Question for you $50 per unit Bettors????

**Big Bear** · 07-20-13, 02:16 PM

on a side note do yall think Collin Cowherd will hit about 70% again this year?

**jjgold** · 07-20-13, 02:17 PM

I can tell you long term you will lose 2.5% or so on total volume

Best your going to do is about $800 profit

**greenhippo** · 07-20-13, 02:18 PM

Good thread, I'm almost always in that same boat. Bet big when I like a game until I bet too big and lose.

**hotelis** · 07-20-13, 02:20 PM

Originally posted by greenhippo

Good thread, I'm almost always in that same boat. Bet big when I like a game until I bet too big and lose.

1st loser on SBR?

**Smoke** · 07-20-13, 02:21 PM

Good thread. Im down about 5K this year and will be down about 15 after nfl is over

**teaserpleaser** · 07-20-13, 02:21 PM

oh boy

**Big Bear** · 07-20-13, 02:21 PM

Originally posted by greenhippo

Good thread, I'm almost always in that same boat. Bet big when I like a game until I bet too big and lose.

yep... keep riding the hot streak until i get too greedy and then it's back to square 1.

**mbs4** · 07-20-13, 02:21 PM

Bout -2k

**Big Bear** · 07-20-13, 02:24 PM

Originally posted by Smoke

Good thread. Im down about 5K this year and will be down about 15 after nfl is over

maybe this will be your year smoke! maybe this is the year you tea-bag that bookie and start making it rain in the clubs and start drving foreign cars

**Big Bear** · 07-20-13, 02:24 PM

Originally posted by mbs4

Bout -2k

that sounds about right unfortunately

**Otters27** · 07-20-13, 02:34 PM

It will be very hard to keep to just $50 per game. I tried something like that once and made it to about mid OCT before going all in and losing. The thing is when you are winning the $50 per game seems like not enough and when you are losing it is very tempting to make a big bet to cover the losing steak

**hotelis** · 07-20-13, 02:48 PM

Originally posted by mbs4

Bout -2k

same here! high five! why dont we fade ourselves?

**oooonnoooo** · 07-20-13, 02:56 PM

ive learned my lesson by losing huge twice on heavy ML favs. Sticking to 50 or 100 per bet max 3/4 bets a day has worked for me.

**Smoke** · 07-20-13, 04:54 PM

Guys you cant win at gambling

Is your name billy walters?????? NO

You win you give it back

The books welcome all of our action

We are fukkin lemons like a bad car

Either book the action or become a tout

**ThaTopMoron** · 07-20-13, 09:41 PM

Originally posted by Big Bear

I've never bet just $50 per game. In fact i have horrible money management and i usually end up doing parlays or betting sometimes $500-$1000 on 1 game...

I have a tendency to always swing for the home run. But ... this can lead to being broke pretty quick i know...

now i have been fortunate and made about $1,500 profit in 2013.

I have set aside 2k for the football season.

If I only bet $50 per game and i never bet more than that on a game....

What is a reasonable goal of how much profit i can make in an NFL season?

broke dikk fukk

**ApricotSinner32** · 07-21-13, 07:45 AM

Keep gambling boys you may hit it big one day

**jjgold** · 07-21-13, 08:23 AM

lifetime most people lose 2.5% of their volume

its proven

**Big Bear** · 07-21-13, 09:47 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

lifetime most people lose 2.5% of their volume

its proven

what does that mean?

**hubie69** · 07-21-13, 11:40 AM

I think unless you vary your bet size you'll be in trouble. Flat bettors usually are. I would vary your bet size based on EV. As well, are you planning on betting College or NFL? NFL betting is typically extremely efficient where college football you can find some edges.

**Sam Odom** · 07-21-13, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by hubie69

I think unless you vary your bet size you'll be in trouble.

Vary in relationship to one's bankroll...

I would vary your bet size based on EV.

(sorry)

Only 0.05% of SBR posters know when they TRULY HAVE a 2.5% or 4% EV on a wager - Others are just guessing/wishing

**hubie69** · 07-21-13, 11:57 AM

Originally posted by Sam Odom

Vary in relationship to one's bankroll...

(sorry)

Only 0.05% of SBR posters know when they TRULY HAVE a 2.5% or 4% EV on a wager - Others are just guessing/wishing

You're absolutely correct Sammy, on both accounts.

**jjgold** · 07-21-13, 01:53 PM

Originally posted by Big Bear

what does that mean?

If your total volume is $100,000 expect lose about $2500

**Big Bear** · 07-21-13, 02:02 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

If your total volume is $100,000 expect lose about $2500

so are you saying its best to pick spots and go big?

**byronbb** · 07-21-13, 02:17 PM

Originally posted by Big Bear

so are you saying its best to pick spots and go big?

He's saying bookies make money from people like you.

**jjgold** · 07-21-13, 02:30 PM

No I am just giving you stats
Bet what you like
Safe way to bet is not playing with bet sizes

Originally posted by Big Bear

so are you saying its best to pick spots and go big?

**Big Bear** · 07-21-13, 02:37 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

No I am just giving you stats
Bet what you like
Safe way to bet is not playing with bet sizes

JJ next time i bet i'm gonna do $1,000 one game.

Can you PM me if you make one of your big isolated plays? i dont want to miss the next one.

**samdapatriotsfan** · 07-21-13, 03:04 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

lifetime most people lose 2.5% of their volume

its proven

Exactly!!! People are labeled as degens because they really think they can make money betting sports

The only real way for an average person to come out + in betting is the lottery, slot machines or the lottery.

Granted most won't win the lottery or a slot jackpot big enough to cover all of your losses. But I bet there are more of these types of winners then there are sports bettors who actually make money.

Don't fool yourself and just realize that the amount of your bets are relative to the excitement you want to get from watching the game or checking the results.

**artyfudgepacker** · 07-21-13, 03:40 PM

i have two goals in gambling to start the day .one is win big .two is get my money back . two strait bets big and small .two parleys big and small . using 5% of my bR .it works for me long term

**jjgold** · 07-21-13, 03:41 PM

Originally posted by samdapatriotsfan

Exactly!!! People are labeled as degens because they really think they can make money betting sports

The only real way for an average person to come out + in betting is the lottery, slot machines or the lottery.

Granted most won't win the lottery or a slot jackpot big enough to cover all of your losses. But I bet there are more of these types of winners then there are sports bettors who actually make money.

Don't fool yourself and just realize that the amount of your bets are relative to the excitement you want to get from watching the game or checking the results.

BigBear settle down and stick to $50 wagers, if I have a big play I will let you know

I bet your 6-5, 297

**hotelis** · 07-21-13, 03:54 PM

Originally posted by artyfudgepacker

i have two goals in gambling to start the day .one is win big .two is get my money back . Two strait bets big and small .two parleys big and small . Using 5% of my br .it works for me long term

how does it taste mot**f**ker???? haha

**Big Bear** · 07-21-13, 03:56 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

BigBear settle down and stick to $50 wagers, if I have a big play I will let you know

I bet your 6-5, 297

lol nah just liked to have the name "big" in my name just like big deemer, big boy dan, i'm sure there are others Big Day, Benny "Big" Nuts....

and my dogs name is bear.

i'm 5 foot 2 and 140 pound pounds i am an amatuer jockey at the local horse track

**jjgold** · 07-21-13, 04:05 PM

Man that is cool

I wish you were a pro jockey we can make money

Bear can you ever become one???

**artyfudgepacker** · 07-21-13, 04:09 PM

i stop trying to get rich off this long time ago . if i win money to get gift cert to keep wify happy .and get me some new tools or fishing stuff im good

**artyfudgepacker** · 07-21-13, 04:21 PM

Originally posted by hotelis

how does it taste mot**f**ker???? haha

it taste pretty good some days . then there are bad day .wtf ???