Fellas, I know my Wildcats - fade them and take Texas A&M tonight

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  • stevek173
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-29-08
    • 27598

    #1
    Fellas, I know my Wildcats - fade them and take Texas A&M tonight
    They've already been pretty bad and yes this is basically a home game, but Texas A&M is much better, especially with the recent Alkins injury (8-10 weeks).

    -1.5 is a GIFT.

    Tell your bookie stevie sent ya.

  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #2
    1st bet I made when looking at card. Aggies have been one of most impressive teams in country imo.
    Comment
    • stevek173
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-29-08
      • 27598

      #3
      Comment
      • Grits n' Gravy
        Restricted User
        • 06-10-10
        • 13024

        #4
        Originally posted by stevek173
        They've already been pretty bad and yes this is basically a home game, but Texas A&M is much better, especially with the recent Alkins injury (8-10 weeks).

        -1.5 is a GIFT.

        Tell your bookie stevie sent ya.

        Rawle’s injury happened end of September and he will likely return to lineup next week.
        Comment
        • 2ndchance
          SBR MVP
          • 02-14-17
          • 1056

          #5
          Texas A&M very impressive hope it's not a trap game there no way they should lose this game.
          Comment
          • RudyRuetigger
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 08-24-10
            • 65084

            #6
            Only thing I like about Steve is that he is a loser
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            • DOM_Toretto
              Restricted User
              • 01-28-13
              • 9035

              #7
              Major RLM going on here
              Comment
              • stevek173
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 03-29-08
                • 27598

                #8
                RLM?
                Comment
                • RudyRuetigger
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 08-24-10
                  • 65084

                  #9
                  really lame MUT

                  hes calling you a bitch
                  Comment
                  • Fire in da hole
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-29-10
                    • 6262

                    #10
                    We don’t you pay your debts instead of gambling
                    Comment
                    • DOM_Toretto
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-28-13
                      • 9035

                      #11
                      Originally posted by stevek173
                      RLM?
                      Reverse line movement. I’m seeing 57% of public on A&M, yet line dropped all the way from A&M -2.5 to -1.5 to PK
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #12
                        Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                        Major RLM going on here
                        You kinda making shit up to fit your narrative on this one, the "whole board" isn't on aggies, bets are split not 1 sided so there no rlm. You talking about a letdown facing off against a major program on a neutral court, not gonna happen.
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                        • stevek173
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-29-08
                          • 27598

                          #13
                          Interesting
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                            Reverse line movement. I’m seeing 57% of public on A&M, yet line dropped all the way from A&M -2.5 to -1.5 to PK
                            Line opened at pk. Got bet up, now ppl coming back on zona.
                            Comment
                            • DOM_Toretto
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-28-13
                              • 9035

                              #15
                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                              You kinda making shit up to fit your narrative on this one, the "whole board" isn't on aggies, bets are split not 1 sided so there no rlm. You talking about a letdown facing off against a major program on a neutral court, not gonna happen.
                              Banker I’m not making shit up. Spread went from 2.5 to pk between hours of 7am and 2:30pm today. Everywhere I see concensus as 55% or 57% on A&M. That’s not made up my dude. That’s textbook RLM. Means either books correcting an erred line or some heavy bettors pounding Zona.

                              Yes, it happens to make me feel better about taking a team with high talent, desperate for a good win, close to home.
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #16
                                Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                                Banker I’m not making shit up. Spread went from 2.5 to pk between hours of 7am and 2:30pm today. Everywhere I see concensus as 55% or 57% on A&M. That’s not made up my dude. That’s textbook RLM. Means either books correcting an erred line or some heavy bettors pounding Zona.

                                Yes, it happens to make me feel better about taking a team with high talent, desperate for a good win, close to home.
                                It opened as a pick, tell yourself whatever you want to make yourself feel good I suppose but action clearly split on this game and seems ppl liked aggies up to a possession then others liked zona once it got there, then you have the clueless line move chasers following suite.
                                Comment
                                • DOM_Toretto
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 01-28-13
                                  • 9035

                                  #17
                                  Although it fukks me on the number cuz I didn’t bet Zona yet
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #18
                                    If it makes ya feel better it won't matter, aggies by 6-10.
                                    Comment
                                    • Grits n' Gravy
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 06-10-10
                                      • 13024

                                      #19
                                      Will be announced in the next few hours that A&M is forced to suspend Hogg for game for some academic violation.
                                      Comment
                                      • MinnesotaFats
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-18-10
                                        • 14758

                                        #20
                                        Very odd movement.

                                        55% on AM spread, it drops
                                        88% on AM ML it drops
                                        Unreal 95% on over, it doesn't move.

                                        Ok, I took the AM pick em.

                                        Let's cash it
                                        Comment
                                        • DOM_Toretto
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 01-28-13
                                          • 9035

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                                          If it makes ya feel better it won't matter, aggies by 6-10.
                                          That’s fine if you think that, but don’t argue numbers or say I’m making shit up. You can’t argue with math man. RLM isn’t 100% accurate obviously, but often draws my eyes to plays I like and has worked fairly well in the past. Do you use any consensus tracking sites?
                                          Comment
                                          • DOM_Toretto
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 01-28-13
                                            • 9035

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Grits n' Gravy
                                            Will be announced in the next few hours that A&M is forced to suspend Hogg for game for some academic violation.
                                            Joke, or serious? Source?
                                            Comment
                                            • MinnesotaFats
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-18-10
                                              • 14758

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                              It opened as a pick, tell yourself whatever you want to make yourself feel good I suppose but action clearly split on this game and seems ppl liked aggies up to a possession then others liked zona once it got there, then you have the clueless line move chasers following suite.
                                              It opened AM -2.5 according to Goldsheet
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                                                It opened AM -2.5 according to Goldsheet
                                                I watched it hit the board at bol and bm as a pick so dunno wtf they talking bout or a book that comes later with lines?
                                                Comment
                                                • 2daBank
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 88966

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                                                  That’s fine if you think that, but don’t argue numbers or say I’m making shit up. You can’t argue with math man. RLM isn’t 100% accurate obviously, but often draws my eyes to plays I like and has worked fairly well in the past. Do you use any consensus tracking sites?
                                                  You are cause it opened at fukkin pick,, please I'll take the Pepsi challenge with you when it comes to numbers any day of the week . Fukk no I don't use consensus tracking sites, that shit don't mean anything to me.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Grits n' Gravy
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 06-10-10
                                                    • 13024

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                                                    Joke, or serious? Source?
                                                    Messing around. Take az anyways.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • UNMLOBOFAN51
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 01-16-14
                                                      • 906

                                                      #27
                                                      on A&M to much depth and defense here. AZ not playing defense at all this year and if Trier doesnt throw up 30 + AZ gonna have trouble.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2ndchance
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-14-17
                                                        • 1056

                                                        #28
                                                        Trying not to overthink this one Texas A&M is the better team all around.These days can be profitable but also can be deadly try not to take to many games on a good card like this because sometimes it backfires.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 2daBank
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-26-09
                                                          • 88966

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by 2ndchance
                                                          Trying not to overthink this one Texas A&M is the better team all around.
                                                          I rather lose with them than put my money on fraudulent cats. That philosophy has served me well with any big games involving garbage Shaun miller. Turns out don't end up losing much.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jtoler
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-17-13
                                                            • 30967

                                                            #30
                                                            Kinda weird theyre "your Wildcats" when you think Alkins recently got injured and he hasnt played all season.
                                                            Last edited by jtoler; 12-05-17, 05:27 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RudyRuetigger
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 08-24-10
                                                              • 65084

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by jtoler
                                                              Kinda weird theyre "your Wildcats" when you think Adkins recently got injured and he hasnt played all season.
                                                              Oh wow
                                                              Comment
                                                              • sleeper
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 12-15-12
                                                                • 421

                                                                #32
                                                                Diehard cats fan here...
                                                                A&M is the play
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 2daBank
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                                  • 88966

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Regardless how it turns out think we can all agree under was probably a better play than either side. Hindsight is awesome! Lol., honesty was so hell bent on playing aggies as they been cashing lot of tickets vs good teams for me I didn't even put much thought into total. Been really strong defensive game tho, holding each other to around 30 without committing any fouls really..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Ryermkd
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-11-12
                                                                    • 3739

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by 2ndchance
                                                                    Texas A&M very impressive hope it's not a trap game there no way they should lose this game.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Cubs2016
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-27-16
                                                                      • 1017

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Easy to say now, but TRAP! Down 3 but might as well be 20.
                                                                      Comment
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