When Betting Baseball...I think it's smarter to bet run line on Favs and ML on dogs

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  • Chi_archie
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-22-08
    • 63165

    #36
    Vegas and offshore keeps those numbers so that it is profitable for them......


    not like 100 people don't post this thread a year...

    seriously you think THAT is all it takes to outthink the linesmakers?
    Comment
    • Tsoprano
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-14-08
      • 26374

      #37
      runlines are the devil
      Comment
      • yisman
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 09-01-08
        • 75682

        #38
        Originally posted by SamsNCharge99

        I'm not getting into it, b/c I don't want to get in trouble again....but if you bring it up 1 more time....you will get in trouble for it....ANYWAY
        Are you threatening me?


        I haven't seen 1 thread about this topic
        I guess I'll have to bump them all for you tonight.

        If you don't like it, stick to your threads and I'll stay doing what I do.
        ...
        Last edited by SBRforum Staff; 04-06-09, 03:51 PM. Reason: edited
        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
        [/quote]

        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
        Comment
        • Tsoprano
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-14-08
          • 26374

          #39
          yisman, who has he stiffed?
          Comment
          • sallysnax8
            SBR MVP
            • 01-22-09
            • 1686

            #40
            good thread sammy! this had a lot of info in it...i'm a rook at bettin bases myself and i found myself licking my chops at all the fav. runlines......going to be a great season
            Comment
            • SamsNCharge99
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-22-08
              • 41242

              #41
              Mets game is OFFICIAL over.....2 games down

              Record
              Favs ML 1-1 (-0.35 units)
              Favs RL 0-1 (- 2 unit)

              Dogs ML 1-0 (+0.15 units)
              Dogs RL 1-0 (+2 units)
              Comment
              • SamsNCharge99
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-22-08
                • 41242

                #42
                Results after 3rd game....Cleveland at Texas

                Record
                Favs ML 1-2 (-1.52 units)
                Favs RL 0-3 (- 3 unit)

                Dogs ML 2-1 (+1.27 units)
                Dogs RL 3-0 (+3 units)
                Comment
                • 5 star bomb
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-12-07
                  • 5370

                  #43
                  GL Sammy!!
                  Comment
                  • SamsNCharge99
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-22-08
                    • 41242

                    #44
                    so far NO GOOD....all these 1 run victories, but it happens. Only day 2
                    Comment
                    • rjt721
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-06-07
                      • 7929

                      #45
                      Kill me now.
                      Comment
                      • SamsNCharge99
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-22-08
                        • 41242

                        #46
                        after 4th game....Rockies at DBACKS

                        Record
                        Favs ML 2-2 (-0.52 units)
                        Favs RL 0-4 (- 4 unit)

                        Dogs ML 2-2 (+0.27 units)
                        Dogs RL 4-0 (+4 units)
                        Comment
                        • 5 star bomb
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 10-12-07
                          • 5370

                          #47
                          Yo Sam... abort this mission now bro. This aint working out
                          Comment
                          • tacomax
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-10-05
                            • 9619

                            #48
                            Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
                            Think about it. Betting the run line on Favorites and betting the ML on dogs. You don't have to hit 50% to win.

                            Some examples using today's numbers.

                            If you like the METS to win. ML is -152 at 5 dimes.
                            using the run line of -1.5 METS are +115

                            Arizona D.Backs are -164 ML and +145 at the -1.5 run line.

                            If you bet both games on the spread and put $50 on both. Went 1-1, you are + money.
                            Move over Ganchrow - this kid is a fukkin' genius.
                            Originally posted by pags11
                            SBR would never get rid of me...ever...
                            Originally posted by BuddyBear
                            I'd probably most likely chose Pags to jack off too.
                            Originally posted by curious
                            taco is not a troll, he is a bubonic plague bacteria.
                            Comment
                            • MonkeyF0cker
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 06-12-07
                              • 12144

                              #49
                              You would think someone would be smart enough to research this prior to putting their money in action. It doesn't take much "WORK" to figure out that this "system" is not profitable. The only way to make money in MLB is betting value. This is certainly not a novel concept. Every single combination of these type of bets have been proposed before, including attempting to arb both sides with the favorite RL and dog ML. Give up. You won't find an edge there.
                              Comment
                              • tacomax
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 08-10-05
                                • 9619

                                #50
                                Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker
                                You would think someone would be smart enough to research this prior to putting their money in action. It doesn't take much "WORK" to figure out that this "system" is not profitable. The only way to make money in MLB is betting value. This is certainly not a novel concept. Every single combination of these type of bets have been proposed before, including attempting to arb both sides with the favorite RL and dog ML. Give up. You won't find an edge there.
                                Yeah yeah, Mr. Cooltimes. But if you have a 1-1 record you're making + money. Did you miss that? You hit .500 and you're in profit! You're just a hater since he came up with this and you didn't come up with this because he can come up with things better than you can come up with things.
                                Originally posted by pags11
                                SBR would never get rid of me...ever...
                                Originally posted by BuddyBear
                                I'd probably most likely chose Pags to jack off too.
                                Originally posted by curious
                                taco is not a troll, he is a bubonic plague bacteria.
                                Comment
                                • SamsNCharge99
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-22-08
                                  • 41242

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by 5 star bomb
                                  Yo Sam... abort this mission now bro. This aint working out
                                  yea, after posting the records like twice, I was already thinking, WOW doing this for the year would be annoying....

                                  Plus, I don't bet every game, these stats are for every game.

                                  I will just bet what I like and see what happens like everyone else does
                                  Comment
                                  • yisman
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 09-01-08
                                    • 75682

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
                                    I will just bet what I like and see what happens like everyone else does
                                    [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                    [/quote]

                                    [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                    Comment
                                    • MonkeyF0cker
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 06-12-07
                                      • 12144

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
                                      Plus, I don't bet every game, these stats are for every game.
                                      Which stats would those be exactly? You mean the ones that would have told you that your "system" isn't profitable before you even posted it? Apparently, you aren't following your own borrowed slogan...
                                      Comment
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