El Niño's MLB Thread

**ItsMeMrMattE** · 08-12-13, 02:33 AM

was looking at that match up earlier as well, and will probably be on it with you as long as my early play hits. like it tho and GL.

**El Nino** · 08-12-13, 05:02 PM

Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE

was looking at that match up earlier as well, and will probably be on it with you as long as my early play hits. like it tho and GL.

Were you on the A's?

**ItsMeMrMattE** · 08-12-13, 05:35 PM

Originally posted by El Nino

Were you on the A's?

no the tex under 7 +110

**El Nino** · 08-12-13, 05:37 PM

Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE

no the tex under 7 +110

Good hit!

**El Nino** · 08-12-13, 09:18 PM

And Volquez goes 4 1/3 innings, 9H 5R 5ER 3BB's 2K's 1HR and leaves the bases loaded.

**El Nino** · 08-12-13, 09:24 PM

Volquez charged with 8ER's

I hope this guy stays up on the team for the rest of the season. He is burned out.

**billysink** · 08-12-13, 09:27 PM

[QUOTE=El Nino;19367218]And Volquez goes 4 1/3 innings, 9H 5R 5ER 3BB's 2K's 1HR and leaves the bases loaded.[/QUOTE

make that an 8 ball. Arm dead as a hammer. Curve flat like a dead man. Dude prolly DL'd or in the bullpen soon. You can't run that out every 5 days.

On a related note as predicted by me around 10 days ago. Bartolo is DOA to and goes tomorrow. Dude couldn't top 87 last out after being in the low to mid 90's earlier in the year.

**El Nino** · 08-12-13, 09:39 PM

Yeah, some sharp sabremetrics guys have said that Colon is basically defying every statistic possible in the way that he was winning. Now he is -300 tomorrow

.

**El Nino** · 08-12-13, 10:03 PM

Fukk, they better get this game finished. Looks like a rain delay.

Chacin with a gem. 8 innings, 5H 1R 1ER 2BB's 6K's 1HR

**ItsMeMrMattE** · 08-12-13, 10:08 PM

Originally posted by El Nino

Fukk, they better get this game finished. Looks like a rain delay.

Chacin with a gem. 8 innings, 5H 1R 1ER 2BB's 6K's 1HR

wouldnt they just go by 6th inning score even with RL bets?

**El Nino** · 08-12-13, 10:12 PM

Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE

wouldnt they just go by 6th inning score even with RL bets?

99% sure it has to go 8.5 for the home team for totals and run line bets.

**ItsMeMrMattE** · 08-12-13, 10:15 PM

Originally posted by El Nino

99% sure it has to go 8.5 for the home team for totals and run line bets.

i dont think ive ever run into it before. we will see. you got it at 5d?

**El Nino** · 08-12-13, 10:15 PM

*From 5Dimes: When betting on baseball totals or run-lines, the game must go 9 innings (8½ if the home team is winning).

**ItsMeMrMattE** · 08-12-13, 10:18 PM

is it looking like it will let up?

**El Nino** · 08-12-13, 10:32 PM

Haven't been able to see the field, but radar looks like one system moving through. Pretty spotty/clear after that. Only need 6 outs. Hopefully they are able to start back up within the next hour.

**El Nino** · 08-12-13, 10:35 PM

Tarp coming off the field according to San Diego Padre's twitter handle.

**ItsMeMrMattE** · 08-12-13, 10:36 PM

yess. i need this one to finish. its the worst when it almost an obvious winner and rain kills it.

**El Nino** · 08-12-13, 10:41 PM

Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE

yess. i need this one to finish. its the worst when it almost an obvious winner and rain kills it.

Yep, read about it hurting a few posters on here and saving a few with under bets. This is the first one I think I've been involved with that I can remember as I don't play many RL's or totals. Game scheduled to resume in 20 minutes. Chacin done but I imagine the ump will call anything in the vicinity of the plate a strike to speed along this last inning.

**El Nino** · 08-12-13, 11:15 PM

12-1 there should be a mercy rule here.

**El Nino** · 08-12-13, 11:18 PM

14-1

**El Nino** · 08-12-13, 11:29 PM

1-0 +2.4u

YTD
139-138-1 +10.42u

**ItsMeMrMattE** · 08-13-13, 01:54 AM

**oldscho0led** · 08-13-13, 07:27 AM

Originally posted by El Nino

Yeah, some sharp sabremetrics guys have said that Colon is basically defying every statistic possible in the way that he was winning. Now he is -300 tomorrow

.

Or maybe we can bet on the Astros tomorrow. Or +1.5 for safety.

**thunderous** · 08-13-13, 09:01 AM

Originally posted by El Nino

1-0 +2.4u

YTD
139-138-1 +10.42u

**El Nino** · 08-13-13, 03:51 PM

Originally posted by oldscho0led

Or maybe we can bet on the Astros tomorrow. Or +1.5 for safety.

The Astros should be a bet just based on MLB betting principle. However, they are not getting my money. They put out a lineup yesterday where not 1 batter was hitting .250 or better for the season. They are pathetic.

Another tough card today, looking at props and team totals. Everything FF I like is too juiced.

**El Nino** · 08-13-13, 04:31 PM

8/13

Kansas City Royals Score 1st (+115) BookMaker

YTD
139-138-1 +10.42u

Another tough card today. Just a prop that I'm already getting some initial value on. Prop is +105 at 5Dimes, picking up 10 cents here at BookMaker. The Marlins offense generally struggles and Jose Fernandez is 23rd in least run support in the Majors. The Royals stacked the lineup today with 6 left handed bats. Chen can deceptively deal. Stanton has never faced him and Chen has to worry about Polanco who has good #'s against him. Other than that, Chen shouldn't have a lot of problems with this lineup. The Royals excel on getting base runners on and moving them around station to station. Fernandez is a stud but his #'s are worse on the road, worse against lefties, and he's had some of his worst starts in interleague play. He's approaching his last handful of starts here before the Marlins impose an innings limit and shut him down. I think the Royals get him for a few runs by the 5th. I'll take the + money here that they touch home before the Marlins do.

**thunderous** · 08-13-13, 04:54 PM

On it!

**El Nino** · 08-13-13, 09:07 PM

Alright Royals, any time now! 8 innings for the Marlins. Let's go!

**El Nino** · 08-13-13, 09:48 PM

9 innings without a Marlins run wasn't enough.

0-1 -1u

YTD
139-139-1 +9.42u

**thunderous** · 08-14-13, 11:20 AM

After 5-6 scoreless innings it was a toss up..too bad it wasn't the Royals.

Only good thing I can take is that since it was a prop bet I didn't go a full unit.
You got anything for the day games?

**El Nino** · 08-14-13, 02:27 PM

8/14

Arizona Diamondbacks Score 1st (+120) BookMaker

YTD
139-139-1 +9.42u

Again, this prop is listed at 5Dimes at +100. Corbin is dominant at home. 8-1 1.60 ERA Batters are hitting under .200 against him at Chase Field. The Orioles have to be shook after losing back to back ball games in the 9th inning or later. The Dbacks are 9-2-2 in 1st 5 innings of Corbin's home starts this season. Tillman is good on the road, Corbin is better at home. He may only give up 1 or 2 runs through 7 innings. Davis and Balty do not hit lefties as well as righties.

**El Nino** · 08-14-13, 03:03 PM

Well, didn't have to sweat that one to the 10th inning.

1-0 +1.2u

YTD
140-139-1 +10.62u

**billysink** · 08-14-13, 03:16 PM

Nice job

**El Nino** · 08-14-13, 03:23 PM

Good to get that one early. Corbin lost on the mound. Pussy foots around the bottom of the Orioles' B squad order and gets punished. He's trying to aim everything. Don't think they comeback from this one. Tillman doesn't lose when he gets this type of run support early.

**El Nino** · 08-15-13, 09:46 AM

8/15

Toronto Blue Jays (+117) 5Dimes

YTD
140-139-1 +10.62u

I was eying this play anyways for the home dog value. Buehrle pitches well enough and Boston should have their "B" lineup in there with the lefty on the bump. Throw in the Ben Affleck Birthday Curse and it's an easy unit play on yet another shitty card. For the uninitiated, the Red Sox have lost 13 years in a row on super fan Ben Affleck's Birthday. Let's make it 14.