Let’s talk Houston @ Philly... Books roping in Eagles money?

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #1
    Let’s talk Houston @ Philly... Books roping in Eagles money?
    Most books held off on putting out a line until after the Eagles defeated the Rams Sunday night. When they finally released it, most shops went with a Pk’em (a few had Hou -1.5 before quickly moving) which appeared to have attracted plenty of Eagles action as the line has since moved to Philly -2.5.

    The angle is simple: much like last year, the Eagles are rallying behind Nick Foles. Super Bowl champs, pride, Foles magic, etc. It has all led to action being placed on the Eagles. I’ve always believed the public is more inclined to bet a short fave over a short dog. You make the Eagles less than a field goal favorite, and it’s going to attract plenty of public money.

    The general consensus is that books are tipping their hand - by making Philadelphia a favorite despite their season long struggles, they are telling us they too believe in the Eagles. However I don’t quite buy into this. Houston should absolutely be favored here, albeit by less than a field goal. By making Philly a favorite, I think books are attempting to rope in action on the Eagles and it certainly appears to be working.

    I haven’t made a play here yet. Can the Eagles win? Absolutely. But there are so many factors working against them. I’m more inclined to believe they spilled their bucket Sunday night and don’t have much left in the tank. Let’s not forget, the Rams this past week and Cowboys in the week before won the time of possession battle. With cross country travel, I have to imagine this Eagles team is just about spent.

    Anyways, that’s my midweek take on this game.


    EDIT:

    Texans +2.5 -110 (5x); ML +120 (2x)
    Texans 1H ML +110 (1x)


    Not going to wait on this. As much as my heart wants the Eagles to make a run, my head is telling me Houston wins this game. Simply too many factors working against the Eagles.
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    Eagles 🦅
    Comment
    • KingKolzig
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-02-10
      • 5550

      #3
      good spot for a teaser Houston +9.5


      they havent lost a game by more than 7 all year. they are very good
      Comment
      • JIBBBY
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-10-09
        • 83686

        #4
        Philly is the call.. Turned the corner with Wentz out.. Swag is back since beating the Rams and will run the table and win out for the rest of the season..
        Comment
        • unusialsusp5
          SBR MVP
          • 04-18-10
          • 4198

          #5
          Originally posted by KingKolzig
          good spot for a teaser Houston +9.5


          they havent lost a game by more than 7 all year. they are very good
          really bad number to tease to. who loses by 9. save the juice and tease it to 8 or 8 1/2.
          Comment
          • KingKolzig
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-02-10
            • 5550

            #6
            Originally posted by unusialsusp5
            really bad number to tease to. who loses by 9. save the juice and tease it to 8 or 8 1/2.
            yeah you are right. this looks good

            Houston +9
            Clemson -6.5

            i dont see that losing
            Comment
            • t-wizzle
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-18-09
              • 38099

              #7
              Originally posted by JIBBBY
              Philly is the call.. Turned the corner with Wentz out.. Swag is back since beating the Rams and will run the table and win out for the rest of the season..
              Ok so you are taking Philly here?
              Comment
              • t-wizzle
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-18-09
                • 38099

                #8
                Originally posted by t-wizzle
                Most books held off on putting out a line until after the Eagles defeated the Rams Sunday night. When they finally released it, most shops went with a Pk’em (a few had Hou -1.5 before quickly moving) which appeared to have attracted plenty of Eagles action as the line has since moved to Philly -2.5.

                The angle is simple: much like last year, the Eagles are rallying behind Nick Foles. Super Bowl champs, pride, Foles magic, etc. It has all led to action being placed on the Eagles. I’ve always believed the public is more inclined to bet a short fave over a short dog. You make the Eagles less than a field goal favorite, and it’s going to attract plenty of public money.

                The general consensus is that books are tipping their hand - by making Philadelphia a favorite despite their season long struggles, they are telling us they too believe in the Eagles. However I don’t quite buy into this. Houston should absolutely be favored here, albeit by less than a field goal. By making Philly a favorite, I think books are attempting to rope in action on the Eagles and it certainly appears to be working.

                I haven’t made a play here yet. Can the Eagles win? Absolutely. But there are so many factors working against them. I’m more inclined to believe they spilled their bucket Sunday night and don’t have much left in the tank. Let’s not forget, the Rams this past week and Cowboys in the week before won the time of possession battle. With cross country travel, I have to imagine this Eagles team is just about spent.

                Anyways, that’s my midweek take on this game.


                EDIT:

                Texans +2.5 -110 (4x); ML +120 (2x)

                Not going to wait on this. As much as my heart wants the Eagles to make a run, my head is telling me Houston wins this game. Simply too many factors working against the Eagles.
                Went ahead and locked in the Texans. This line could close +1.5. I think Houston wins the game but could see it being decided by a point or two.
                Comment
                • MoonPond
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-12-12
                  • 398

                  #9
                  Eagles are too volatile right now, it makes this tough to predict.

                  Personally I'd lean on Houston ML for the bigger payout. If it's a toss up you may as well.
                  Comment
                  • JIBBBY
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-10-09
                    • 83686

                    #10
                    Originally posted by t-wizzle
                    Ok so you are taking Philly here?
                    Does the sun shine?
                    Comment
                    • USCPHILLYGUY
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-15-12
                      • 21746

                      #11
                      Wiz good luck on the play. Tough game to call. Not a big O’Brian Fan as think he’s a baffon and didn’t agree on how he walked out of Penn State after getting the shot there. Looking over Texans schedule not a lot of quality wins. Yes beat Dallas (early). Denver in Denver (so did Cleveland) if I’m not mistaken the Washington win was where Smith was either benched or got hurt and was an ugly win for them. Granted have not seen a lot of Texan games this year. Teams notoriously do have problems with mobile QBs since they don’t see them much so that’s a factor as well (phillys loss to Tennessee come to mind). Phillys issues known by all. Can the D Line disrupt ?

                      Enjoy the game. I hear book at the turf club will be open in a few weeks.
                      Comment
                      • t-wizzle
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-18-09
                        • 38099

                        #12
                        Originally posted by JIBBBY
                        Does the sun shine?
                        Usually
                        Comment
                        • KiDBaZkiT
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-20-09
                          • 14962

                          #13
                          Romeo C. cannot be trusted as a coordinator in a game like this. Look for the Eagles to be schemed up.
                          Comment
                          • Biff41
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-23-14
                            • 1234

                            #14
                            I'm down with talking Houston. Lets talk Cougars. No not some underage gardener Angelina J. Is hitting on. Houston basketball team is red hot. Tighten the rubberband by buying a point or two and take them at -2 against Utah State tonight. Don't get me wrong, Utah St is pretty decent but at home with momentum tonite, the Cougs should have an edge.
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              Foles is a winner

                              He is the difference

                              Players love him and not Wentz
                              Comment
                              • KRIT
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-11-14
                                • 12878

                                #16
                                You know what to do with short home faves public is on.
                                Comment
                                • johnnyvegas13
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 05-21-15
                                  • 27897

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by KRIT
                                  You know what to do with short home faves public is on.
                                  True true but this opened at Houston -1

                                  I think both public and sharps hit them up
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #18
                                    Problem w thinking Philly will rally behind foles again is last year the whole team was playing great, this year not so much. I seem to recall them rushing wentz back early this year cause how lousy Philly was playing w foles!! The rams win means nothing to me as I think that was more about rams recent decline than anything special Philly did.,

                                    Imo Texans or pass but could prob just be a pass for me.
                                    Comment
                                    • Goat Milk
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 03-24-10
                                      • 25850

                                      #19
                                      Eagles lost their whole secondary and their best player Jay Ajayi. Tough to recover from that. Philly's SB was a fluke, they really only won because of Bellichick incompetance and also because they got Ajayi late in the season.

                                      Not sure if I trust Houston on the road in this spot though. Philly can easily win this. They're still a playoff quality type team. GL.
                                      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                      Comment
                                      • johnnyvegas13
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 05-21-15
                                        • 27897

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                        Problem w thinking Philly will rally behind foles again is last year the whole team was playing great, this year not so much. I seem to recall them rushing wentz back early this year cause how lousy Philly was playing w foles!! The rams win means nothing to me as I think that was more about rams recent decline than anything special Philly did.,

                                        Imo Texans or pass but could prob just be a pass for me.
                                        Early season way different tho bank

                                        Guys thought bucs was a sleeper

                                        Eagles r a dangerous tm now
                                        Comment
                                        • t-wizzle
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 12-18-09
                                          • 38099

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                          Eagles lost their whole secondary and their best player Jay Ajayi. Tough to recover from that. Philly's SB was a fluke, they really only won because of Bellichick incompetance and also because they got Ajayi late in the season.

                                          Not sure if I trust Houston on the road in this spot though. Philly can easily win this. They're still a playoff quality type team. GL.
                                          Step aside man. Seriously. You just called Ajayi their best player. You have any idea how ridiculous you sound?
                                          Comment
                                          • Biff41
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-23-14
                                            • 1234

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Biff41
                                            I'm down with talking Houston. Lets talk Cougars. No not some underage gardener Angelina J. Is hitting on. Houston basketball team is red hot. Tighten the rubberband by buying a point or two and take them at -2 against Utah State tonight. Don't get me wrong, Utah St is pretty decent but at home with momentum tonite, the Cougs should have an edge.
                                            Houston recovers from first half draught to beat Aggies 60-50 in CBB tonite.
                                            Comment
                                            • johnnyvegas13
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 05-21-15
                                              • 27897

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                              Step aside man. Seriously. You just called Ajayi their best player. You have any idea how ridiculous you sound?
                                              They have Adams and sprolesss now

                                              If they have a weakness it’s secondary
                                              Comment
                                              • Goat Milk
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 03-24-10
                                                • 25850

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                Step aside man. Seriously. You just called Ajayi their best player. You have any idea how ridiculous you sound?
                                                He's easily their best player. Who is. Alshon Jeffrey? Lol. Don't even name a defensive player like Fletcher Cox either. Defensive tackles can't impact a game the way an RB can. It basically comes down to Wentz, Jeffrey, Ertz and Ajayi.

                                                Eagles have been a meltdown without Ajayi at full health this year.
                                                Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                Comment
                                                • Goat Milk
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 03-24-10
                                                  • 25850

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                  Step aside man. Seriously. You just called Ajayi their best player. You have any idea how ridiculous you sound?
                                                  Step aside when I please. I run this place.
                                                  Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Goat Milk
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 03-24-10
                                                    • 25850

                                                    #26
                                                    Eagles superbowl one of the biggest flukes in history. If anyone believed Nick would play that good they'd offer him 20 mill, just like teams do with Bradford, Keenum and other bums. Everyone knows his performance was a fluke. Sure, he's servicable and can win some games, but he's not a superbowl MVP, plain and simple. Eagles got lucky as f that Brandon Cooks got injured and Bellichick never played Butler. Cooks is better than Alshon Jeffery. Brady played with scrubs the entire game and threw for 500 yards, a record.
                                                    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KingKolzig
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-02-10
                                                      • 5550

                                                      #27
                                                      Houston will not get blown out. Houston +8.5 is a lock for a teaser leg
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Shark
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-14-10
                                                        • 1789

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                        Eagles superbowl one of the biggest flukes in history. If anyone believed Nick would play that good they'd offer him 20 mill, just like teams do with Bradford, Keenum and other bums. Everyone knows his performance was a fluke. Sure, he's servicable and can win some games, but he's not a superbowl MVP, plain and simple. Eagles got lucky as f that Brandon Cooks got injured and Bellichick never played Butler. Cooks is better than Alshon Jeffery. Brady played with scrubs the entire game and threw for 500 yards, a record.
                                                        Actually, he is a superbowl mvp
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KRIT
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-11-14
                                                          • 12878

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                          He's easily their best player. Who is. Alshon Jeffrey? Lol. Don't even name a defensive player like Fletcher Cox either. Defensive tackles can't impact a game the way an RB can. It basically comes down to Wentz, Jeffrey, Ertz and Ajayi.

                                                          Eagles have been a meltdown without Ajayi at full health this year.
                                                          Which is totally why RB's get paid and DT and DE don't, oh wait....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jjgold
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 07-20-05
                                                            • 388179

                                                            #30
                                                            Foles dominated every playoff game
                                                            Last year


                                                            MVP

                                                            He is big time and players think they have better shot with him than wentz which is interesting
                                                            Comment
                                                            • magpie878
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-04-18
                                                              • 1432

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by jjgold
                                                              Foles dominated every playoff game
                                                              Last year

                                                              Yes, he sure singlehandedly lit up Atlanta.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 2daBank
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-26-09
                                                                • 88966

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                Foles dominated every playoff game
                                                                Last year


                                                                MVP

                                                                He is big time and players think they have better shot with him than wentz which is interesting
                                                                That such a bunch of bull coach. That team was playing amazing w wentz before he got hurt. Foles just continued the roll they were on. He in no way was responsible for them winning. Just like wasn’t his fault they sucked to start season with him! The team not as good and he not a guy who gonna carry a team.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • t-wizzle
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 12-18-09
                                                                  • 38099

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                                  He's easily their best player. Who is. Alshon Jeffrey? Lol. Don't even name a defensive player like Fletcher Cox either. Defensive tackles can't impact a game the way an RB can. It basically comes down to Wentz, Jeffrey, Ertz and Ajayi.

                                                                  Eagles have been a meltdown without Ajayi at full health this year.
                                                                  Dude you are so clueless. Stick to basketball matchups. That’s your thing. Jay Ajayi? You clowning yourself here bro.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • t-wizzle
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-18-09
                                                                    • 38099

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by KRIT
                                                                    Which is totally why RB's get paid and DT and DE don't, oh wait....
                                                                    Don’t bring this kind of logical input. Goat can’t handle it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Goat showing his propensity to be star struck once again. Cox is by far eagles best player but since he doesn’t score touchdowns and do dances goaty doesn’t have his poster on the wall!! Lol.
                                                                      Comment
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