A Falcons Win Would Give NFL Favs A 14-0 Sweep This Week (ESPN Wrong?)

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  • Hman
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-04-17
    • 21429

    #1
    A Falcons Win Would Give NFL Favs A 14-0 Sweep This Week (ESPN Wrong?)
    With a win tonight, Falcons would cap a perfect 14-0 week for favorites.

    Since the 1970 merger, favorites have won every game during an NFL week only twice--Week 9 of 2005 and Week 5 of 2006--per @ESPNStatsInfo.

    David Payne Purdum @davidpurdum
  • daneblazer
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 09-14-08
    • 27861

    #2
    Only 28 teams this week?
    Comment
    • Hman
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-04-17
      • 21429

      #3
      Originally posted by daneblazer
      Only 28 teams this week?


      Were a couple of games pick'em?
      Comment
      • johnnyvegas13
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 05-21-15
        • 27892

        #4
        Don't worry they won't
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #5
          Originally posted by Hman
          Were a couple of games pick'em?
          I was going to say your stat must be about favorites winning the game, not necessarily covering, and also it depends on whether you count the opener, closer, or most of the trades that took place.

          For example, Kansas City opened as a 1 point favorite but traded as an underdog for the vast majority of the time before we saw a pick at many houses.

          But the stat really goes awry when you realize that Seattle, at some places, never traded as an Underdog or a pickem, they were favored the entire time.

          Seattle didn't win or cover.

          The every favorite won stat is not holding water, particularly when considering Las Vegas originators and bookmakers.

          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by daneblazer
            Only 28 teams this week?
            Originally posted by Hman

            Were a couple of games pick'em?
            No consensus fave in SD/KC and Rams/SEA
            Comment
            • Hman
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-04-17
              • 21429

              #7
              Originally posted by KVB
              I was going to say your stat must be about favorites winning the game, not necessarily covering, and also it depends on whether you count the opener, closer, or most of the trades that took place.

              For example, Kansas City opened as a 1 point favorite but traded as an underdog for the vast majority of the time before we saw a pick at many houses.

              But the stat really goes awry when you realize that Seattle, at some places, never traded as an Underdog or a pickem, they were favored the entire time.

              Seattle didn't win or cover.

              The every favorite won stat is not holding water, particularly when considering Las Vegas originators and bookmakers.




              ESPN sucks
              Comment
              • Renegades
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-12-11
                • 5290

                #8
                Nah man giants covered as a dog
                Comment
                • Renegades
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-12-11
                  • 5290

                  #9
                  Tenn covered as well as a dog
                  Comment
                  • Chi_archie
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-22-08
                    • 63165

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Renegades
                    Tenn covered as well as a dog
                    talking straight up outright winners


                    not spread
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Renegades
                      Nah man giants covered as a dog
                      Originally posted by Renegades
                      Tenn covered as well as a dog
                      And Jets.

                      But stat is straight up and discounting the 2 games I mentioned.
                      Comment
                      • Renegades
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-12-11
                        • 5290

                        #12
                        Oh ok i misunderstood. I thought we were talking ATS
                        Comment
                        • KVB
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 74817

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Hman
                          ESPN sucks


                          I tend to agree.

                          By about lunchtime Monday, last week, the Chargers were favored by 1 over KC at Will Hill and that NEVER changed; the Chargers closed as 1 point favorites...they lost.
                          Comment
                          • big joe 1212
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 06-01-08
                            • 19380

                            #14
                            nothing to see here
                            Comment
                            • Renegades
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-12-11
                              • 5290

                              #15
                              I would imagine this year is on pace to be one of the worst ever for books. The faves ats have crushed, in particular, the most lopsided public plays. Also, there have been very few true upsets. Teasing faves down has been a gold mine. How many 7-8 pt dogs have won outright? Very very few

                              Dont get me wrong, books will still win because of the vig and volume but revenue has to be way down
                              Comment
                              • Hman
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-04-17
                                • 21429

                                #16
                                If a bettor had used a 14-team money-line parlay of all winning Week 15 NFL favorites from the closing lines of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, a $100 bet would have won $12,584.40.


                                Ben Fawkes, ESPN Staff Writer
                                Comment
                                • TheMoneyShot
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 02-14-07
                                  • 28672

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Hman
                                  If a bettor had used a 14-team money-line parlay of all winning Week 15 NFL favorites from the closing lines of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, a $100 bet would have won $12,584.40.


                                  Ben Fawkes, ESPN Staff Writer
                                  Tell Ben Fuks to call me.
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388179

                                    #18
                                    Books mainly got hurt teasers and ML parlays
                                    Comment
                                    • funnyb25
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 07-09-09
                                      • 39663

                                      #19
                                      Hman is new...he is trying very hard. Give him the benefit of the doubt.
                                      Comment
                                      • Eddy Munny
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 08-13-13
                                        • 15767

                                        #20
                                        So that means Christmas weekend is going to be a very sour one for squares hoping for a Miracle on 34th Street, because I smell a revenge card for the books and a public burial that'll lead to some heavy drinking and possibly a rash of liquor store robberies from degens looking to break even.

                                        You've been warned!
                                        Comment
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