • 19530

                                                      #27
                                                      The guys who are telling you not to lose are the biggest losers in life. Big Bear makes a very valid point. Take it from someone who has amassed a nice amount of money over the years. Grab a guaranteed profit when you can. You will not have that many opportunities in life.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ans61201
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-11-15
                                                        • 3661

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                        Bet $1000 more on the Patriots -7.5 ALT line.

                                                        If you liked them at +600 then why won't you like them even better at +250?
                                                        Just never disappoints. This is the only
                                                        Shitty advice on the thread.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ans61201
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-11-15
                                                          • 3661

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                          Bet $1000 more on the Patriots -7.5 ALT line.

                                                          If you liked them at +600 then why won't you like them even better at +250?
                                                          Why would someone like something better at less than half the odds, and having to cover 8 more points.
                                                          Holy hell this guy is the walking brick to the face emoji
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JIBBBY
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-10-09
                                                            • 83691

                                                            #30
                                                            I'm on the opposite side of the fence with the future and I did hedge out.. Needed to walk away with something and I suggest you do the same. I'll still be rooting for the Rams obviously to win $850.00. If the Patriots win I walk away with a measly $100.. Still something and a profit...

                                                            $250.00 $200.00 Pending 2/3/19 6:30pm NFL Football 101 New England Patriots -125* vs Los Angeles Rams
                                                            The Hedge ^^^

                                                            $100.00 $1100.00 Pending 2/3/19 6:30pm NFL Props Football 25007 Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl +1100* vs Field wins Super Bowl LIII
                                                            Comment
                                                            • champlain
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 03-19-14
                                                              • 713

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Joe Sharp
                                                              This makes zero sense to me. It doesn't matter how they won... they won. My bet is still alive. You have to look forward and put yourself in a position to profit. No?
                                                              If you don’t get it, then listen to other people. You’re gambling, you had a chance to lose all your money before the chargers game and before the chiefs game. Your ticket is worthless before the ref called offside. But, now, you want to guarantee yourself a profit when you risk it all for 2 straight games. If What I said don’t make sense to you then your reasoning for hedging don’t make sense to me either.

                                                              what didn’t you just bet the patriots to win the afc then?
                                                              Last edited by champlain; 01-27-19, 01:17 PM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • pavyracer
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 04-12-07
                                                                • 82478

                                                                #32
                                                                I always bet more when my future makes it to final game. Never hedge.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JIBBBY
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-10-09
                                                                  • 83691

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                                  I always bet more when my future makes it to final game. Never hedge.
                                                                  That's how you end up with nothing in your pockets and spend the rest of the day wishing you hedged and won something rather then nothing.. Should always try to win money daily gambling, that should be the goal and not get greedy as that's how your bank roll lasts and builds up over time..

                                                                  ABW - Always Be Winning!!!


                                                                  If you get greedy and go for the home run you can end up like this..

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Igor_1965
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-18-15
                                                                    • 2628

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Joe Sharp
                                                                    Thanks for the advice boys!

                                                                    I'll put 2k on Rams now at +120

                                                                    I'm a Pats fan in Boston, so I do have a rooting interest in the game. At least that bet will guarantee profit.

                                                                    4k if Pats win
                                                                    1k if Pats lose

                                                                    Not a bad spot to be in at all.

                                                                    Good luck with your plays... looking into prop bets now!
                                                                    Good move I'm thinking to do the same with betpoints

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                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Igor_1965
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-18-15
                                                                      • 2628

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                      That's how you end up with nothing in your pockets and spend the rest of the day wishing you hedged and won something rather then nothing.. Should always try to win money daily gambling, that should be the goal and not get greedy as that's how your bank roll lasts and builds up over time..

                                                                      ABW - Always Be Winning!!!


                                                                      If you get greedy and go for the home run you can end up like this..

                                                                      This 'philosophy' is why Vegas has grown into what it is today. Hedging = giving profits back.
                                                                      Comment
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