If it's free, you're sort of hedging, but it could be viewed as just closing a position. Nova a likely winner in the next game, but not necessarily the spread.
You have a decision to make on how much and how to place the next bet. Everyone's situation is different, but I would imagine you'll be making some type of bet on the finals.
That next bet you make, unless it's a spread bet, should be the winning bet. (Nova ML of some sort).
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#7
I'm seeing -6.5 but it will probably pressure downward. That extra .5 will probably induce some underdog bets. I see other indicators pointing to the dog but I think the upsets are all done this year.
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#8
Originally posted by KVB
Is that a free bet? I don't see any risk.
That's not a bad position to be in The Giant.
If it's free, you're sort of hedging, but it could be viewed as just closing a position. Nova a likely winner in the next game, but not necessarily the spread.
You have a decision to make on how much and how to place the next bet. Everyone's situation is different, but I would imagine you'll be making some type of bet on the finals.
That next bet you make, unless it's a spread bet, should be the winning bet. (Nova ML of some sort).
It is a free play.
It would have been worth a lot more in February, the time I placed it, but with bitcoin dropping, the ticket is only worth about $5900.
I might put 2800 to win 1000 on Villanova in the final.
I haven't done any sort of selling thus far, I thought Michigan would win their previous five games. I'm not so sure about Monday night.
Comment
lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94379
#9
Nova way better
Comment
DOM_Toretto
Restricted User
01-28-13
9035
#10
Villanova ML for me
Comment
lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94379
#11
I will unload on Michigan ml
Comment
gummo
SBR Hall of Famer
09-04-06
6297
#12
I'm on Michigan. I don't think they will allow that 3 point shooting.
Comment
fourlokobro
SBR Sharp
06-02-17
302
#13
Mich +7 seems like the "fun" play on Monday night
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#14
Originally posted by lakerboy
Nova way better
Originally posted by lakerboy
I will unload on Michigan ml
You're the best.
Comment
bonusguy
SBR MVP
11-25-17
1785
#15
wow michigan +7 -115
yes thats the fun bet. and the right side
Comment
funnyb25
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
07-09-09
39663
#16
The -6.5 is already juiced
Comment
Plaza23
SBR Hall of Famer
12-29-13
7392
#17
It's up to -7 at 5d. Wait till it gets to 8.5 and unload on Michigan.
Comment
funnyb25
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
07-09-09
39663
#18
Not sure this number is near high enough
Comment
TheMoneyShot
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-14-07
28672
#19
Michigan runs you off of the 3 point line on defense...
Villanova won't have the looks like they did with Kansas tonight.
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#20
Defense wins championships.
Michigan will dirty the game up, should go way under.
Comment
TheMoneyShot
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-14-07
28672
#21
Originally posted by The Giant
Defense wins championships.
Michigan will dirty the game up, should go way under.
Don't under value Michigan's scoring ability... Michigan +7 might have better value than an O/U.
I think that hook +7 is huge.
Line will be -6.5 at most places later on tonight or tomorrow morning.
Comment
DOM_Toretto
Restricted User
01-28-13
9035
#22
Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
Michigan runs you off of the 3 point line on defense...
Villanova won't have the looks like they did with Kansas tonight.
Nova proved they could win big games shooting only 20% from 3
Comment
The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#23
Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
Don't under value Michigan's scoring ability... Michigan +7 might have better value than an O/U.
I think that hook +7 is huge.
Line will be -6.5 at most places later on tonight or tomorrow morning.
I'm only in the business of trying to figure out how to make a few dollars off my original post.
Comment
DOM_Toretto
Restricted User
01-28-13
9035
#24
17% from 3 vs. Texas Tech in Elite Eight and won by double digits. 22% from 3 AT Seton Hall and won.
Comment
ikid2groove415
SBR Posting Legend
01-08-18
11981
#25
Originally posted by robbypark
Nova is the far better team.
Better team doesn’t always win in 1 game elimination ? Nova ain’t got Michigan toughness
Comment
TheMoneyShot
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-14-07
28672
#26
Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
Nova proved they could win big games shooting only 20% from 3
They shoot 20% against Michigan....
Michigan will cover.
Comment
ikid2groove415
SBR Posting Legend
01-08-18
11981
#27
Originally posted by The Giant
Defense wins championships.
Michigan will dirty the game up, should go way under.
odds makers isn’t dumb!! They will make you think twice about the total
Comment
ThaTopMoron
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-30-10
27020
#28
I wouldn't touch this game
just feels weird
so prob Nova just wins and covers pretty easily
easy favorite bets easy favorite covers in the final 4 this year... missed out, oh well
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
37282
#29
Giant...props on the nice exposure. U have to feel like you're in the catbird's seat.
My sentiment would be this. Do u feel like you're over-exposed here? Would it HURT to lose this game, w/o scoring ANY $$?
Think about how much u might want to hedge. If u decide to scalp out 10% (or something in that ballpark)...totally reasonable. U have an 84/1 ticket that is going to go to tip around +250. Perfectly sane to take some profits + stick em in your pocket. If u want to pay for a flight somewhere...scalp out like 0.10 BtC.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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TheMoneyShot
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-14-07
28672
#30
If Michigan's starting 5... plays like the FAB 5...
Look the fuk out.
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johnnyvegas13
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
05-21-15
27893
#31
I'm letting mine ride giant if it makes u feel better
Comment
Jatt24
SBR Wise Guy
01-13-14
834
#32
Michigan gonna win it book it
Comment
ikid2groove415
SBR Posting Legend
01-08-18
11981
#33
Nova -6.5 145 at Bookmaker !! No money line set yet
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TheMoneyShot
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-14-07
28672
#34
Stations in Vegas opening line Villanova -7.5 ML -360
Could be a typo??? Crazy.
Comment
Art Vandelay
SBR Hall of Famer
09-11-06
6689
#35
Should be able to buy to +8 the way its moving, and grab under 146. Both would be temtping...