Nash 2015 MLB Thread

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  • RavensFan2k3
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-18-12
    • 17378

    #71
    Man Collementer didnt allow a single run all spring training, BOL tho
    Comment
    • broadway6
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-14-09
      • 13337

      #72
      watch the Braves win the day after they trade their closer.
      Comment
      • PorkChop
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-18-08
        • 8193

        #73
        I think ChiSox win Central this year. Hell of an off-season, one of biggest surprises this year to me
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 65470

          #74
          White Sox are + 107 today
          Comment
          • stevenash
            Moderator
            • 01-17-11
            • 65470

            #75
            Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
            Man Collementer didnt allow a single run all spring training, BOL tho
            I'm aware, however the show begins today.
            Comment
            • Smoke
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-09-09
              • 48111

              #76
              Rockies/brewers over 8 for me stevenash
              Comment
              • RollinDo
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-04-13
                • 13322

                #77
                Any Unders you like Nasher?

                I like Under in Mia and in TB.
                Side leans for Cincy, Clev, Milky, and SF.

                How about Astros TT (U 3.5) -125 with Kluber?
                Comment
                • stevenash
                  Moderator
                  • 01-17-11
                  • 65470

                  #78
                  Originally posted by Smoke
                  Rockies/brewers over 8 for me stevenash
                  The logical total play.
                  Yeah, I'm stacking Brewers and Rockies in my dailies today, if that game goes to form, it'll be raining hits.
                  BoL Smokey
                  Comment
                  • stevenash
                    Moderator
                    • 01-17-11
                    • 65470

                    #79
                    Originally posted by RollinDo
                    Any Unders you like Nasher?

                    I like Under in Mia and in TB.
                    Side leans for Cincy, Clev, Milky, and SF.

                    How about Astros TT (U 3.5) -125 with Kluber?
                    I'm wary of Kluber today, the Astros got a team that can mash.
                    Miami game is an under or nothing, but the under is juiced to the bejeezus.

                    Another game I like the more I look at it is Balty with Tillman, who isn't that much better than Archer, but the big difference is the lineups.
                    Batly should win that game at + money.

                    Stay away from the chalk, in baseball, the chalk will murder you.
                    If you bet smart + money games all year, you'll always be in the game.

                    Smart + money games to me today are:

                    White Sox
                    Baltimore
                    (maybe Cole Hamels against Bucholz, but it's the Phils so I'm not so sure on that one at +105)
                    Comment
                    • Goat Milk
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 03-24-10
                      • 25850

                      #80
                      White Sox won't beat the Royal on opening day in KC. There is magic in that stadium. Way too many ppl sleeping on that team. They're even better than last year. White Sox will suck just like every year. Guarantee they finish far behind Detroit and KC
                      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                      Comment
                      • Vasco
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 03-16-12
                        • 315

                        #81
                        Originally posted by Goat Milk
                        White Sox won't beat the Royal on opening day in KC. There is magic in that stadium. Way too many ppl sleeping on that team. They're even better than last year. White Sox will suck just like every year. Guarantee they finish far behind Detroit and KC
                        Fade
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #82
                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                          White Sox won't beat the Royal on opening day in KC. There is magic in that stadium. Way too many ppl sleeping on that team. They're even better than last year. White Sox will suck just like every year. Guarantee they finish far behind Detroit and KC
                          Can you name one player on either team?
                          Comment
                          • R.P. McMurphy
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 06-15-12
                            • 9654

                            #83
                            Magic at Kauffman lmao yeah right Goat! Just typical bandwagon fans who didn't even really get fully engaged with that team till mid Sept or so last year. Like Sox as well Nash.
                            Comment
                            • stevenash
                              Moderator
                              • 01-17-11
                              • 65470

                              #84
                              Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy
                              Magic at Kauffman lmao yeah right Goat! Just typical bandwagon fans who didn't even really get fully engaged with that team till mid Sept or so last year. Like Sox as well Nash.
                              BoL

                              Rox over cashed already.
                              If that team had any pitching at all, wow!
                              But they have nothing for arms, they have noodle arms.
                              They really need to trade some of those surplus of bats for some live pitching.

                              Balty is up early.
                              So far, so good.
                              Comment
                              • R.P. McMurphy
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 06-15-12
                                • 9654

                                #85
                                Put a unit on Sox @+109 only play in mlb so far today and probably stay that way. Bol boys!!
                                Comment
                                • stevenash
                                  Moderator
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 65470

                                  #86
                                  Oh, in case you missed it, I'll say it more time.
                                  David Price will be your AL Cy Young, just a stellar outing earlier.
                                  Freaking guy was electric.
                                  Best thing the Tigers did in 5 years was get rid of Prince and sign Price.
                                  Now, about that Tiger bullpen.......
                                  Comment
                                  • mlb
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-04-09
                                    • 10509

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by stevenash
                                    Oh, in case you missed it, I'll say it more time.
                                    David Price will be your AL Cy Young, just a stellar outing earlier.
                                    Freaking guy was electric.
                                    Best thing the Tigers did in 5 years was get rid of Prince and sign Price.
                                    Now, about that Tiger bullpen.......
                                    Got rid of coke though!
                                    Comment
                                    • broadway6
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-14-09
                                      • 13337

                                      #88
                                      Originally posted by stevenash
                                      Oh, in case you missed it, I'll say it more time.
                                      David Price will be your AL Cy Young, just a stellar outing earlier.
                                      Freaking guy was electric.
                                      Best thing the Tigers did in 5 years was get rid of Prince and sign Price.
                                      Now, about that Tiger bullpen.......


                                      1 out from a CG SHO
                                      Comment
                                      • stevenash
                                        Moderator
                                        • 01-17-11
                                        • 65470

                                        #89
                                        @mlb
                                        Yeah, when he first came up with the Yanks he was lights out.
                                        Automatic.
                                        Then, something happened, ever since 2010 or so, he's been trash.
                                        Then he goes to the Cubs this spring, pitches lights out again, and earns a job.
                                        I like the kid, best of luck to him.
                                        Comment
                                        • stevenash
                                          Moderator
                                          • 01-17-11
                                          • 65470

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by broadway6
                                          1 out from a CG SHO
                                          I hear you.
                                          (we knew)
                                          Comment
                                          • EXhoosier10
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-06-09
                                            • 3122

                                            #91
                                            Originally posted by stevenash
                                            First off, I never said BvP is the be all end all.
                                            Secondly it's not even my go to stat when I handicap, but it should not be ignored.
                                            Now, Teheran has lost a litttle velocity, 1.1 mph to be exact, so maybe Stanton will catch up to him.
                                            Just because I said I liked the under, and even Stanton struggles against him, doesn't mean it's because of that one stat.
                                            Alveraz is a ground ball pitcher, had a nice season last year inducing ground balls, that's a big part why I like the under, 5 factors why I like the under tomorrow, one of them is not the Stanton stat, however it should not be ignored.

                                            Now, what does this suggest to you?
                                            Nelson Cruz is 15 for 71 lifetime versus J Weaver .211, and he struck out 22 times.
                                            That doesn't mean anything to you?
                                            posted this over in NC's thread. I'll post it here and drop the topic. I dont' use BvP, and wouldn't suggest it to any new baseball gambler to use in their 'capping, so I wanted to post this here since your a good capper and lots of new guys will venture into this thread. If you think you have the eyes to pick the hitters that will do worse than their projections, that's your prerogative.
                                            -----------------
                                            -----------------
                                            -----------------
                                            Yes, some hitters don't see pitchers well. Yes, some hitters will be worse against some pitchers throughout their career. No, you nor any other random internet guy can predict which matchups those are on a consistent basis. It's why Fangraphs and Baseball Prospectus don't put that information on their sites. It's why there have been countless articles written by people who are employed by MLB teams that show that a good batter who hasn't had success against a pitcher in the past is likely to regress back to his mean performance level in the future instead of staying at his current results level.

                                            The argument isn't that players don't perform worse than others against a pitcher. The argument is that nobody has found the proper methodology across a large sample of players to predict future performance and determine when a player is likely to continue to underperform rather than revert back to his expect performance.
                                            Comment
                                            • TwoWays
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-24-10
                                              • 13145

                                              #92
                                              Steven doesn't need your opinion. Guy is winning. Just come unthread and ask for picks, is best approach
                                              Comment
                                              • Smoke
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-09-09
                                                • 48111

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by Smoke
                                                Rockies/brewers over 8 for me stevenash
                                                Rockies covered by themselves
                                                Comment
                                                • TwoWays
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 03-24-10
                                                  • 13145

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by Smoke
                                                  Rockies covered by themselves
                                                  Smokie, stop spamming
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Smoke
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-09-09
                                                    • 48111

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by TwoWays
                                                    Smokie, stop spamming
                                                    Wayler its not spamming. Its winning.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TwoWays
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-24-10
                                                      • 13145

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by Smoke
                                                      Wayler its not spammmg. Its winning.
                                                      Smokie, I apologize
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Smoke
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-09-09
                                                        • 48111

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by TwoWays
                                                        Smokie, I apologize
                                                        Thank you sir
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Goat Milk
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 03-24-10
                                                          • 25850

                                                          #98
                                                          Originally posted by Vasco

                                                          Fade
                                                          good luck with your whitesox bet

                                                          Originally posted by No coincidences

                                                          Can you name one player on either team?
                                                          i know a decent amount about baseball now. not too much strategy but i know most of the players.
                                                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                          Comment
                                                          • R.P. McMurphy
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-15-12
                                                            • 9654

                                                            #99
                                                            Sux look dead oh well Goat I didn't think you followed mlb much. But far as magic at Kauffman that's just typical in postseason anywhere whether the fans been there thru thick/thin or not and to top it off it was 30 years of frustration behind that madness. Would have been no less magic in air if it had been say Tampa who get NO support in reg season.

                                                            Kc is a good squad with decent s.p. a better pen and good solid lineup. But many forget this squad was treading water thru much of last year and just got hot at right time which included a lucky win over Oak where they caught several breaks followed by 2 teams not built for postseason Halos/Balty where they had the pitching edge. Good day it looks like Nash I sided with wrong one though.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • stevenash
                                                              Moderator
                                                              • 01-17-11
                                                              • 65470

                                                              #100
                                                              Two out of three ain't bad.

                                                              ONLINE
                                                              04/06/2015
                                                              08:55 AM
                                                              [Ticket #: 207858498] STRAIGHT BET
                                                              04/06/2015 @ 01:15 PM MLB [903] NY METS +151
                                                              ( ACTION )
                                                              200.00 302.00
                                                              ONLINE
                                                              04/06/2015
                                                              08:55 AM
                                                              [Ticket #: 207858499] STRAIGHT BET
                                                              04/06/2015 @ 12:20 PM MLB [917] BAL ORIOLES +115
                                                              ( ACTION )
                                                              200.00 230.00
                                                              ONLINE
                                                              04/06/2015
                                                              08:55 AM
                                                              [Ticket #: 207858501] STRAIGHT BET
                                                              04/06/2015 @ 01:20 PM MLB [919] CHI WHITE SOX +107
                                                              ( ACTION )
                                                              200.00 214.00

                                                              YTD 3 - 1
                                                              +5.3 *


                                                              *Note, none of these have been graded yet.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Smoke
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 10-09-09
                                                                • 48111

                                                                #101
                                                                Nashy cashy
                                                                Comment
                                                                • tatddy
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-02-10
                                                                  • 10779

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TwoWays
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-24-10
                                                                    • 13145

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Steven eating like a king. I'm guessing farm raised salmon and wonderbread tonight
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • stevenash
                                                                      Moderator
                                                                      • 01-17-11
                                                                      • 65470

                                                                      #104
                                                                      ^
                                                                      Fish tacos.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • tatddy
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 03-02-10
                                                                        • 10779

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Nash what's your take on Texas? Line seems way inflated to me. Gonna be coldish tonight and don't see a whole lot of runs in that game. Gray is the real deal (potentially) but can see Gallardo firing and this being a pen game.

                                                                        Also As haven't won on opening day since Reagan was in office.

                                                                        Any thoughts?
                                                                        Comment
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