Went all in on Kansas +2.5

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  • themajormt
    SBR MVP
    • 07-30-08
    • 3964

    #1
    Went all in on Kansas +2.5
    I think I am at my sports gambling retirement age of 26... I have spent way too much time the last few years checking scores, checking lines, doing research. So I decided I am going all in on Kansas and if it hits I will stick around for bases and if not then I retire for awhile...

    Any thoughts on this game? I have it locked in at Kansas +2.5 even Risking $4,950

    wish me luck!!
  • Bread
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-16-08
    • 23726

    #2
    Wowie zowie. I have no thoughts on any games yet, but good luck to you on this one buddy!
    Comment
    • onthewhat
      Restricted User
      • 05-14-08
      • 15411

      #3
      I liked Michigan State, but maybe Kansas gets revenge on the earlier loss

      Good luck sir
      Comment
      • c-rok
        SBR Hustler
        • 01-11-09
        • 65

        #4
        It's a good play that most likely wins.
        Comment
        • themajormt
          SBR MVP
          • 07-30-08
          • 3964

          #5
          I am NOT a trend guy but I saw this and it sealed my fate:

          "Self is 64-10 playing a team for the second time in one year. Out of those games if they lose the first time he is 16-4
          Comment
          • BatemanPatrickl
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 06-21-07
            • 18772

            #6
            Kansas is a good pick. Going all in is not but that is your choice. People forgot Kansas WON the championship last year.
            Comment
            • themajormt
              SBR MVP
              • 07-30-08
              • 3964

              #7
              I agree and I think they have matured a shit load since the beginning of the season. I am fully aware the all in move is not smart BUT it is a conscious one and not a decision that was made out of being on tilt or anything like that. This is my way of self punishment for all my lost time that has been pissed away with sports betting.

              The $5k started from a $500 deposit with a 50% deposit bonus 1.5 years ago, so fukk it
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #8
                Why wouldn't you just take them on the money line? Anything less than +3 points to me, you basically believe that team is going to win. I thought USC would beat Michigan State and they played them real tough. KU can beat them straight up.
                Comment
                • BatemanPatrickl
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 06-21-07
                  • 18772

                  #9
                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                  Why wouldn't you just take them on the money line? Anything less than +3 points to me, you basically believe that team is going to win. I thought USC would beat Michigan State and they played them real tough. KU can beat them straight up.
                  You know how that goes. You take the team on the ML and they end up losing by one point less than the spread. He doesn't take Kansas + 3 and they lose by 2. The gambling Gods are cruel.
                  Comment
                  • krk1030
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-13-08
                    • 17610

                    #10
                    I always take the points, of course we think a team will cover easily or we would not bet it. Reality is it doesnt usually happen that easy.
                    Comment
                    • themajormt
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-30-08
                      • 3964

                      #11
                      I was just about to take the ML BUT when the juice moved to EVEN I locked it in and took the points... If I was laying -110 I would have taken the ML but I will take +2.5 at EVEN all day long...

                      And Bateman, you read my mind pal... I lost a total of 8 ML's this year in NCAABB by a COMBINED 13 points!!!
                      Comment
                      • brooks85
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-05-09
                        • 44709

                        #12
                        Cya buddy. MSU already made an example of kansas once this year.
                        Comment
                        • MrMonkey
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-09-08
                          • 2278

                          #13
                          Not playing this as fan of KU! IMO +2.5 has value and just to give you an opposite view since at even you have a chance to lower the wager?

                          MicHSt has everything a championship team needs! Size, quickness, slow/fast tempo capabilities, outside/inside game, depth, experience! Collins only true experienced player who at times forces shots. MichSt has more than one guy to harass him. Both teams have 4 guards that contribute, edge MichSt.

                          Aldrich can dominate but could pick up some fouls? KU doesn't have as many scoring options IMO as MichSt. Will KU's role players continue to impress? KU already has met expectations? Wearing a KU cap as I type so good luck! Sorry I forgot to say IMO MichSt. but 2.5 might do the trick!

                          MrMonkey
                          Comment
                          • Shortstop
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 01-02-09
                            • 27281

                            #14
                            Good Luck! Kansas +2.5
                            I have no opinion on the game but I'll be backing Kansas now.
                            Comment
                            • Tsoprano
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 04-14-08
                              • 26374

                              #15
                              gl major

                              Comment
                              • pavyracer
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-12-07
                                • 82534

                                #16
                                I like Michigan St on this game. I like the older, more mature, hard rebounding, aggressive defense vs an inexperienced, young, turnover prone team.
                                Comment
                                • WileOut
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-04-07
                                  • 3844

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by themajormt
                                  The $5k started from a $500 deposit with a 50% deposit bonus 1.5 years ago, so fukk it
                                  That is actually really good. You are aware that with your BR higher now you would make much more than you did the past 1.5 years, right? Because of higher unit size. You have potential in this I wouldn't quit man. Dam you shouldn't have made the bet, but if it hits 10k is a great BR you can really build up quick with if you are good.
                                  Comment
                                  • themajormt
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-30-08
                                    • 3964

                                    #18
                                    I think the biggest factor was the VALUE in +2.5, alot of books have it at +1.5 -115/-110 so +2.5 at even money was huge and I hope my instincts were right. I agree MSU is more experiences but I like Self's track record in these bigger games...

                                    My other option was Memphis -4 at -115 but went with KU...

                                    Wile that was my thinking, IF it hits, I have a great roll for baseball and if not then I free up a shit load of time for myself where I can make money doing other things. Like I said in previous posts, $4,500 profit is nice, but the TIME that was involved just isnt worth it. Roughly 4-5 hours a day was spent on this shit and it is too much, along with grad school and a full time job!
                                    Comment
                                    • fiveteamer
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-14-08
                                      • 10805

                                      #19
                                      gl.
                                      Comment
                                      • shantystar
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-13-05
                                        • 7299

                                        #20
                                        kansas lost.
                                        Comment
                                        • smitch124
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-19-08
                                          • 12566

                                          #21
                                          It's Friday in Shanty's world....
                                          Comment
                                          • DrStale
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 12-07-08
                                            • 9692

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by shantystar
                                            kansas lost.

                                            Sweet thanks man. Who won the other 7? Im gonna do a massive parlay.
                                            Originally posted by Dark Horse
                                            If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
                                            Comment
                                            • themajormt
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-30-08
                                              • 3964

                                              #23
                                              They lost earlier in the season cock boy
                                              Comment
                                              • seaborneq
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-08-06
                                                • 22556

                                                #24
                                                Why didn't you just withdraw your money and spend it on something you like? Do you want to lose? Unusual, considering you built this balance up from nothing, which took a lot of skill and discipline. Something else is wrong with this. Fess up.
                                                Comment
                                                • jjgold
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                  • 388189

                                                  #25
                                                  I hate when guys do this especially if they lose, I do not like to see guys out of the game. Hey buddy I hope you win.

                                                  GL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • HoulihansTX
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 02-12-09
                                                    • 30566

                                                    #26
                                                    Im leaning on Kansas also, Ive been hitting this week. That should bring you some good karma. Hope that money doubles bro.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • GatorFan
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-19-07
                                                      • 2969

                                                      #27
                                                      Please keep your silver bullet, and don't go all in for any game.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Mac4Lyfe
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-04-09
                                                        • 48366

                                                        #28
                                                        Fade All In's... I wish you luck but I rarely see All In's make it. I like Mich St. but since your all in, I'll lay off this game and wish you luck.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • xyzky
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-23-07
                                                          • 1577

                                                          #29
                                                          Good luck...I hope you hit the mother...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Fischnasty
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-10-09
                                                            • 1931

                                                            #30
                                                            see you tomorrow
                                                            Comment
                                                            • themajormt
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-30-08
                                                              • 3964

                                                              #31
                                                              Thanks for all the GL's guys...

                                                              Seaborne, to answer your question... The reason why I went all in is because I have let alot of things slide lately, like school, my house, my career, my relationships with people, I only go to the gym 1-2 times a week, just have let a lot of things go. This was largely due to me spending most of my free time doing research and following lines/scores, halftime lines, etc.

                                                              I just really caught myself getting way too absorbed. SO, I said fukk it, IF (god please dont) I lose, it is my self punishment for allowing myself to get to the point I did. And WHEN I win, it is a reward and make all the other things that I have let go not sting as much...

                                                              Might not agree with me but thats my reasoning....
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Ralphie1412
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-29-08
                                                                • 13963

                                                                #32
                                                                i despise you for making this thread
                                                                "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                                                Goat Milk
                                                                Comment
                                                                • "Sic"
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-03-08
                                                                  • 838

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I like Kansas...went with first half ML

                                                                  ar 27 12:41am Basketball - Pending 500.00 to win 500.00
                                                                  1. Basketball - Kansas - moneyline (+100)
                                                                  for the 1st half held on Mar 27 at 8:35pm [pending]
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Ralphie1412
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-29-08
                                                                    • 13963

                                                                    #34
                                                                    whats the point of making this thread? So u look cool to internet kids when u win a bet?q
                                                                    "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                                                    Goat Milk
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • "Sic"
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-03-08
                                                                      • 838

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Ralphie1412
                                                                      whats the point of making this thread? So u look cool to internet kids when u win a bet?q

                                                                      Comment
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