12-20-18 : Write-up & Selection

[BeatTheJerk]

It's time for me to finally start posting some plays & analysis again.

So we have two teams here trending in the opposite direction, which was nearly a month ago since they both have played as are all teams in this same predicament going into their prospective or non-prospective bowl games. I don't have a strong lean on any side of this game as far as who wins or who covers. I do in-fact like a few reasons to take the Over 51 with these two teams. 1st reason would be this USF defense is ranked in the bottom of the barrel with both points & yards. The game is at home for USF , so I believe they can stay in this game & put up some points vs Marshall in the 27-31 range. I have Marshall scoring 30+ points easily as well to put this total well over it's position @ 51. I also like the fact it has been steamed down to 3-4 points from it's once high point of 55. One last spot trend reason to play this game is the betting public is correct when moving the total in USF games 42.3% of the time since 1992.
(66-90) So that gives us a 58% edge on this pretty large sample size betting trend.

Take the Over @ 51 Marshall vs USF tonight !

[Chi_archie]

Get em

[Hman]

GL with the play

[BeatTheJerk]

GL with the play

Get em

Thank you both !!

[A Quant]

Good luck man! Cash it!

[jtoler]

no telling but under prob better play

[BeatTheJerk]

no telling but under prob better play

I appreciate your input. Do you have at least one reason why to take the under ?

[BeatTheJerk]

Good luck man! Cash it!

Thanks my dude !

[jts1207]

Get it Jerky!

[BeatTheJerk]

Get it Jerky!

[jtoler]

I appreciate your input. Do you have at least one reason why to take the under ?

its a tornado watch and raining like cats and dogs in tampa not sure if there wont be cancellations before or during the game not sure if there will be lightning or not

[BeatTheJerk]

its a tornado watch and raining like cats and dogs in tampa not sure if there wont be cancellations before or during the game not sure if there will be lightning or not

Yeah we will see if this puts a profound affect on the scoring as more times than not this is the case.

[BeatTheJerk]

I think this helps USF run the ball extremely more affective & USF's Defense is non-existent at times so even during shitty weather, I still feel Marshall puts up 30 or more.

[funnyb25]

BOL Jerky

[BeatTheJerk]

BOL Jerky

[danshan11]

It's time for me to finally start posting some plays & analysis again.

So we have two teams here trending in the opposite direction, which was nearly a month ago since they both have played as are all teams in this same predicament going into their prospective or non-prospective bowl games. I don't have a strong lean on any side of this game as far as who wins or who covers. I do in-fact like a few reasons to take the Over 51 with these two teams. 1st reason would be this USF defense is ranked in the bottom of the barrel with both points & yards. The game is at home for USF , so I believe they can stay in this game & put up some points vs Marshall in the 27-31 range. I have Marshall scoring 30+ points easily as well to put this total well over it's position @ 51. I also like the fact it has been steamed down to 3-4 points from it's once high point of 55. One last spot trend reason to play this game is the betting public is correct when moving the total in USF games 42.3% of the time since 1992.
(66-90) So that gives us a 58% edge on this pretty large sample size betting trend.

Take the Over @ 51 Marshall vs USF tonight !

sorry for bumping in can you explain what that means or how it will affect this game or how is it relevant to this particular game, Not being a smart ass sincerely asking cause I dont understand that part.

[BeatTheJerk]

sorry for bumping in can you explain what that means or how it will affect this game or how is it relevant to this particular game, Not being a smart ass sincerely asking cause I dont understand that part.

It's completely random Dan. If you're a trend player then it's an angle. It means when the total in USF games since 1992 are steamed by the public either over or under then that game wins 42.3% of the time.

[KVB]

Jerky!!!!!

[danshan11]

It's completely random Dan. If you're a trend player then it's an angle. It means when the total in USF games since 1992 are steamed by the public either over or under then that game wins 42.3% of the time.

and this something that would help you make a decision on a game today or influence your decision one way or another? and if so why? I dont get it

[BeatTheJerk]

and this something that would help you make a decision on a game today or influence your decision one way or another? and if so why? I dont get it

Bruh it was an additive incentive at the tail end of my write-up. If you don’t understand why it could possibly help my wager by now, then “fa get about it” pal.

[danshan11]

cool sorry to bother you just thought it was an interesting thing to include in the write up, anyway thanks for the info!

[BeatTheJerk]

cool sorry to bother you just thought it was an interesting thing to include in the write up, anyway thanks for the info!

Good luck with your NBA thread.

[BeatTheJerk]

Jerky!!!!!

KVB you’re my hero you Stat & Analytics Nerd with Swag !!!

[BeatTheJerk]

Cash Money

[jjgold]

Yes!!

Good job

[BeatTheJerk]

Yes!!

Good job

Thanks old pal !!!