Panthers +6/ ML +225

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  • Da Manster!
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-13-07
    • 17720

    #71
    Originally posted by pattymayo
    Breaking even is a win for leet... see Exhibit A:
    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...nday-card.html

    damn patty...missed that thread...0 - 4 stings and I wouldn't wish that on anyone...but I'm pretty sure we'll get a response from him saying he had 5 units on the side and only 1 on the ML...business as usual on SBR.
    Comment
    • KVB
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 05-29-14
      • 74817

      #72
      Originally posted by leetreaper
      Got greedy with that ML.

      I find that in the end, whether you split the bets and buy both or just take the spread with a whole unit, you end up about the same in the long run.

      But hitting the upset now and then feels good.
      Comment
      • pattymayo
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-19-09
        • 10221

        #73
        Originally posted by Da Manster!
        damn patty...missed that thread...0 - 4 stings and I wouldn't wish that on anyone...but I'm pretty sure we'll get a response from him saying he had 5 units on the side and only 1 on the ML...business as usual on SBR.
        You'll be lucky to see him back in the thread. He usually abandons ship pretty quick.. see Exhibit B:

        Talk tennis handicapping, betting, picks, matchups, player odds and tournaments in the tennis forum.


        Leet is probably the biggest denerate there is, I honestly don't even think he wagers on these games, he just has some weird addiction to posting his picks daily in separate threads (never keeping a running record) and acting like he has some idea what he's talking about. You can tell by his "analysis" of the games that he doesn't even watch. He's fukkin weird.
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #74
          Originally posted by KVB
          There was a time where just pure line analysis could produce winners. There were indications, no stats needed, with line moves, as well as non moves, that could be done as an entire subset that showed a positive EV for years.

          We had a guy who just worked on that, that's all. He uncovered edges with it, solid ones.

          This was a long time ago, things were easier in general back then.

          You didn’t see my next post?

          Originally Posted by 2daBank
          I’m not disputing you could prob give me a 100 example bro, no doubt. Thing is you could be shown 100 where had same type moves and it lost. Way back when in a time long ago I knew guys that could have success like this but times have changed, shit that worked 15-20 years ago ain’t working the same still, if so every state wouldn’t be clamoring to be books!!! I saw lot of those guys start crashing and burning and so pissed off and confused, mad at books like something was wrong cause their tried and true beliefs had become extinct.. same thing happened to me w nfl unders a decade or so ago, used to get fat off identifying low scoring ass defensive games, then got my shit pushed in for bout a year and a half until I pulled head out my ass and adjusted my thinking as the script got flipped..


          Pretty much identical to yours
          Comment
          • cyclingbettor
            SBR Sharp
            • 08-26-15
            • 497

            #75
            Originally posted by KVB
            But what if the read is that a move like that indicates the underdog?

            In that case it worked just fine.

            You are making false assumptions that the move towards the team always points to the that team...this is wrong.
            Point taken. But, in that case, the line move on its own doesn't really mean anything, right? Other factors also have to be taken into account.
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #76
              Originally posted by cyclingbettor
              Point taken. But, in that case, the line move on its own doesn't really mean anything, right? Other factors also have to be taken into account.
              That what I been trying to say!! Quite frankly if you wanna use it as a tool go for it, never can have enough! but I’d suggest it a minimal influence on your decision. Personally for me it’s only purpose is occasionally getting me off a game, it never tips me on to a play.
              Comment
              • PAULYPOKER
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-06-08
                • 36581

                #77
                Comment
                • KVB
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-29-14
                  • 74817

                  #78
                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                  You didn’t see my next post?

                  Originally Posted by 2daBank
                  I’m not disputing you could prob give me a 100 example bro, no doubt. Thing is you could be shown 100 where had same type moves and it lost. Way back when in a time long ago I knew guys that could have success like this but times have changed, shit that worked 15-20 years ago ain’t working the same still, if so every state wouldn’t be clamoring to be books!!! I saw lot of those guys start crashing and burning and so pissed off and confused, mad at books like something was wrong cause their tried and true beliefs had become extinct.. same thing happened to me w nfl unders a decade or so ago, used to get fat off identifying low scoring ass defensive games, then got my shit pushed in for bout a year and a half until I pulled head out my ass and adjusted my thinking as the script got flipped..


                  Pretty much identical to yours
                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74817

                    #79
                    Originally posted by cyclingbettor
                    Point taken. But, in that case, the line move on its own doesn't really mean anything, right? Other factors also have to be taken into account.
                    Exactly.

                    Different situations call for different conclusions.
                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388179

                      #80
                      Tough game
                      Good call
                      Comment
                      • kingdom
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-25-10
                        • 10099

                        #81
                        Originally posted by kingdom
                        they sub him out on hail mary's. definitely not able to throw the deep ball. Carolina, much like the eagles did last night, bears did last week, and cowboys did to saints, cover with defense.

                        December football.
                        Comment
                        • leetreaper
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 10-23-10
                          • 34841

                          #82
                          Originally posted by kingdom
                          December football.
                          Comment
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