Oregon Ducks -1 some info I found on this Game I am wagering on

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  • SEAHAWKHARRY
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-29-07
    • 26068

    #1
    Oregon Ducks -1 some info I found on this Game I am wagering on
    The Oregon Ducks should be highly motivated for a win in this Redbox Bowl at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California Monday afternoon. They were upset as 7-point favorites by Boise State last year in their bowl game and haven’t won a bowl game since making the four-team playoff in 2014. But we have to give them a break because Willie Taggart left for Florida State at the end of last season, and they clearly didn’t want to be there.

    Oregon players love first-year head coach Mario Cristobal. He did coach them as an interim last year, but clearly couldn’t get his players to focus with all that was going on with the Taggart situation. They will be focused now with a lot more security heading into this bowl game. And simply put, they are the better team and should handle Michigan State.

    I like the fight Oregon showed down the stretch. They won three of their final four games with their only loss coming 25-32 at Utah. Their three wins came by a combined 63 points, or by an average of 21 points per game. And they got good news with QB Justin Herbert announcing he’d stay around for his senior season.

    Herbert is one of the best quarterbacks in the country. He is completing 60% of his passes for 2,985 yards with a 28-to-8 TD/INT ratio this season. He leads an Oregon offense that scores 37.2 points per game this season. And the Ducks have an improved defense as they give up just 390 yards per game this year. It has been their best defense in quite some time.

    Michigan State has one of the worst offenses of all the Power 5 teams. The Spartans only score 19.7 points per game this season. They were dreadful down the stretch offensively. They scored 6 points against Ohio State, 6 points against Nebraska and 14 against Rutgers in their final three games of the year. Those numbers are very concerning, and it means they will have to play a perfect game to win against Oregon while needing every break to go their way. While they have a great defense, I simply don’t trust their offense to move the ball and score points. They were held to 24 points or fewer in eight consecutive games to close out the year.

    Plays against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Michigan State ) – after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 26-7 (78.8%) ATS over the last 10 seasons.

    Oregon is 46-24 ATS in its last 70 games with a line of +3 to -3. The Ducks are 28-14 ATS in their last 42 games when playing with two or more weeks of rest. Oregon is 41-13 ATS in its last 54 games after allowing 3 points or less in the first half of last game. The Spartans are 2-7 ATS in their last nine vs. Pac-12 opponents. Michigan State is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a win.


    These are the reasons I'm hitting Oregon today
    -1
  • RudyRuetigger
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-24-10
    • 65084

    #2
    good luck

    dawgy on them as well
    Comment
    • Brutus84
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-08-11
      • 5188

      #3
      Justin Layne is one of Michigan’s better players. Plays both ways at times..... he’s sitting. Oregon wins big.
      Comment
      • RudyRuetigger
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 08-24-10
        • 65084

        #4
        Originally posted by Brutus84
        Justin Layne is one of Michigan’s better players. Plays both ways at times..... he’s sitting. Oregon wins big.
        michigan played florida bro
        Comment
        • firedawg
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 10-08-08
          • 39219

          #5
          I'm begging to worry here

          Everyone on DUCKS
          Gl Harry
          Comment
          • 2daBank
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-26-09
            • 88966

            #6
            60% completion in college is dog shit. Heard he coming back to school next year which prob saving some team for making a mistake drafting this kid. I don’t watch much ducks but he doesn’t look all that impressive to me when I do.

            Sparty has a great track record in bowls when not playing bama! Just don’t think I could go against them as dogs as their coach has them prepared for every bowl game.

            I’m passing but think wrong team favored here. Good news for you is I suck at bowls! Gl buddy
            Comment
            • RudyRuetigger
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 08-24-10
              • 65084

              #7
              Originally posted by firedawg
              I'm begging to worry here

              Everyone on DUCKS
              Gl Harry
              i agree bro
              Comment
              • Brutus84
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-08-11
                • 5188

                #8
                Y’all knew what I meant. I live here. Ohio State fan. I don’t like either team. UofM. State. Same thing. Both teams trash.
                Comment
                • Brutus84
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-08-11
                  • 5188

                  #9
                  State is favored now. Not liking that at all.
                  Comment
                  • firedawg
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 10-08-08
                    • 39219

                    #10
                    Rudy I might buy out


                    I smell a rat
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Brutus84
                      Justin Layne is one of Michigan’s better players. Plays both ways at times..... he’s sitting. Oregon wins big.
                      Football a team sport. Sparty has players on the defensive side. I Can’t go against Dantonio when he has all this time to prepare.
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Brutus84
                        State is favored now. Not liking that at all.
                        Told ya wrong team “was” favored. Guess somebody agreed w me! Lol
                        Comment
                        • firedawg
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 10-08-08
                          • 39219

                          #13
                          I'm gonna stick it out
                          But not comfortable
                          Comment
                          • RudyRuetigger
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 08-24-10
                            • 65084

                            #14
                            ive seen this too many times where it jumps

                            i like oregon more if its MSU -1.5 to close
                            Comment
                            • firedawg
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 10-08-08
                              • 39219

                              #15
                              Oregon +105 at Youwager
                              Comment
                              • jtoler
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-17-13
                                • 30967

                                #16
                                pac 12 < big ten
                                Comment
                                • Cuse0323
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-09-09
                                  • 30169

                                  #17
                                  Would never feel comfortable betting on a team that can only score 14 against Rutgers. B1G already exposed. Oregon or nothing here. I’ll of course be on nothing.
                                  Comment
                                  • pinnacle420
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-01-12
                                    • 6254

                                    #18
                                    Good luck Harry I’m on em too and the lines moved against us but Phuck it game on
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Cuse0323
                                      Would never feel comfortable betting on a team that can only score 14 against Rutgers. B1G already exposed. Oregon or nothing here. I’ll of course be on nothing.
                                      You think the pac is any better? Bet they would score more points if they played in that conf!! Plus Sparty dealt w tons of injuries on offense, should be healthy now., im with you here tho. No bet for me.
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by jtoler
                                        pac 12 < big ten
                                        Both suck. You gonna use this logic against osu?
                                        Comment
                                        • KingKolzig
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-02-10
                                          • 5550

                                          #21
                                          oregon +7.5 teaser. lock
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                            ive seen this too many times where it jumps

                                            i like oregon more if its MSU -1.5 to close
                                            I almost never play a team who opens as dogs and closes as favs, unless of course I bet early and didn’t know that was gonna happen. I’ll often hedge out and take my small profit when that does happen w a game I’m on. Someone told me a long time ago he trust the books opinion of who should be favs much more than the money that decided otherwise. Made sense to me so kinda stuck.
                                            Comment
                                            • Cuse0323
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-09-09
                                              • 30169

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                              You think the pac is any better? Bet they would score more points if they played in that conf!! Plus Sparty dealt w tons of injuries on offense, should be healthy now., im with you here tho. No bet for me.
                                              Both definitely suck but Oregon would score more than 14 and 6 against Buttgers and Nebraska. MSU D will have to be lights out. It’s possible. Would rather be on the better offense here.
                                              Comment
                                              • kidcudi92
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-14-11
                                                • 15434

                                                #24
                                                Gl Harry I’ll be sitting this one out
                                                Comment
                                                • jtoler
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-17-13
                                                  • 30967

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                  Both suck. You gonna use this logic against osu?
                                                  yes
                                                  Comment
                                                  • danwinkler
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 05-22-18
                                                    • 461

                                                    #26
                                                    This is a good pick, i am on it for 3%. I got Oregon monyline at -103.

                                                    Michigan St has no good quarter back. Their best player in the defense is sitting out for NFL.

                                                    Oregon seniors who are going to NFL are all playing this game instead of sitting out.

                                                    Oregon wins this easy
                                                    Comment
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