Why are all my neighbours outside looking to the skys like they're expecting the Mother Ship?
mr. leisure
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-08
17507
#2
Lunar moon eclipse
Comment
Vegas39
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
09-22-11
30686
#3
Praying Leafs don't lose 50 games this year
Comment
ThaTopMoron
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-30-10
27020
#4
total eclipse started at 10:11 pm EST... must be clear skies where you are
clouds all over the place here... could barely make out the eclipse at start of halftime
Comment
Jayvegas420
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-09-11
28213
#5
Originally posted by Vegas39
Praying Leafs don't lose 50 games this year
So.....they're gonna be out there all night??
Comment
Vegas39
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
09-22-11
30686
#6
Originally posted by Jayvegas420
So.....they're gonna be out there all night??
pretty much
Comment
Jayvegas420
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-09-11
28213
#7
So a solar eclipse is when the moon passes betwwn the sun & earth.
What is the moon passing by....or what passes between the earth &....?
What the fukk is going on our there?
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388185
#8
People that follow astrology are jerk offs
Comment
Jayvegas420
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-09-11
28213
#9
I agree JJ but just to be safe can we get someone from the Handicapper Think Tank in here pronto.
Comment
ThaTopMoron
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-30-10
27020
#10
aren't there some old fukkn gamblers in here? last time this type of total eclipse happened was 1982 according to what i read... do you remember the last one JJ?
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#11
A couple of different things happened last night.
First, there was a full moon, the moon was also the closest in orbit it will be to the Earth all year. That made it basically the largest moon in the sky all year.
We had a “super moon.”
On top of that, we had an eclipse. The moon passed through the shadow of the Earth. The Earth was between the sun and the moon.
Further, if you line up behind the earth and get directly in the shadow you will see a red ring around the edge of the earth…due to light filtering through the atmosphere.
So basically the full moon lined up so that during the eclipse the red light coming through hit the moon.
We had a “blood moon” eclipse.
Combining the two, we had the very rare “super blood moon” eclipse.
Now, I have a predicted score of Green Bay winning with 27 points to Kansas City’s 23 points. The lined opened early at Green Bay -6.5 and some houses opened at -7. With more unsophisticated models and bettors also predicting a 4 point game, I’m not surprised the line moved towards my difference of 4 points, hitting as low as -5.5. However, even with the opener of 7 points, my prediction is too close to qualify as a bet and likely wouldn’t be picked up by some sharper groups, being just out of their range.
My total prediction of 50 points is very close to the opening line of 48, which moved to 49, but has dropped to 47.5 in most places. This doesn’t quite qualify as Over play but would trigger a buy if it fell to 46.5. I believe the line has dropped a little as many models look to a 44 or 45 point game.
To sum it up I feel the markets will get enough underdog money on KC and may have tried to take out some bettors tonight. I think there is pressure on Green Bay at -5.5 and -6 and the books will take that split.
It is my opinion that, some of those sharper underdog bettors on the sideline may even take the Green Bay moneyline, if the price is right. They may be right here and will have to lay to play…a problem for many based on perception, not for those seeking value if the number is right.
I believe the books are positioning themselves for a Kansas City cover and will step in where they looked to make some of us pass with Kansas City Chiefs +6 (-110) over Green Bay Packers.
I am recognizing that this is only the 3rd week of the season and many larger, sharper groups have yet to enter the market. It is my belief, with this type of market analysis, that a failed bet here would likely be recovered at a later date, perhaps when those groups being targeted enter the markets full force.
Good Luck.
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#12
Originally posted by jjgold
People that follow astrology are jerk offs
This has nothing to do with horoscopes and using them can be a poor handicapping method.
Comment
kidcudi92
SBR Posting Legend
12-14-11
15434
#13
Staring at Bill Gates in the sky praying for a $
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#14
Originally posted by KVB
...It is my opinion that, some of those sharper underdog bettors on the sideline may even take the Green Bay moneyline, if the price is right. They may be right here and will have to lay to play…a problem for many based on perception, not for those seeking value if the number is right...
If I am correct with trying to take these same bettors off of the pointspread then they may be wrong on the moneyline. Considering this and some unnamed metrics I have also picked up Kansas City Chiefs +215 over Green Bay Packers.
Comment
Jayvegas420
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-09-11
28213
#15
Originally posted by jjgold
People that follow astrology are jerk offs
What about people who follow astronomy?
Comment
gauchojake
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
09-17-10
34101
#16
You'd be surprised how many people don't understand how a lunar eclipse occurs.
Comment
gauchojake
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
09-17-10
34101
#17
Originally posted by Jayvegas420
What about people who follow astronomy?
jerk offs
Comment
Jayvegas420
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-09-11
28213
#18
What about people who don't know the difference between astronomy & astrology?
Comment
gauchojake
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
09-17-10
34101
#19
Originally posted by Jayvegas420
What about people who don't know the difference between astronomy & astrology?